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Author Topic: ECCI. #1 Hurricane Percentage Play
pennyaddict71
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From the latest NOAA report:

"CHRIS WILL STRENGTHEN TONIGHT
WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE."

Tropical Storm Warning for the United States
ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI AUG 04 2006

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL
N ATLC FROM 7N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W

AMZ080-042130-
SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS...
1130 AM EDT FRI AUG 04 2006

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING S OF 23N W OF 70W...

.THIS AFTERNOON...WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W
SEMICIRCLE OF CHRIS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
ELSEWHERE S OF 25N W OF CHRIS NE TO E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5
FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N E OF CHRIS SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5
TO 7 FT. FROM 25N TO 28N SE TO S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N
OF 28N SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR
CHRIS.
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...CHRIS WILL STRENGTHEN TONIGHT
WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE.
HIGHEST WINDS INCREASING TO 35 GUST 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE
OF CHRIS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N
W OF CHRIS NE TO E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF
25N E OF CHRIS SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. FROM 25N TO
28N SE TO S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 28N SW WINDS 10
KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SQUALL NEAR CHRIS.
.SUN...S OF 25N E OF 75W SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. N OF
25N E OF 75W SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. W OF 75W SE
WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.MON...S OF 25N E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT E OF
BAHAMAS AND 4 TO 6 FT W OF BAHAMAS. N OF 25N W OF 75W SE WINDS
10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 25N E OF 75W E TO SE WINDS 10
KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.TUE...S OF 25N E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. N OF 25N W
OF 73W SE TO S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 25N E OF 73W NE
TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.

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birches
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great time to position in hurricane stocks
NLST, ECCI, WEGI, BUGS - still lots of room to run

my preference is NLST (annual low .09, annual high $3.20, currently trading at .46)

annual low high current
NLST.. .09 . 3.20 . .46
ECCI.. .07 . .75 . .125
WEGI. .067 . .79 . .39
BUGS. .01 . .075 . .014

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MillerTIME
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shhhhhhh.

1st buy....

Filled Buy 25000 ECCI Limit 0.1213 -- -- 13:14:48 08/04/06

--------------------
Buy the silence-Sell the noise
SFTV.004-.0075
AVNT.0018-.0033
FPPL.0034-.03
WEGI. My new Call

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skip
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saw that on the L2... [Wink]
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utvolsfan13
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Who do y'all trade with? I was just about to make a purchase of 6000 shares and my bank charges a commission of 130 bucks on that, which is ridiculous.
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SincereX13
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Scottrade is nice... of all the recent screw ups recently with all the other brokers scottrade has been on the ball. Their commission for pinks though kinda sucks.

--------------------
trashed and scattered again

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birches
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I have a fee based account with Morgan Stanley - so, my cost is 10 cents - from what I understand, TD Ameritrade is good for small traders - don't know
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skip
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quote:
Originally posted by utvolsfan13:
Who do y'all trade with? I was just about to make a purchase of 6000 shares and my bank charges a commission of 130 bucks on that, which is ridiculous.

PM for you UTvols...

I use Choicetrade, $5 flat trades.

About to use it to buy more shares of this pretty soon...

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SherriT
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I use Scottrade as well. They charge $7 + 1/2% of the principal. I have been very pleased with the service....I may try another service, but think I will always keep this account too.
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utvolsfan13
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SherriT,

How much do you pay for pinks on scottrade, like NLST? Does ECCI warrant a higher commission?

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SincereX13
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all pinks are 7 bucks a trade plus 1/2% of principal. So if you were to buy 1000 bucks worth of ECCI or NLST your commision would be 7 bucks plus 1/2% or another 5 bucks.

--------------------
trashed and scattered again

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utvolsfan13
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Awesome thanks a lot.. headin over to the local scottrade office right now with a check...

--------------------
-Kevin

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SherriT
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quote:
Originally posted by utvolsfan13:
SherriT,

How much do you pay for pinks on scottrade, like NLST? Does ECCI warrant a higher commission?

Anything under $1 is $7 + 1/2% of the principal, so a $500 trade would be a $9.50 total commission. Maybe not the cheapest, but I can always drop off another check at the brokers office without a wire fee, etc. and be ready for business tomorrow, so there are pluses in my book for the extra charge.

(Of course, I'm sure DC probably has a local office of all, but here in Mobile, it's just the big players...)

--------------------
Study before you buy, Sell before you think about it....

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pennyaddict71
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Tropical Depression Chris currently has winds of 35 mph and a pressure of 1012 mb. Chris is located at 21.3 N and 71.6 W or about 45 miles of WSW of Grand Turk Island. It is moving West at 13 mph but, jogged NW early this morning. Chris was downgraded to a depression earlier due to lack of convection and only a 29 kt flight wind but, convection has redeveloped. This new convection will likely make Chris a tropical storm again. Chris is forecasted to slowly strengthen now until the gulf of mexico despite expected interaction with Cuba.
Posts: 165 | From: pennyland | Registered: May 2006  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
skip
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next named storm will move this significantly IMO...great flipper until a storm makes landfall...
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utvolsfan13
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Chris is NOT forecast to strengthen as it heads towards the Gulf of Mexico.
From NHC
"THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL NOT
INDICATE RESTRENGTHING BACK TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS PRIOR TO
NEARING THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA. INSTEAD IT WILL WAIT UNTIL THE
SYSTEM ENTERS THE GULF OF MEXICO IN 2-3 DAYS. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST FOLLOWS THE TRENDS OF THE SHIPS AND GFDL MODELS
CLOSELY...BUT SHOWS LESS STRENGTHENING NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS HIGHLY
CONTINGENT ON CHRIS MAINTAINING A CLOSED CIRCULATION...WHICH MAY
NOT HAPPEN."

He is still experiencing shear and development is being hindered by the upper level lows nearby. If Chris survives to the Gulf of Mexico, he has a chance to regain Tropical Storm strength but he's looking very ragged.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn.jpg

-Kevin

--------------------
-Kevin

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utvolsfan13
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quote:
Originally posted by SherriT:
quote:
Originally posted by utvolsfan13:
SherriT,

How much do you pay for pinks on scottrade, like NLST? Does ECCI warrant a higher commission?

Anything under $1 is $7 + 1/2% of the principal, so a $500 trade would be a $9.50 total commission. Maybe not the cheapest, but I can always drop off another check at the brokers office without a wire fee, etc. and be ready for business tomorrow, so there are pluses in my book for the extra charge.

(Of course, I'm sure DC probably has a local office of all, but here in Mobile, it's just the big players...)

Thanks a lot sherrit. I openned an account with them today and dropped off my check at the office. Should be ready to roll Monday afternoon. Couldn't believe my brokerage service was trying to charge me $140 for a $700 trade.

--------------------
-Kevin

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renrob05
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The NHC has written the last advisory on Chirs- it is no longer a threat to anyone and regeneration looks unlikely. In this case, dry air and strong upper level winds (at times) won out. The Atlantic just wasn't ready yet but that may be about to change. The long range models (some of them) show development out in the east Atlantic next week. Water temps are planty warm in most areas and the dry, dusty air coming off of Africa is becoming less and less of an influence on the tropical waves. I think we have about a week to 10 days before we see the lid really come off in the Atlantic. This is not hard to see considering that at that time period we will be entering the climatological ramp up towards the peak of the season in September.

--------------------
Renee
Easy money!

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beechwood
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I'll steer clear of ECCI, thanks.
They overloaded in debt by more than 2:1 .
Most of these other ones aren't much better.
For a hurricane play check out WEGI .
Their financials, revenue, and key stats
are in much better shape.

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JohnDoe
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Guys don't forget CHDT low float and it's at the bottom now...good time to accumulate...by sept this thing would past .25-.50. [Smile]
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renrob05
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quote:
Originally posted by beechwood:
I'll steer clear of ECCI, thanks.
They overloaded in debt by more than 2:1 .
Most of these other ones aren't much better.
For a hurricane play check out WEGI .
Their financials, revenue, and key stats
are in much better shape.

Ok, you buy WEGI and i'll buy ECCI, and we'll see who does better. LOL

You must be new at pennies. Balance sheets mean nothing.

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utvolsfan13
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quote:
Originally posted by renrob05:
quote:
Originally posted by beechwood:
I'll steer clear of ECCI, thanks.
They overloaded in debt by more than 2:1 .
Most of these other ones aren't much better.
For a hurricane play check out WEGI .
Their financials, revenue, and key stats
are in much better shape.

Ok, you buy WEGI and i'll buy ECCI, and we'll see who does better. LOL

You must be new at pennies. Balance sheets mean nothing.

Agreed. Financials are important in mid-long term stocks, but these are quick buy and sells.
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renrob05
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UPDATED: 7:20 pm EDT, August 6, 2006
DEEP TROPICS GETTING TO BE MORE ACTIVE AS CONDITIONS BECOME MORE FAVORABLE

I think there is a decent chance we will see our 4th named storm this coming week. A strong tropical wave and associated low pressure area way out in the deep tropics looks to be gaining strength. The NHC indicates that additional development is possible and most of the computer models see this system developing as well. Overall, the look to the atmosphere is becoming more favorable for deep tropical development. This is, of course, to be expected as we approach middle and late August- perhaps it will start slightly earlier this year. I also want to comment on water temps. They are well above normal just off of the Northeast and portions of the East Coast. In fact, the latest sea surface temperature anomaly maps show that almost the entire Atlantic north of 30 degrees latitude is well above normal. How this impacts the meat of the season remains to be seen. We are about to enter a much more active period of development and I will be staying on top of things very closely. The next two months or so will certainly define what this season is remembered for- one way or another. I hope that everyone has done what they can to be ready- the lid is about to come off the pot. I will have another update later tonight.

--------------------
Renee
Easy money!

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stocktrader22
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A low pressure area in the far eastern Atlantic, about 800 miles WSW of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands, bears watching. It's showing some signs of organization, and further development is possible over the next day or two as it continues to move westward.

--------------------
Disclaimer: Not accountable for anything I say

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stocktrader22
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Well the price is pretty stable here, and most people are holding on...there should be even a nicer pop with a new tropical storm or hurricane on the horizon

--------------------
Disclaimer: Not accountable for anything I say

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100stacks
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A Tropical depression is going to organize later today or early tommorrow. http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/?from=wxcenter_news
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renrob05
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BUSY WEEK AHEAD

The way things look now, it will be a busy week for us as the tropics get ready to heat up. We have a system in the central Atlantic that looks to be on its way to becoming a tropical depression within the next day or so. Most computer models drive this feature off to the west and towards the Lesser Antilles. How strong it will be and exactly where it will track are questions that are tough to answer right now. Let's see what the NHC says about it all over the next day or so- there is plenty of time to watch and see how things pan out.

There is also a tropical wave impacting areas of the NE Caribbean Sea- including Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. The wave is moving along fairly quickly so the weather should improve in that region soon. The NHC does not indicate any development from this system as it tracks off to the west and west-northwest. The remainder of the tropics are quiet right now and this includes the east Pacific. I will post another update here later today.

--------------------
Renee
Easy money!

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stocktrader22
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Making a late day run here.... [Smile]

--------------------
Disclaimer: Not accountable for anything I say

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skip
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hangin pretty tough, I think folks are catching onto the fact that this will make a pretty good move when the next named storm hits...
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pennyaddict71
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I agree, I think we're going to have a good week... NLST was red today, this is the best value hurricane play by far, also its proven to move just as good if not better than NLST when a storm hits and it hasn't been run up 500% like NLST has.
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100stacks
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IMO if we get a hurricane this could blew to .50, what are your thoughts?
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SherriT
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I don't think it is a question of IF we get a hurricane, I think it is a question of WHEN. We are just getting into the active period of storm development - from my recollection, the largest number and/or intensity storms have almost always been the latter part of August, SEPTEMBER, and early October.

I suspect our resident expert will start giving us some updates once the depression is officially numbered. It's so far out there, should give us at least a week of discussion.

(The mental case in Alabama can't believe she is hoping for a storm...LOL)

--------------------
Study before you buy, Sell before you think about it....

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100stacks
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I have an Etrade account and right now it says
ECOLOCLEAN INDUSTRIES INC (ECCI: OTC BB)


Extended Hours: Last 0.00 Change 0.00 -- Bid 0.131 x2,000 Ask 0.48 x13,600

Is the ask really at .48cents or is it a mistake?

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MicroTrader
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I'm showing .14
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skip
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I show NITE at .14...I did see ARCA with .48 on the ask earlier today though...
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