This is what i was gonna post. THIS was the reason it hit .75 last year and why it is the hurricane king this year. It has proven results and Hurricanes actually create revenues.
Just a guess, i would say the closer it gets to the mississippi gulf coast the higher this price will go because if it knocks out the water system again we could see .75 yet again this year.
-------------------- Buy the silence-Sell the noise SFTV.004-.0075 AVNT.0018-.0033 FPPL.0034-.03 WEGI. My new Call Posts: 3100 | From: Louisiana | Registered: Apr 2005
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quote:Originally posted by 100stacks: You could be right, you have no chance of me selling early to mid week. Good statement no one will be selling. Who knows this could get crazy, few knew about this stock last year, now everyone knows about it. Do you think we could see the volume over 10 million any day next week?
7M volume on the day it ran up to .17 on Trop Storm Chris.
Monday we will be seeing the opening bell off of a weekend full of fox news 24/7 hurricane updates of CAT 3 forcasts all over the gulf coast states including many saying a possible New Orleans Diaster hit.
Id say 3 million in the first hour alone.
10 million is very possible, but i wont say its a guarentee.
One things for sure, it could get crazy on monday. I compare ECCI to a frog on a lili pad when it starts to run up. Its like a frog and just hops and hops to each lillipad and the higher it goes the longer the hops are. .17 to .175, to .177, .18, .185, .19, .2, .22, .23
One thing i will say is i WILL NOT put price targets out there because absolutely anything can happen. Some people are saying anywhere from .2-.75 on this run. Anything is possible.
-------------------- Buy the silence-Sell the noise SFTV.004-.0075 AVNT.0018-.0033 FPPL.0034-.03 WEGI. My new Call Posts: 3100 | From: Louisiana | Registered: Apr 2005
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quote:Originally posted by a surfer: resistance at .17 .20 .23 My guess is about .20
Id say it breaks the first 2 numbers you give in the first 30 minutes alone.
Keep in mind it was 1 MM away on Friday from .16 and all we had was a Tropical Depression. We are going to be opening up Monday Morning with possibly a CAT 1 Hurricane Threatening the US Gulf Coast. HUGE CHANGE = HUGE GAP
-------------------- Buy the silence-Sell the noise SFTV.004-.0075 AVNT.0018-.0033 FPPL.0034-.03 WEGI. My new Call Posts: 3100 | From: Louisiana | Registered: Apr 2005
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posted
Earlier fears that Ernesto might barrel toward New Orleans, near the anniversary of Katrina's landfall, were eased with the latest advisory, but it was bad news for residents of central and northern Florida.
Ernesto is now forecast to make landfall as a major category 3 storm on the coast of Florida, move northeastward and still be a category 1 storm well inland.
Posts: 317 | From: Iraq | Registered: May 2006
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posted
they are predicting a north sheer to blow it into florida, but like everyone said before, hard to predict for sure. last yr Katrina threw off the experts at every step almost. Its like spinning a top on a table and predicting where it will land.
Posts: 6397 | Registered: Jan 2006
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posted
Morning evil people wishing for a category 3. (Well I am too, LOL). Anyhow, My local forecast in Miami is saying Ernesto is now Category 1 at 75 mph. Don't know how this will gap tomorrow but if it does gap up bigtime, I'll wait for a retrace back to .14's before I get in.
-------------------- Rule 1: Always Protect Your Capital Rule 2: Earn slow, Don't lose fast Posts: 457 | From: Miami, Florida | Registered: May 2006
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posted
latest path has it going over cuba which will probably weaken it a lot then it will end up in the gulf of mexico but won't have much time to stengthen because it will quickly run into florida
Posts: 550 | From: MI | Registered: Nov 2005
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quote:Originally posted by Hustla: Morning evil people wishing for a category 3. (Well I am too, LOL). Anyhow, My local forecast in Miami is saying Ernesto is now Category 1 at 75 mph. Don't know how this will gap tomorrow but if it does gap up bigtime, I'll wait for a retrace back to .14's before I get in.
quote:Originally posted by hedfe: latest path has it going over cuba which will probably weaken it a lot then it will end up in the gulf of mexico but won't have much time to stengthen because it will quickly run into florida
It will be atleast a Cat 3 or more...if it hits gulf. The water there is boiling. Even if it is only a short time there.
posted
the projected path takes it right over the entire length of cuba then it will either emerge over the gulf of mexico and strengthen or if it goes more east it will quickly run into florida so it won't have much time to strengthen - all depends on how quickly it turns to the east
Posts: 550 | From: MI | Registered: Nov 2005
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As of 8 a.m. EDT, Hurricane Ernesto had maximum-sustained winds at 75 mph, making it a category 1 storm on the Saffir-Simpson Scale. Ernesto was located about 115 miles southwest of Haiti and was moving to the west-northwest at 9 mph, and is expected to continue to strengthen before making landfall in western or central Cuba late Monday night into Tuesday morning. By late Tuesday, Ernesto is expected to enter the southeastern Gulf of Mexico and possibly intensify to a category 3 hurricane - a major hurricane - before heading into Florida by Friday.
quote:Originally posted by renrob05: Cuba will not slow it down.
As of 8 a.m. EDT, Hurricane Ernesto had maximum-sustained winds at 75 mph, making it a category 1 storm on the Saffir-Simpson Scale. Ernesto was located about 115 miles southwest of Haiti and was moving to the west-northwest at 9 mph, and is expected to continue to strengthen before making landfall in western or central Cuba late Monday night into Tuesday morning. By late Tuesday, Ernesto is expected to enter the southeastern Gulf of Mexico and possibly intensify to a category 3 hurricane - a major hurricane - before heading into Florida by Friday.
Renrob just a minor correction on your post here. Cuba will slow it down temporarily. Hurricanes always slow down over landmasses especially those with mountainous regions like Cuba has. We're all excited but don't get carried away.
Now everything else you said was on point.
-------------------- Best Regards and Good Trading Posts: 239 | From: Florida City, FL | Registered: Jul 2006
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quote:Originally posted by stocktrader22: Looks like its a direct hit right now for Florida..NO NO
I started filling up all my gasoline containers yesterday. I'm not taking any chances. If my area does get hit I hope I still have electricity cause I need to daytrade gotdamit
-------------------- Best Regards and Good Trading Posts: 239 | From: Florida City, FL | Registered: Jul 2006
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quote:Originally posted by Ace of Spades: I live riverview, 33569 near tampa. I looks like I'm srewed. The path is a direct hit to my town. type my area code in mapquest.
posted
your not screwed yet theres 4 days left for the forecast to change more. Cuba will weaken it.. since being over land always disrupts the convective currents that strengthen/maintain hurricanes, but it can re-strengthen once over water again. I feel bad for you guys on the coast though those long term power outages have to suck. No air conditiong is no way to live.
Posts: 81 | From: Green Bay, WI | Registered: Mar 2006
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posted
Chances are you are going to get something your way. loot, I'd watch closely and bail if you can. If i didnt have work or hard commitments there I'd bail now. what sucks is that this stuff is so unpredictable it could miss you and blindside some city near, never know. What usually happens is everyone leaves to late and then you see the 20 mile back ups. I dont know how you live there, I know its nice, but hurricanes would be too much for me. hang in loot, and good luck !
Posts: 6397 | Registered: Jan 2006
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quote:Originally posted by cactus33: Chances are you are going to get something your way. loot, I'd watch closely and bail if you can. If i didnt have work or hard commitments there I'd bail now. what sucks is that this stuff is so unpredictable it could miss you and blindside some city near, never know. What usually happens is everyone leaves to late and then you see the 20 mile back ups. I dont know how you live there, I know its nice, but hurricanes would be too much for me. hang in loot, and good luck !
I lived there since Aug 2003 from NJ. All the hurricanes seem to miss me, but this is the first projected path in my area. We'll see.
Posts: 2321 | Registered: Aug 2006
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posted
Ernesto is definitely in a weakened state right now. It's interacting with Hispanola and Air Force recon hasn't found hurricane force winds yet.. may get downgraded to a tropical storm. Once it gets away from Hispanola, Ernesto should strengthen again, perhaps reforming a broader low level center of circulation. The broader the LLC is, the better chance Ernesto has of surviving over Cuba. It's exact track will be VERY important. A few degrees difference will decide if Ernesto is over Cuba for 12 hours or 24 hours. If it can hold itself together through Cuba, there is nothing to stop rapid strengthening in the GOM. I wouldn't trust the forecast beyond 2-3 days as of right now. The models are all over the place and a ridge in the SE United States could deter Ernesto from taking a north/easterly track. Many models show Ernesto getting into the GOM, and then meandering here and there with no real steering currents. It's general direction in the next few hours will be very important in determining how long Ernesto will be over Cuba.
posted
In anticipation of the approach of Hurricane Ernesto later this week, evacuation of visitors to the Florida Keys has been ordered. No watches or warnings are currently effect, but a hurricane or tropical storm watch may be issued later today.
Posts: 6397 | Registered: Jan 2006
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posted
could this whip around, strengthen veer east slightly and then slide gently back and clobber miami? I guess anything is possible. not sure how evacuating miami would go..
Posts: 6397 | Registered: Jan 2006
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posted
Right now it looks like Ernesto will be a cat.3 hurricane when it hits Florida. The projected path has it going through Florida then back into the Atlantic and then hitting Eastern South Carolina as a Cat. 2.
Posts: 154 | From: Spencerport , NY | Registered: May 2006
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posted
If it keeps to the forecasted track (yeah right) it isnt to likely that it'll hit Florida as a Cat 3.. cuba will weaken it and there isnt enough time in between cuba and florida to strengthen to a cat 3. The probability table made for the current track has it as a cat 1 hurricane hitting florida however if the track shifts more west and goes for the panhandle or areas west of that then there could be more time for it to strengthen to a Cat 2 or greater, we'll just have to wait and see.
Posts: 81 | From: Green Bay, WI | Registered: Mar 2006
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quote:Originally posted by cactus33: Chances are you are going to get something your way. loot, I'd watch closely and bail if you can. If i didnt have work or hard commitments there I'd bail now. what sucks is that this stuff is so unpredictable it could miss you and blindside some city near, never know. What usually happens is everyone leaves to late and then you see the 20 mile back ups. I dont know how you live there, I know its nice, but hurricanes would be too much for me. hang in loot, and good luck !
Thanks Cactus, as you can see with my delayed response I had to bail out to go to the local Publix supermarket and Home Depot to get more supplies. You sort of get used to it living in the southeast. Its like those L.A. people and the earthquakes, they'll never leave. But I won't be stupid, if its a killer storm, I'm gettin the hell outta dodge.
-------------------- Best Regards and Good Trading Posts: 239 | From: Florida City, FL | Registered: Jul 2006
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posted
I'm from Palm Harbor which is near clearwater. The current track has us taking this one on the chin. Anyone else from Florida?
Posts: 69 | Registered: Apr 2006
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