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Author Topic: ECCI. #1 Hurricane Percentage Play
skip
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check your PM box utvols...

star ratings mean jack...

give us a heads up when you see something brewing!

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OILDOG
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By the way, you can turn the thing off by editing yer profile. Some actually believe it has "merit" or "says it all" about you.lmao. Says more about the thugs and their gangs so I leave mine on,jokes on them!!!By using multiple ID's and collusion with "fellow travelers", they vote themselves "credibility",suddenly,with just a few posts a few days after their "born-on" date. One such on this very thread. Anyway, dont let it bother you. If you opinion is honest, stick to yer guns.

--------------------
It takes a lot of attaboys to make up for an aww chit

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utvolsfan13
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Thanks for the messages folks. I'm kind of glad I wasn't wrong in this case because I didn't get in on these in time. (Sorry to y'all though) I'll definitely let everyone know when it looks like the next depression will form. Right now there's nothing out there that's looking very impressive. Gonna watch this though, but don't think anything will come of it as of right now. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

--------------------
-Kevin

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utvolsfan13
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While things are quiet, why do y'all like ECCI more than NLST as a hurricane play? I was looking at their webpages and NLST is more "out there" with their relationship with storm rebuilding. They've also got lots of offices around the Gulf Coast.

--------------------
-Kevin

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MillerTIME
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5 Stars for Everyone on the ECCI thread because they know the hot sectors and the hottest stock in that sector!!!

--------------------
Buy the silence-Sell the noise
SFTV.004-.0075
AVNT.0018-.0033
FPPL.0034-.03
WEGI. My new Call

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skip
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there he is! 5 stars for you too MT. ha! back to 4 for me, thanks! [Wink]

good stuff...ask is starting to move up...

I think folks like ECCI because it is closer to it's bottom that NLST. NLST had some mini runs lately, whereas ECCI has stayed around .11-.13 for a while. I think they will both be great plays here shortly...

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MillerTIME
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quote:
Originally posted by utvolsfan13:
While things are quiet, why do y'all like ECCI more than NLST as a hurricane play? I was looking at their webpages and NLST is more "out there" with their relationship with storm rebuilding. They've also got lots of offices around the Gulf Coast.

UT, ECCI and NLST I give about the same rating. NLST i believe is a much better company but in the small cap market its all about momo and how the stock trades, and ECCI upticks and bounces like a frog on a lillypad when it starts running.

The OS and float on ECCI is low and allows the stock to run fast and make quick percentage moves.
Both also have Heavy volumes.

ECCI went from .108 to .17 on this last run
NLST went from .4 to .65

They are both about the same, i like ECCI better because i know the stock quite well.
Godd question

--------------------
Buy the silence-Sell the noise
SFTV.004-.0075
AVNT.0018-.0033
FPPL.0034-.03
WEGI. My new Call

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MillerTIME
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quote:
Originally posted by utvolsfan13:
Thanks for the messages folks. I'm kind of glad I wasn't wrong in this case because I didn't get in on these in time. (Sorry to y'all though) I'll definitely let everyone know when it looks like the next depression will form. Right now there's nothing out there that's looking very impressive. Gonna watch this though, but don't think anything will come of it as of right now. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

Yep guys, UT is right, there isnt much in the way of atlantic/gulf/caribbean action currently besides for Chris who is about to be downgraded to a trop depression.

There are a couple trop waves out in the atlantic and gulf, but no development is likely. That said, doesnt take long for one to develop imo.

--------------------
Buy the silence-Sell the noise
SFTV.004-.0075
AVNT.0018-.0033
FPPL.0034-.03
WEGI. My new Call

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SherriT
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A post is required here...

We never discussed it dissipating, we discussed where it would go with the assumption it was going to stay some kind of tropical system....we both missed on that account (although you did bring up the shear)

I do stand corrected about the size of the storm...indeed small compared to others. I pulled out my printouts of radar I'd saved, and was mistaken.

Anyway, I didn't want you to think it was unfair criticism - I really didn't mean it that way - healthy debate was my intention. Except for the part about New Orleans - that touched a big nerve here....I'd apologize about anything but that ;-)

--------------------
Study before you buy, Sell before you think about it....

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SherriT
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OK, so I did a bad job of apologizing...your information is always welcome here...

--------------------
Study before you buy, Sell before you think about it....

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utvolsfan13
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Hey SherriT,

Sorry I came off like that. Won't happen again. Only thing that concerns me about ECCI is looking at what happened last July and August, when there were plenty of hurricanes. ECCI actually went down until Katrina hit. Probably won't happen again though since everyone saw it rise so much after a big hurricane last year and wants in.

http://stockcharts.com/webcgi/perf.html?NLST,ECCI

--------------------
-Kevin

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renrob05
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In other news, Dr. William Gray and his team of hurricane seasonal forecasters at Colorado State University have updated their forecast for the season. The news is slightly more encouraging but still indicates a very active period ahead. The lead author on the project, Phil Klotzbach, and Dr. Gray, forecast 13 additional named storms with seven hurricanes forming and three of those hurricanes becoming cat-3 or higher. Their forecast of landfall probability of a major hurricane is also above average for the entire coast as a whole. Numbers aside, it looks like an active peak to this season and we still have a ways to go. Being ready is always the best course of action- no matter how many named storms end up forming. For now, Chris is the only concern in the Atlantic and the east Pacific has no storms that appear likely to threaten land areas. I'll post more here this evening.

--------------------
Renee
Easy money!

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MillerTIME
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One thing i wanna say is that if anyone has any questions for me, id be more than willing to answer them for me.

I do hope that many stay around and trade ECCI up until around Sept 12. We should be making some good bank (knock on wood). Although it will take patience and the ability to buy the silence.

I will help out as much as i can and post my buys for yall.

It sure will be a Fun month and a half.

UTvolsfan will be our inhouse hurricane specialist and hopefully (come on UT) give us the heads up on any trop developement before it hits the press.

In exchange UT i will give you the great buy points and sell points!

For the record i have completely flipped this stock 3 times now.!! Weee

--------------------
Buy the silence-Sell the noise
SFTV.004-.0075
AVNT.0018-.0033
FPPL.0034-.03
WEGI. My new Call

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MillerTIME
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quote:
Originally posted by utvolsfan13:
Hey SherriT,

Sorry I came off like that. Won't happen again. Only thing that concerns me about ECCI is looking at what happened last July and August, when there were plenty of hurricanes. ECCI actually went down until Katrina hit. Probably won't happen again though since everyone saw it rise so much after a big hurricane last year and wants in.

http://stockcharts.com/webcgi/perf.html?NLST,ECCI

Yeah vols fan, that is because only after Hurricane stocks did the main otcbb players begin trading the hurricane stocks.

Then as you can tell the big traders traded up NLST early in the year following katrina in prepartion for the hurricane season. (bill panetta created that run.)

This year is completely different as all traders know about ECCI and NLST and how they trade in relation to the developments in the tropics. In the otcbb market its all about momo and eyes and ears, and when everyone knows what stocks move during certain circumstances they go back and back to it for continual moneymakers.

Good observation

--------------------
Buy the silence-Sell the noise
SFTV.004-.0075
AVNT.0018-.0033
FPPL.0034-.03
WEGI. My new Call

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utvolsfan13
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Hey MillerTime.. I'd really appreciate that. Right now I don't own either, becuase I just started looking at them yesterday and am still trying to figure out when would be good to buy. I've got all my investing money in Mastercard, which did me nicely yesterday (Up 10%!). At 3:58 yesterday, my mind was spinning as I was about to sell MA and buy ECCI before the market closed. (I still figured Chris would become a minimal Hurricane before hitting the Gulf and I knew investors would jump at the word "hurricane") I couldn't get myself to buy a stock that was up 20% though.

--------------------
-Kevin

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MillerTIME
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Another thing i want to say is that another great trader to watch is this renroobb.

This AHOLE renrobb was the first to be talking about ECCI. LMAO HAHHAH. the reason i call him an ahole is that he was posting threads on it back in june i believe while i was trying to load the boat (buy shares)! lol, so in fact he had started a thread on it before me and probably saw the potiential in it before me.

Renrobb, we will be looking to you throughout the next month and a half! Hope you have done well thusfar

--------------------
Buy the silence-Sell the noise
SFTV.004-.0075
AVNT.0018-.0033
FPPL.0034-.03
WEGI. My new Call

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SherriT
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quote:
Originally posted by utvolsfan13:
Hey SherriT,

Sorry I came off like that. Won't happen again. Only thing that concerns me about ECCI is looking at what happened last July and August, when there were plenty of hurricanes. ECCI actually went down until Katrina hit. Probably won't happen again though since everyone saw it rise so much after a big hurricane last year and wants in.

http://stockcharts.com/webcgi/perf.html?NLST,ECCI

Ditto here. I was having a bad day...

I think you are right on about the stock - my only question is how many people are going to hold until the active period passes in hopes of a landfall?

--------------------
Study before you buy, Sell before you think about it....

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ohio_trader
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in for 4,444 shares at .128

time to rock!

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skip
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saw that go through on the L2's, good entry ohio
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utvolsfan13
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What do y'all think good entry points would be for NLST and ECCI? Thinking about holding until tomorrow or Monday to see if they drop a bit more as Chris dies out.

--------------------
-Kevin

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stocktrader22
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I'm down bad here...in at .156 for $2k worth

Oh well

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Disclaimer: Not accountable for anything I say

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skip
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quote:
Originally posted by stocktrader22:
I'm down bad here...in at .156 for $2k worth

Oh well

I am down a bit too, I usually never hold these, but I think this will pop higher when the next storm comes, just a matter of time IMO
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ohio_trader
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quote:
Originally posted by skip:
saw that go through on the L2's, good entry ohio

thanks,
hopefully in at the right time
i also bought 4,444 of dynk

sold some of my SLJB yesterday, hated to, but the right thing for me....cause i am riding alot of shares free now, and also made 40% to boot( which i used to buy a few other stocks today i've been watching)

fortunately or not the hurricanes are coming, it's that time of the year....

GLTA !

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skip
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What I like is that the volume is still high...people are buying this at all levels...it just dropped to .125, and a bunch of buys went through, then they dropped it to .123 (don't ya love that)

MM's and others are loading up it appears...

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skip
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pretty strong finish at .133, mm's were moving up on the ask as the close approached...see ya'll tomorrow...
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renrob05
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quote:
Originally posted by MillerTIME:
Another thing i want to say is that another great trader to watch is this renroobb.

This AHOLE renrobb was the first to be talking about ECCI. LMAO HAHHAH. the reason i call him an ahole is that he was posting threads on it back in june i believe while i was trying to load the boat (buy shares)! lol, so in fact he had started a thread on it before me and probably saw the potiential in it before me.

Renrobb, we will be looking to you throughout the next month and a half! Hope you have done well thusfar

MillerTime buddy, been doing very well. I've been able to flip about three times also. Now, i want .20

Shouldn't be a problem.

Bought more today.

--------------------
Renee
Easy money!

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Matrix Trader
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I been been in this from .10... will sell half at .20 and then ride the free shares.

Its just a matter of time until this will run again.

All the hurricane stocks seems to do well as a group with hurricane.

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MicroTrader
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Chris remains tropical storm on path toward Cuba
Fri Aug 4, 2006 10:19 AM IST

By Jane Sutton

MIAMI (Reuters) - Tropical Storm Chris retained its strength as it headed west toward Cuba on Thursday, prompting authorities to post storm warnings -- meaning severe weather was expected within 24 hours -- for the Turks and Caicos islands and the southeastern Bahamas.

Forecasters had thought Chris would fizzle into a tropical depression before nearing U.S. oil facilities in the Gulf of Mexico, but they said the storm's maximum sustained winds remained near 65 kph and little change in strength was expected through Friday.

At 11 p.m. EDT (0300 GMT), tropical storm watches, meaning storm conditions are expected within 36 hours, were posted for the central Bahamas, and the northern coasts of Haiti and the Dominican Republic.

With Chris only a minimal tropical storm, forecasters' main concern was the up to 5 inches (13 cm) of rain it could dump in mountainous areas.

Chris' center was about 100 km east-southeast of Grand Turk Island, the capital island of the Turks and Caicos chain, at 11 p.m., and heading west near 19 kph. On that track, Chris was expected to pass north of the Dominican Republic and Haiti and near or over the Turks and Caicos on Friday.

It would then cross Cuba and reach the Gulf of Mexico by Monday morning.

Energy prices had eased as Chris weakened. Oil and natural gas prices had risen on the possible threat to drilling platforms and exploration rigs in the Gulf, where hurricanes Katrina and Rita fueled up on unusually warm water before slamming into Louisiana and Texas last year.

The 2005 hurricanes shut a quarter of U.S. crude output and sent oil prices to record highs.

Experts have predicted this year could see another active Atlantic hurricane season, although nothing like the record 28 storms seen in 2005. Chris was the third tropical storm of the 2006 season.

Forecasters lowered their activity predictions for this year Thursday. The Colorado State University team formed by pioneer researcher William Gray predicted up to 15 tropical storms would form in the Atlantic-Caribbean basin, with seven growing into hurricanes.

Earlier forecasts had anticipated up 17 tropical storms, with nine strengthening into hurricanes.

© Reuters 2006. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Reuters content, including by caching, framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters. Reuters and the Reuters sphere logo are registered trademarks and trademarks of the Reuters group of companies around the world.

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skip
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quote:
Originally posted by Matrix Trader:
Its just a matter of time until this will run again.

All the hurricane stocks seems to do well as a group with hurricane.

totally agree. No doubt there will be a run with ECCI and the other hurricane plays in the near future...
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MillerTIME
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8 AM trop storm update by Nat Hurricane Center. Also, no storms brewing in the atlantic and not favorable conditions.

000
WTNT33 KNHC 041138
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006
800 AM AST FRI AUG 04 2006

...CHRIS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND
FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LONG ISLAND AND THE EXUMAS
IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. THESE WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE
DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.

AT 8 AM...1200 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN COAST
OF HISPANIOLA FROM LA MOLE ST. NICOLAS HAITI EASTWARD TO SAMANA
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.1 WEST OR ABOUT 20
MILES... 30 KM...SOUTH OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.

CHRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...21 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT CHRIS HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HOWEVER...THE POSSIBILITY REMAINS FOR CHRIS TO REGAIN TROPICAL
STORM STATUS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES.

CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
ACROSS THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS...THE SOUTHEAST
BAHAMAS...HAITI AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF UP TO 6
INCHES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN THROUGH TODAY.

REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION...21.2 N...71.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA

--------------------
Buy the silence-Sell the noise
SFTV.004-.0075
AVNT.0018-.0033
FPPL.0034-.03
WEGI. My new Call

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stocktrader22
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Why is this now going up from the open, with no storms brewing

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Disclaimer: Not accountable for anything I say

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MDP5754
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Something may be up here...I really thought this would tank today with the latest Hurricane outlook, but notice all of the 100 buy signals. It appears that somebody needs shares badly. Keep an eye on this one imo.

--------------------
MDP5754

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stocktrader22
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Well this is starting to tank, im already down a lot unfortunately...holding till it gets to .20 if we see a hurricane

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4Tune4Me
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Looks like the mm's are trading between themselves trying to move this puppy...actual buying support seems to be at .12

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Just the facts, ma'am.

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skip
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excerpt from a AP news story on the hurricane season...

"...There is, however, a considerably higher-than-average probability of at least one intense hurricane making landfall in the United States this year, 73 percent. The average is 52 percent.

Researcher William Gray said Atlantic Ocean surface temperatures are not quite as warm and surface pressure is not quite as low, both factors in the decision to revise the forecast.

“Overall, we think the 2006 Atlantic basin tropical storm season will be somewhat active,” Klotzbach said. “This year it looks like the East Coast is more likely to be targeted by Atlantic basin hurricanes than the Gulf Coast, although the possibility exists that any point along the U.S. coast could be affected.”

Gray and his team say hurricane activity will continue to be above average for another 15 to 20 years.

The National Hurricane Center in Miami in May predicted 16 named storms in the Atlantic, six of them major hurricanes. As of Thursday, there have been three named storms."

Posts: 2741 | From: Seattle | Registered: Feb 2005  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
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