quote:Originally posted by realityinc21: I AM HOLDING.
I've been following the messages in here for about a month. I like your connections Diana. I'm also a qbid shareholder. I have a bulk email program that can email everyone of the media contacts on the list you gave in a matter of hours. I will use the sample letter that you provided. Any objections or suggestions
Posts: 4245 | From: SMALLVILLE USA | Registered: May 2004
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posted
Please do not spam in the name of Qbid......
JMHO
quote:Originally posted by DIGDOUGH: I've been following the messages in here for about a month. I like your connections Diana. I'm also a qbid shareholder. I have a bulk email program that can email everyone of the media contacts on the list you gave in a matter of hours. I will use the sample letter that you provided. Any objections or suggestions
posted
New Thread was started so everytime there is an update it will be pulled up top.
HOTLINE UPDATE! 1-888-594-7766
Says offices will be closed busy preparing the launch for the cable & satelite companies. Let your local cable companies know they will be airing. They can be found on IA7 Transponder C1 Downlink frequency 3729.295 horizontal. Programs will be available 24/7 to the public in July. We will reopen on Tuesday June 1st at 7:30am PST.
[This message has been edited by 1BigTip (edited May 27, 2004).]
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WOW.. Letterman and Leno both made comments abt gay TV same night? Stonedpigeon mentioned that LOGO was mentioned by Letterman (52nd page).. more publicity..
Man..if Q-TV is available to public in July (I believe it will be), that'd be AWESOME!!
quote:Originally posted by greenhorn: I have not read all the posts today maybe somebody has already mentioned it, but last night on Jay Leno he mentioned a 24 hour gay lesbian network and then did a joke something about Will and Grace. I wish he would have specifically said QTV or Qbid. I will watch tonight sometimes he does a different joke for a few days in a row. Greenhorn
Posts: 722 | From: Atlanta | Registered: Feb 2004
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Good news up here in the New England states. MTV and QBID were being discussed on the radio. Analyst was loving QBID and mentioned how he was also a QBID investor. Big time investor myself just looking forward to the upcoming months. Good luck all
Posts: 12 | From: Mass. | Registered: May 2004
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posted
This stock will not be worth under 10 cents if & when it does air. I don't care if they're not making any money. This is the real deal and price will sore from potential! I wish GMED would move to .27 so I can sell and purchase more QBID.
Posts: 3026 | Registered: Apr 2004
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Thanks cool!! I'd still love to see Q-TV references on CNN/FOX/MSNBC/USA TODAY/NYT. Somebody posted an unconfirmed post that Q-TV will be on USA Today in couple of week.
[QUOTE]Originally posted by cool1sh: [B]This is same news.. II am just trying to find how many different ppl covered Q-TV news.. This is another.. http://www.digitalspy.co.uk/article/ds14597. html
Q Television plans soft launch in June 20:33 BST, Thursday 27th May 2004 -- by James Welsh
posted
Nice!! I wonder how it gonna be tomorrow which is the last trading day before soft launch.
quote:Originally posted by soccerman: Good news up here in the New England states. MTV and QBID were being discussed on the radio. Analyst was loving QBID and mentioned how he was also a QBID investor. Big time investor myself just looking forward to the upcoming months. Good luck all
Posts: 722 | From: Atlanta | Registered: Feb 2004
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This is under the FYI..mY LOCAL PAPER TODAY HAD A BIG ARTICLE ABOUT THE MTV TAKING ITS GAY TV ON VIACOM THIS JANUARY. tHEY CLAIMED IT WOULD BE THE ONLY PLAYER.............LOOK OUT WHEN THIS HAPPENS
Posts: 425 | From: North,Wa.U.S. | Registered: Dec 2003
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quote:Originally posted by sync2112: This is under the FYI..mY LOCAL PAPER TODAY HAD A BIG ARTICLE ABOUT THE MTV TAKING ITS GAY TV ON VIACOM THIS JANUARY. tHEY CLAIMED IT WOULD BE THE ONLY PLAYER.............LOOK OUT WHEN THIS HAPPENS
Sync, I'm still of the opinion that this is a good thing for the Q. We're launching July 1!!
posted
I think there's going to be a lot of head scratching and people saying "Q who?.. Where'd they come from?".... but that won't negate the fact that Q will be first, and the one for others to beat (or try!)... and the stock will reflect that...
Posts: 1885 | From: Tampa, FL, US | Registered: Mar 2004
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posted
Ok..You all know I don't post here often but I read everyday.I am 12+mm into this stock. SOmething in the post here bother me though. That is the aperance of the compnay founder (Frank?) being old and not healthy..If this is the case..1. Is there a capable perosn to take over if something happens to him 2. Who would that be? 3. does Wall Street or the TV communityu have respect for this person. 4 How will it effect QBID ..Any thoughts or answers appreciated..Now you can go back to your NICE thread
Posts: 88 | From: ft lauderdale ,fl usa | Registered: Apr 2004
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posted
We found this, even though outdated, explains why this particular satellite is being used.
Please Read Carefully....
TIME WARNER CABLE TO USE LORAL SKYNET'S TELSTAR 7 TO PROVIDE DIGITAL CABLE DISTRIBUTION SERVICES
Cable Neighborhood Established With "AthenaTV"
BEDMINSTER, NJ, October 13, 1998 -- Loral Skynet announced today that Time Warner Cable will use Loral Skynet's Telstar satellite fleet to distribute an array of digital distribution services for cable operators and their customers. Time Warner Cable has begun testing its AthenaTV on Loral Skynet's Telstar 5 satellite, located at 97 degrees W.L. The service will migrate to Loral Skynet's Telstar 7 satellite in the second quarter of 1999, anchoring a cable neighborhood at 129 degrees W.L.
Loral Skynet will support Time Warner Cable's AthenaTV service introduction with an aggressive antenna seeding program. Loral Skynet will furnish antennas to participating cable operators and will provide program management services to ensure a seamless transition when the service migrates from Telstar 5 to Telstar 7. Telstar 7 is expected to be in service in the second quarter of 1999.
"Enabling the U.S. cable industry to transition to new digital technologies is emblematic of Loral Skynet's core strategy and commitment to satisfying the needs of our North American customers," said Terry Hart, president of Loral Skynet. "We are pleased that Time Warner Cable has selected Loral Skynet's Telstar fleet of satellites to host this new platform for digital distribution."
Time Warner Cable's AthenaTV service will give cable operators a cost-effective means of offering digital cable to their customers. The digital service will allow Time Warner to multiplex programming feeds for reception by participating cable operators in the United States. In addition, AthenaTV will offer customers a wide variety of Time Warner and other basic and premium channels with the flexibility to expand their channel line-up as the service expands.
As a result of this agreement, Time Warner Cable will become Loral Skynet's anchor tenant on Telstar 7, which will host a robust cable neighborhood from its ideal orbital location of 129 degrees W.L.. Telstar 7's cable neighborhood will join the broadcast, syndication and ethnic programming neighborhoods established on Loral Skynet's Telstar 5 and Telstar 6 satellites.
"We are pleased to be the anchor tenant on Loral Skynet's Telstar 7 satellite, which we expect to be the primary source of digital programming for Time Warner Cable and many other operators' digital television services," said Glenn A. Britt, president of Time Warner Cable Ventures.
Telstar 7, built by Space Systems/Loral (SS/L), of Palo Alto, Calif., will be one of the most sophisticated and powerful communications satellites available to cable operators and programmers in North America, covering the continental United States, Puerto Rico, the Caribbean, and into Canada and Latin America. Telstar 7, which carries a total of 48 transponders -- 24 at C-band and 24 at Ku-band -- is based on SS/L's three-axis, body-stabilized FS-1300 bus, whose modular design has proven its worth during 275 years of cumulative on-orbit service, close to one-half of the total of 630 years amassed by SS/L satellites to date.
Loral Skynet of Bedminster, New Jersey, a subsidiary of Loral Space & Communications, is a leading satellite communications services provider that owns and operates the Telstar satellites. Loral Skynet's customers lease transponder capacity to distribute network television programming, collect live video feeds for the reporting of news and events, and to offer direct-to-home and pay-per-view programming, distance learning, educational, and other business television services. Loral Skynet also provides technical consulting, as well as tracking, telemetry, and control of satellite fleets for a wide variety of customers. Loral Skynet operates Telstar 4 and Telstar 5, which provide C-band and Ku-band coverage over the continental United States, Hawaii, Alaska, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Through the recent privatization of Mexico's satellite operations, Loral, through Loral Skynet, also manages Satelites Mexicanos, S.A. de C.V. (SatMex). SatMex currently operates three satellites, Solidaridad 1, Solidaridad 2 and Morelos II. SatMex 5 (previously Morelos III), is scheduled for launch in the fourth quarter of 1998. Loral Skynet's vigorous growth plan includes future launches of Telstar 6 and 7, which are expected to be in service in 1999, and Telstar 8 and 9, to be in service shortly thereafter. For more information, visit Loral Skynet's web site at www.loralskynet.com.
Time Warner Cable owns and manages the world's most advanced, best-clustered cable television operations, with 80 percent of its 12 million customers in systems of 100,000 subscribers or more. It is a division of Time Warner Entertainment.
Loral Space & Communications (NYSE:LOR) is a high technology company that primarily concentrates on satellite manufacturing and satellite-based services, including broadcast transponder leasing and value-added services, domestic and international corporate data networks, global wireless telephony, broadband data transmission and formatting, Internet connectivity, and international direct-to-home satellite services. # # #
quote:Originally posted by casico: Ok..You all know I don't post here often but I read everyday.I am 12+mm into this stock. SOmething in the post here bother me though. That is the aperance of the compnay founder (Frank?) being old and not healthy..If this is the case..1. Is there a capable perosn to take over if something happens to him 2. Who would that be? 3. does Wall Street or the TV communityu have respect for this person. 4 How will it effect QBID ..Any thoughts or answers appreciated..Now you can go back to your NICE thread
Is the photo from NO what you were referring to? I didn't think he looked old or unhealthy in the photo, just overweight... but, that doesn't mean that he can't run a company...
Posts: 1885 | From: Tampa, FL, US | Registered: Mar 2004
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Maybe casico's referring to the comment by Diana about Frank being "fragile". I think she meant vulnerable, in a compassionate way, rather than physically or medically unfit. I think he looked healthy in the NO pic. No reason to believe otherwise. ~BB
[This message has been edited by betting babe (edited May 27, 2004).]
posted
Where on the net can this info be found sync..? I would like to look at it If it is on the net. I found it nevermind...Appreciate the post though...
Brandon
[This message has been edited by brandwilliams (edited May 27, 2004).]
[This message has been edited by brandwilliams (edited May 27, 2004).]
Posts: 390 | From: friendship, tn USA | Registered: Feb 2004
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ok check this out with them broadcasting to intelsat americas 7 129 west etc... this means cable co. like cox comcast timewarner etc.. will not have to put up any upfront cash all they have to do is open a channel up for the qtv to show on it.. so pretty much all the cable co has to do is open a door and boom qtv is sitting in your living room...
Posts: 337 | From: Pensylvania | Registered: Apr 2004
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Ok heres one for yea. I live in Northern Manitoba Canada, and QTV is being talked about up here. The gay TV stations are even making it into the papers in Canada, (MTV story was on page 2 of Winnipeg Sun and page 3 of the Free Press. I have to tell this story, I hold 120,000 shares, and the crew I work on was talking about this write up in the paper, and I told them I was a shareholder, boy did I get ribbed about that, however my boss who has never bought shares in anything before asked me to buy him 20,000 shares because he does not have access to online stockbroker. So the word is out in CANADA.....Go QTV. Posts: 1637 | Registered: Apr 2004
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--> Loral Space & Communications went bankrupt and was acquired by Intelsat. They just finished their reorganization and Intelsat was about to have an IPO, which they abruptly cancelled on May 21st. Now Intelsat is for sale and looking for a merger.
--> Q "will broadcast its signal on Intelsat America's 7 at 129°W on channel 1."
--> Here's the Intelestat PR: Reuters UPDATE - Intelsat pulls IPO, starts merger talks Friday May 21, 3:13 pm ET
NEW YORK, May 21 (Reuters) - Intelsat Ltd., the No. 2 satellite operator, on Friday said it withdrew its planned initial public offering and said it would resume talks with potential buyers.
Bermuda-based Intelsat said it hired Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MWD - News) and Merrill Lynch & Co. (NYSE:MER - News) -- the same banks that were to lead the IPO -- to explore a sale of the company, which would come amid a spate of consolidation activity in the satellite sector.
Industry watchers said Intelsat could fetch up to $1 billion in a sale with likely buyers including leveraged buyout firms that have recently been active in acquiring satellite assets. While the industry is hampered by overcapacity and sluggish growth, it produces steady cash flow that can be borrowed against to finance LBO deals, they say.
"Private equity firms will look at buying Intelsat but the capital markets will have a significant influence on what price they are prepared to pay," said William Collatos, general partner of Spectrum Equity Investors, a buyout firm that specializes in media and telecom investing.
The market for high-yield financing that underpins most large deals, he noted, "is getting tougher" and Intelsat is already carrying a large debt load.
Intelsat, whose 27 satellites carry voice, video and data traffic, generated sales of $953 million and net income of $181 million in 2003. Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT - News) holds a 24 percent stake, while France Telecom and India's Tata Industries each hold 5 percent.
But Intelsat faces challenges from landline transmission and must service debt of $2.3 billion at the end of 2003, of which $1.1 billion came with the acquisition of North American satellite assets of bankrupt Loral Space & Communications (OTC BB:LRLSE.OB - News), which closed in March.
NEW OWNERS IN SATELLITE SECTOR
Among others in the sector, Inmarsat, which handles marine, aviation and military communications, last year was bought by LBO firms Apax Partners and Permira, while PanAmSat (NasdaqNM:SPOT - News) recently agreed to be bought by Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. And New Skies Satellites (NYSE:NSK - News) recently put itself on the block and is attracting private-equity buyer interest.
Intelsat said previously it had been in talks with potential buyers, but said in recent weeks that it canceled the talks to hold an IPO as required under the so-called Orbit Act. The law requires formerly government-owned enterprises like Intelsat and Inmarsat to broaden their shareholder base.
However, Intelsat said on Friday that it won an extension to the Orbit Act to as late as December 2005, allowing it to resume merger talks.
Intelsat said it is awaiting a ruling by the Federal Communications Commission in an action brought by Inmarsat that would decide the issue of whether a sale of the company constitutes broadening its shareholder base and complies with the Orbit Act.
INTELSAT BONDS FALL
News of a possible sale caused Intelsat bonds to fall, reflecting an increased likelihood of an LBO and concern over a larger debt load and default risk that such a deal would bring.
Intelsat's notes maturing in 2013 with a coupon of 6.5 percent fell to 87 cents on the dollar, two cents below Thursday's close. The extra yield over Treasuries that investors demand for taking on Intelsat's credit risk has more than doubled since late April.
In the credit derivatives market, the cost of buying five-year protection against Intelsat defaulting vaulted to 370 basis points a year from around 310 basis points.
That is an almost five-fold increase since rumors of a possible LBO first emerged in late April and means it would cost $370,000 a year to buy default protection on $10 million of Intelsat debt. (With reporting by Dan Wilchins)
Why is Q building their network around a satellite company that's for sale? ~BB
quote:Originally posted by SingleDad703: Whew, I hope the fued is over now. I quit going to Ragin Bull specifically for this reason. I think we're all a little beaten up by the coaster ride we've been taking, fluff PRs, No PRs, LOGO tv Prs, etc. So either Diana and Cash need to kiss and make up, or when we go to Vegas, we need to set up a ring and have the first Q televised Smack down... Diana dressed as a man, and Cash dressed as a woman. OPEN high tomorrow and Close higer... repeat as needed.
[This message has been edited by realityinc21 (edited June 03, 2004).]
The Q Television Network, a subscriber channel for the gay and lesbian market will beat Logo to the airwaves when it debuts in July 2004, with a "soft" launch for advertisers set for June 1.
The Q Television Network says it will offer a combination of original and acquired programming, including sports, fashion, travel, health &fitness, talk shows, plays, documentaries and movies.
Programming will include ?I Will, I Do, We Did,? an original Q Television documentary exploring gay and lesbian marriage in America. The company says the independent films, ?An Intimate Friendship," ?Straightman,? and Bette Midler?s ?Divine Madness? concert are examples of what will be available on the network.
The company's programming will be available on a subscription basis. Beginning June 1, the network will be available for viewing on Intelsat America?s 7, 129 degrees West, Channel 1.
[This message has been edited by HongKongFuey (edited May 28, 2004).]
posted
And more... You know I usually don't read the RB board but they're coming up with some good finds. _______________________________________ yet another mention of Q... Complete Coverage Gaydar... http://www.digitalspy.co.uk/tv/gaydar/
posted
posted May 27, 2004 23:38 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
quote: -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Originally posted by SingleDad703: Whew, I hope the fued is over now. I quit going to Ragin Bull specifically for this reason. I think we're all a little beaten up by the coaster ride we've been taking, fluff PRs, No PRs, LOGO tv Prs, etc. So either Diana and Cash need to kiss and make up, or when we go to Vegas, we need to set up a ring and have the first Q televised Smack down... Diana dressed as a man, and Cash dressed as a woman. OPEN high tomorrow and Close higer... repeat as needed.
I THINK A VERBAL DEBATE FORUM WOULD BE APPROPRIATE. BASED ON (BUT NOT LIMITED TO) COMMON SENSE, VERIFIABLE FACTS OF KNOWLEDGE, LIFE IN GENERAL, FINANCIAL BANKING AND LOAN STRUCTURE, PROFIT/LOSS AND FINANCIAL STATEMENTS, BUSINESS EXPERIENCES, SOCIAL SERVICE POLICIES AND RELATED FIELDS, SPORTS, COMPREHENSIVE BUSINESS STRATEGY, MONEY/TIME MANAGEMENT, INTELLIGENCE, BUSINESS START UP PROCEDURES AND INFORMATION, EDUCATION, REAL ESTATE LAW, APPRAISAL AND INFRASTRUCTURE, CONTRACT WRITING AND EXECUTION, GRANT RESEARCH, WRITING AND PUBLICATION, PRESCHOOL EARLY CHILDHOOD EDUCATION, PSYCHOLOGY, EARLY CHILDHOOD DEVELOPMENT, INVESTING, GAMBLING/DAY TRADING AND/OR ANYTHING IN GENERAL EXCEPT TYPING OR SPELLING. LOL
I'M KINDA SMALL BUT I MIGHT GIVE A SMACK DOWN A TRY...TANK ME UP WITH SOME VODKA AND I THINK I CAN WHUP UP ON KING KONG. LOL
posted
IS it Jane or Diana that keeps posting the levels of a stock breakout. Can you repost? I think we are on the verge of the point when average investors start to hear about it and the media begins to talk about it. Is that level 2 or 3? Anyway either means $$$$$$
Posts: 300 | From: Albuquerque, NM, USA | Registered: Apr 2004
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I wrote to Mr. Macias at GLAAD and Mr. Bauder at AP to point out their "oversight" with QTV. I found it interesting that Mr. Bauder neglected to mention Ms. Garry's former association with MTV.
It's amazing what digging will turn up!
BART~ I think this is an open forum, but in my not easily offened opinion, you crossed the line with Pharma! That was a horrible thing to say. Also this is just my little humble opinion, but I do believe that you should invest your conscience. If you have such terribly negative feelings about gays, you SHOULD NOT be in stock that supports a gay undertaking. You're messing with bad karma there.
GREAT INFO AND INSIGHT. BB--YOU HAVE A VERY SPECIAL TALENT. TELLING PEOPLE OFF SWEETLY AND KINDLY WITH TOTAL ELEGANCE, GRACE AND FINESSE. I LIKE THAT QUALITY IN A PERSON. FOR REAL.
quote:Originally posted by DIGDOUGH: I've been following the messages in here for about a month. I like your connections Diana. I'm also a qbid shareholder. I have a bulk email program that can email everyone of the media contacts on the list you gave in a matter of hours. I will use the sample letter that you provided. Any objections or suggestions
WELCOME TO THE INSANE WORLD OF ALLSTOCKS. LOL IF YOU ARE NOT INSANE YET WE WILL DRIVE YOU THERE OURSELVES BECAUSE WE DON'T WANT ANYONE TO FEEL LEFT OUT. LOL
HERE IS A LETTER FROM ANOTHER BOARD THAT MIGHT HELP:
I modified Diana's letter slightly and emailed the below to them at newsroom@advocate.com
Yo u failed to mention a player in the gay tv market that will be launching much sooner than the first quarter of next year, in fact they will start their soft launch *NEXT WEEK* and fully launch in July.
Please take notice of the following press release. I am a current shareholder in the qtv network station, and I would like to know your opinions on why Viacom/MTV has garnered more press attention with claims to be the first, when clearly they will not be the first. I have done extensive research on the company and sincerely hope for it's success.
Thank you for your time and consideration. I feel this is a very important subject that needs to addressed in a timely manner.
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------ Move Over Fab 5: Q Television Has Arrived; New Gay Family Television Network Showcases its Unique Perspective Prior to Public Launch 5/26/2004 6:00:00 AM NEW ORLEANS, May 26, 2004 (BUSINESS WIRE) -- Q Television Network (Pink Sheets: QBID), headquartered in California, announces the launch of a subscriber channel for the gay and lesbian community in July 2004. An industry soft launch for carriers and advertisers begins June 1, 2004.
"It has taken more than seven years and millions of dollars to arrive at this day," says president and chairman Frank Olsen. "Clearly, the time to launch this network is now, and I am confident that the gay and lesbian community will embrace the unique perspective we offer as a family channel."
In a pre-public move to preview a sample of its programming to cable and satellite industry professionals, as well as potential advertisers, Q Television Network will offer a compressed daily broadcast that includes featured programs. The sample highlights Q Television's availability for carriage and sponsorship.
As executive vice president Steven Grunberg notes, "This is built by and for the gay community. Rather than a smattering of stereotyped gay characters offered because current market projections indicate it would be profitable, we offer a channel that will unite the gay and lesbian audience through a network that educates, entertains and informs - a network of real value."
Beginning June 1, the network will be available for viewing on Intelsat America's 7, 129 degrees West, Channel 1.
Olsen, an entrepreneur with a significant background in broadcast, was instrumental in the launch of The Movie Channel prior to its acquisition by Showtime. A pioneer in the development of new radio broadcast formats throughout his 40-year career, Olsen helped create African American radio and started the first gay radio stations.
"Just as CNN had tremendous hurdles to overcome, Frank and Q Television Network have had an uphill battle in the launch of Q Television," observes CFO Rene Schenk. "Q Television is positioned to successfully meet the demand that exists for a gay family channel."
Original and Acquired Programming
With a system of production crews throughout the United States, Q Television Network will offer a combination of original and acquired programming, which includes sports, fashion, travel, health & fitness, talk shows, plays, documentaries and movies. Teams of producers and directors will also bring breaking stories of interest to the network's audience via access to bureaus in Washington, D.C., New York, London, Paris, Moscow, Jerusalem and Iraq.
A preview of original programming premiered in May at the National Cable & Telecommunication Association's annual industry conference and was also included in a successful five-hour sample broadcast on May 15, which aired on Cox Cable in Louisiana and Comcast in the Puget Sound Region.
Included in that preview was "I Will, I Do, We Did," an original Q Television documentary exploring gay and lesbian marriage in America that offers an inside glimpse of the challenges faced by this community. Independent films, such as "An Intimate Friendship" and the award-winning "Straightman," are other examples of what will be available on the network, as well as commercial fare such as Bette Midler's "Divine Madness" concert.
About Q Television Network
This television network was organized to create and develop a network devoted to providing television programming for the gay and lesbian community. While the company expects much of its subscriber base to be comprised of members of the gay and lesbian population, management also believes that quality programming about the gay and lesbian experience, designed to entertain, educate and inform, will attract many other segments of the viewing public. The company's programming will be available on a subscription basis to those desiring its programming. The network will broadcast 24 hours per day, 7 days per week. Providing distribution via satellite ensures availability of the network across the United States, including Alaska, Hawaii and Puerto Rico.
Safe Harbor Statement
As a cautionary note to investors, certain matters discussed in this press release may be forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such matters involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially, including the following: changes in economic conditions; general competitive factors; the television network's ability to execute its business model and strategic plans; and the risks described from time to time in the company's Securities and Exchange Commission filings.
For more information regarding carriage and advertising opportunities, contact the network at 760-323-4455.
SOURCE: Q Television Network
Q Television Network, New Orleans Kendra Van Nostran, 504-949-3999 kvannostran@deveney.com http://www.qtelevision.com ------------- ----------------------------------------------------------
quote:Originally posted by CouchP: IS it Jane or Diana that keeps posting the levels of a stock breakout. Can you repost? I think we are on the verge of the point when average investors start to hear about it and the media begins to talk about it. Is that level 2 or 3? Anyway either means $$$$$$
Stage 1 - Accumulation. Stock is quiet, trading sideways and without a lot of volatility. Most everyone ignores the stock because it has no sizzle. Insiders hold large blocks of stock and quietly gear up for the distribution.
Stage 2 - Breakout. Volume jumps up, psychological barriers are broken. Insiders begin to tell their friends of upcoming significant fundamental change. Pros take notice and buy the stock on the coat tails of the well informed. The public ignores it because they have not read about the company in the paper yet. It must be a scam.
Stage 3 - Uptrend. As a larger audience learns of the company and its promise, more buying comes in to the stock and it begins to climb. Pros begin to sell, but slowly. Average investor begins to buy.
Stage 4 - Pullback. The stock has gone up too fast, and some profit taking arrives. The jumpy investor who got the entry timing right but lacks confidence in his or her decision sells the stock with a small profit, and smiles in the mirror. The Pro holds on, Average Investor looks through the newspaper to find justification for ownership of the shares.
Stage 5 - Resumption of the Uptrend. The pull back is short lived, and the stock bounces and continues higher. The wannabe regrets the sell, but provides self counsel on the merit of making a profit, albeit a small one. The Pro might sell a little bit more, but still holds the majority of the original position. The Average Investor is getting excited now, and thinks about what could have been if only he had bought when he first noticed the stock.
Stage 6 - Exhaustion of the Uptrend. The media takes notice, and communicates the company's merits to the masses. The masses buy the stock, and it goes up sharply with strong volume. The Pros sell with enthusiasm. The Average Investor owns it now, and is telling everyone who will listen. The wannabe Pro jumps back on, after all, he was smart enough to buy it when the trend started, so he knows the stock well. Will hope make it go higher?
Stage 7 - Gravity Works. Pro selling begins to weigh on the uptrend, and the stock fails to go higher despite high volumes. The stock starts to go down instead of up, and the Pro is almost sold out. The Average Investor continues to cheer lead, hoping to rally support. The wannabe ignores what the market is telling him, taking a loss is too painful to consider. The company is featured on the cover of a magazine.
Stage 8 - The Second Guess. The stock bounces and starts to go back up. The wannabe Pro averages down while the Average Investor gets back to advising friends of his stock picking acumen. Pros sell their remaining holdings and begin to look for another deal to play, or perhaps start short selling the stock.
Stage 9 - Out of Gas. The bounce is a fake out, and the stock moves lower again. The public own this stock, and they have no more power to buy. The Pro are making money on the short sales now, but are despised by the masses. Calls for short selling to be made illegal are made by the Average Investor, after all, the short sellers are the demons causing the sell off.
Stage 10 - Dead Cat Bounce. The Average Investor and the wannabe Pro have no pain tolerance left, and finally sell for a big loss. The short selling Pros are the only buyers to take the share off their hands, and provide the needed liquidity. The stock bounces, and some short term traders make a quick profit. The Average Investor either swears to never buy a stock again, or tells lively stories over drinks about the one that could have been.
Stage 11 - Post Mortem. Pros have forgot about the stock and are considering carpet samples for their new home in Florida. Average Investor continues to follow the company and buys loads of cheap stock to try and overcome the regrettable loss.
The stock market is mean. You can be a good analyst, but if you can't overcome the psychological traps of trading, you will do what the crowd does. To be successful, you have be one step ahead of the crowd, and trade with unemotional discipline. There are strategies to take advantage of each stage of the market cycle that can be applied just by looking at a stock chart. They just require a bit of knowledge.
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