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Author Topic: AMEP
1DayataTime
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Next week is the week for AMEP. This should be building all next week in anticipation of the commencement of drilling. We should ask for no more than 20% daily gains along the way so it doesn't send off crazy signals to MMs.
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pensandoenti67
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mm's made lots of money this past week, they are hungry and I states on Weds., AMEP has the momentum and the interest of many investors including you and I.

Gas price soar in the winter and the supply of gas is small. companies such as AMEP will make huge profits this winter, can't wait untl annual revenues are announced.

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1DayataTime
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When revenues are announced, this thing will SOAR! In the mean time, we just got to ride these spikes and dips. The MMs have permanently bookmarked this penny stock which is both bad and good. If you can't beat em, join em - at their own game.
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QuestSolver
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looking excellent for a Friday!

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Quest

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Jerm
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Great point 1DatataTime! Join the MM's I shall... just going to keep adding to my free shares instead of profits.
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pensandoenti67
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imagine what next will be like, we alreayd had a big dip this week. All I can see is green next week, just gotta play with the MM's, gotta join, we will never beat them.

How high are they going to let it go?

Your guess is as good as mine.

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1DayataTime
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The real question is this guys: There is no doubt in my mind that CB will have the press announcement next week or 10 days from when I spoke to him the day before yesterday - whatever comes first. BUT, MMs typically run these pennies up in anticipation of news only and sell off once it has arrived. SO, we could look at green M, T, W and when the news comes out, it may dip again. But let's play the next few days strong and see where that takes us.
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rayraypico
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Does anyone know when AMEP will have its quarterly report for the third quarter??
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bmaxingout
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well it looks like we might have finaly settled down mon i will start buying a posistion of 1.5 million shares if things go well i will be buying 1.5 million shares again on tuesday i will be selling half at nine and the rest at .11-.12 hopefully;-) also be playing dprk for twenty five thousand shares.have a great weekend and next week we make money.
bmax,


remember this is my opinion only do your dd and good luck.

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QuestSolver
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looks like I will have 2 gappers Monday at open

AMEP and CLBE!!!

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Quest

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mmalone
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quote:
Originally posted by rayraypico:
Does anyone know when AMEP will have its quarterly report for the third quarter??

Last 10Q was on 8/15. Next one should be 11/15.
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maumee river rat
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CLBE Questionable

AMEP Don't see it happening

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Persia
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The thrid quarter?
How about the drill PR. I'm waiting for that one.

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1DayataTime
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Will gap to .08 on Monday
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Slippery Wing
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Good EOD gainer! See you guys on Monday!
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1DayataTime
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See you on Monday. I'm going to lunch now. Next week is the big week..... GO AMEP!
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mmalone
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quote:
Originally posted by maumee river rat:
CLBE Questionable

AMEP Don't see it happening

Care to explain? Both companies look promising to me. Lots of DD suggests that is the case. I'm interested in what information you have found to suggest otherwise.
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QuestSolver
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river rat....we'll see,bet both open high.With CLBE only one way to go for this one imo,coming off an all time low this should be up in the teens soon.AMEP and the energy sector on the first east coast cold spell this weekend will wake it up quick!

have a great weekend all! great close

Q

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Quest

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maumee river rat
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quote:
Originally posted by mmalone:
quote:
Originally posted by maumee river rat:
CLBE Questionable

AMEP Don't see it happening

Care to explain? Both companies look promising to me. Lots of DD suggests that is the case. I'm interested in what information you have found to suggest otherwise.
Just took a quick look AT the charts... Don't have time to realy rip into them at the moment...I will look a bit closer this weekend and post.. First look didn't make me all happy, nothing jumped at me...I didn't intend to freak anyone out.. Amep does however look to be in the up mode for a bit....Just don't know if I think it will gap and hold on Monday is all.
Looks like it has potential to be a good one in the near term however..


Good luck!!

I will post on it this weekend if I see anything either way..

Hey I'm lookin for winners too!!!

Have a good weekend all!!

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1DayataTime
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Persia, the PR about the Drill next week will be positive but that news about a drill is just that - Wall Street and investors only really respond to numbers and the Quarterly earnings will be HUGE since it will (in theory) been drawing product and revenues for at least a month. That's when this thing will be on track to 50 cents. But hopefully in between the announcement of the drill and then the quarterly report, we'll see a steady rise in the PPS. I have a feeling though the MMs will have their fun in the month of October leading up to the quarterly. The MMs will not be able to compete with Institutional buyers which will pour in once a real quarterly report is on the table! It should be all up from here guys!
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johnny14511
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this site says [Big Grin] on this stock!

i really dont need this site to tell me how good this stock is!

but anyways anybody trust this site?



http://stockwire.com/blog.htm

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gotta make a grand AT LEAST daily man

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1DayataTime
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There are some other blogs but the buzz is positive. People are waiting to jump back in this one on Monday. Should be a good ride.
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bond006
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more than oil stocks


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posted 07-10-2005 19:50
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this is a long artical from money and markets but it is worth the read


Money and Markets Thursday, October 6, 2005

• The NEXT 40% Rise in Oil
• Dow Transports in Trouble!
• The Big Squeeze
• Two Wake-up Calls
• Black Gold vs. Yellow Metal
• Financial Weapons of Mass Destruction
• Update on the Gulf of Mexico
• Stay Alert … Asia Front Line


Dear Subscriber,

I love quick market corrections like the one we’re seeing right now in oil and oil stocks.

It’s giving early investors an opportunity to add to their winning positions.

It’s providing latecomers with an opportunity to jump on board.

And it’s helping to shake out the weakest players, paving the way for the next, robust rise.

Most important of all: This correction has done nothing to change the powerful fundamental forces that have been — and will continue to be — driving the energy sector higher:

The inflation-adjusted peak in oil prices is still the same — at $91 per barrel, measured in today’s dollars. So compared to other costs, oil and gasoline are still relatively cheap. And until oil reaches at least those levels, I believe it’s vastly premature to talk about “high prices suppressing demand,” the latest rationale for lower oil.


The recent price correction does nothing to correct the short- and long-term supply shortages caused by Hurricanes Katrina and Rita.


Nor does it do anything to resolve the shortages stemming from sabotaged pipelines in Iraq and civil unrest in other oil producing countries.


If anything, any temporary price correction right now merely discourages conservation efforts.


Plus the price correction encourages still more demand from the same countries that have been leading the demand surge month after month — the U.S., China and India.
My view: Before we can begin to talk about an equilibrium between supply and demand, oil prices must get back up into the $90 - $100 range. And by that time, there are bound to be more pressures from demand and from overall to push prices even higher.

My forecast: $130 oil sometime next year.

My recommendation: Hold all your energy and natural resource positions, and wait for my signal to buy more.

Dow Transports in Trouble

While this week’s decline in oil and energy stocks has all the earmarks of a temporary correction, the decline in the Dow Jones Transportation Index is another story entirely.

That’s why, in my Energy Options Alert, I told subscribers to expect a big plunge in the Dow Jones Transportation Index as profits got clocked by higher energy costs. Plus, I went one step further: I told them to buy a put option on the index — an investment that helps you actually profit from the decline.

In late September, the Dow Transports defied my expectations and went up instead of down.

Now, however, the decline I was anticipating has finally begun: In just the last two days of trading, nearly all its recent gains have been wiped out.

Plus, in the next few days, the index looks like it could plunge through its September levels -- and beyond, to a new, 4-month low.

No, energy prices aren’t high enough yet to make a significant dent in demand. But they’re certainly high enough to trim profit margins and stock values in these energy-dependent companies. And this is just the beginning of the damage that I see to a wide variety of companies in virtually every sector.

That’s why four months ago, I issued an even broader warning to my Real Wealth Report subscribers. My headline was:

“The Big Squeeze”

I told my subscribers that key sectors of the U.S. economy would soon look like an orange that had been sliced in half and squeezed in a juicer.

Now, the Big Squeeze is here.

It’s not a temporary phenomenon. Nor is it caused exclusively by surging energy costs. It’s also the result of too much debt ... too little personal savings ... surging prices from other basic materials ... and rising interest rates.

It’s why corporate profits are starting to slump and why companies like General Motors, Ford, Northwest, Delta and many more are in shambles.

Two Wake-up Calls

The decline in the stock market yesterday was your first wake-up call. The news from General Motors was your second.

GM is setting aside up to $800 million from its balance sheet. Plus, it’s selling its remaining stake in Fuji Heavy. These are signs of a company in the first phases of serious distress.

Look at it this way: If giant GM lost $2.5 billion in the first half of the year ... is restating the value of its balance sheet by $800 million ... and is selling off what was once considered a valuable asset ... then you can be pretty sure there are dozens, perhaps hundreds, of other companies that are facing similar, or worse, troubles.

So I hope you’ve listened to my recent warnings and have most of your money safe, in a short-term, liquid, money market. And I hope you’ve also taken seriously my recommendation to limit your stock holdings mostly to natural resources, which should continue to do well.


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Black Gold vs. Yellow Metal

As the torrid pace of events accelerates over the next few months, here’s one fundamental issue you should always keep in mind: The gross undervaluation of gold.

Consider, for example, the relationship between the price of gold bullion and crude oil.

Historically, an ounce of gold usually bought between 11 and 15 barrels of oil. Today, an ounce of gold buys only 7 barrels.

Since it’s unlikely that oil will fall much from current levels, that means the yellow metal is dirt-cheap compared to the price of black gold.

So let’s do the math ...

Say the price of oil stays at its current $64 a barrel. For gold to get back to even the lower end of its purchasing power vis-à-vis oil (11 barrels of crude), that would mean gold would have to rise to $704 an ounce.

And for gold to get back to the upper end of its historical valuation relative to oil (15 barrels), it would have to soar to $960 an ounce.

That sets the parameters very clearly: Gold will have to trade between $704 and $960 per ounce.

And all this assumes no further rise in oil prices. At $90 or $100 oil, gold will have to go much higher.

Unrealistic? I don’t think so. Indeed, gold today is essentially just as undervalued as oil was in 2001, when it was trading at just $17 per barrel. So when gold springs to life and starts adjusting to the loss in the purchasing power of the dollar over the last 20 odd years, it too will explode higher, just like oil has.

I repeat: Gold is extremely undervalued.

I fully expect it to reach $1,000 an ounce. Meanwhile, select gold shares — those that do not hedge the price of gold — could double and triple from current price levels.

No, that’s not going to happen overnight. And like oil, gold and gold shares are also subject to downdrafts and price pauses. Don’t let them bother you. Instead, keep the big picture in focus. That way, you can ride these trends for their full glory.

What are the most likely triggers that could set off the next explosive rally in gold? There are several:

First, general inflation. It’s rising, just as I’ve been predicting for over three years. And, right now, it’s going to start rising much more quickly. The most immediate reason: The $200 billion in paper money that the government is going to have to print and borrow in order to rebuild the Gulf ... plus, lax monetary policies in virtually every corner of the globe.

Second, rising social and political stress. Unfortunately, the war on terror is destined to continue for years. There will be social upheavals in China between the rich and the poor.

And there is no end in sight to the heated ethnic conflicts precisely in those areas where natural resources are among the richest: Central Africa, Indonesia and key regions of South America.

I expect all of these to escalate in the years ahead, creating acute shortages of raw materials, more inflation shocks and surging demand for gold.

Third, the dollar decline. While it’s stable right now, the long-term downtrend remains firmly intact.

The budget deficit — which will now blow out to record highs due to Katrina and Rita — virtually ensures a falling dollar. Added on top of that: Another $44 trillion in unfunded liabilities in this country.

Fourth, don’t forget ...

Derivatives:
Financial Weapons
of Mass Destruction

Derivatives are instruments used by banks, insurers, commodity producers and other institutions to help hedge against losses ... and to make speculative bets on the future direction of virtually any market.

Most of the players and analysts stress the hedging side of the equation. They see these leveraged bets as good “insurance” to help provide markets with better liquidity and investors with better protection against adverse price moves.

The problem: Derivatives are designed for protection against reasonable price movements that are largely expected. They do not provide protection against dramatic changes that are unexpected. In fact, it’s precisely those kinds of disasters that can cause a massive “blow-up” in derivatives.

Some examples: The 1992 currency crisis in Europe … the 1994 Mexican peso crisis … the collapse of Barings Bank in 1995 ... the Asian Financial Crisis of 1997 ... and the default by Russia on its debt in 1998, precipitating the demise of Long Term Capital Management — just to name a few.

Now, here’s what bothers me the most about the derivatives market: Its growth is out of control, and no one has a good handle on who owns what or where the hidden risks may lie.

According to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), the notional, or gross amount of derivative bets held by insured U.S. banks, is now $96.2 trillion.

If just 1% of the $96.2 trillion in derivatives were to go bad, that could cause nearly one TRILLION in losses that would cascade through the system.

What might trigger the derivatives crisis? I see three major threats on the horizon:

Threat #1. Surging interest rates. The OCC reports that 85% of the derivatives are based on the direction of interest rates. That means that if I’m right about oil, natural resources and inflation, and if the inflation drives interest rates up as sharply as I expect, there are bound to be a series of disasters in this sector.

Reason: When placing their bets, thousands of banks, insurance companies, and mortgage lenders rely on relatively stable, or at least predictable, interest rates. If rates spike more quickly than expected, many will get caught with large losses, and some could even fail.

Threat #2. Real Estate Prices. The average price of a condo in Manhattan has slumped 13% in the third quarter just ended, the biggest drop in 16 years. If Manhattan is slipping, you can pretty much assume that the hot real estate markets elsewhere are starting to crack as well.

There are trillions of dollars at stake in the mortgage markets, with many links to the interest-rate derivatives I just told you about. So a sharp, unexpected decline in real estate prices could send many banks, mortgage companies and other financial institutions over the edge.

Threat #3. The dollar itself. If the dollar’s long-term decline resumes, as I expect it will, the greenback itself could set off a derivatives nuclear bomb.

How so? Foreign investors are financing up to 75% of this country’s trade deficit as well as a substantial portion of the U.S. federal deficit.

Result: The U.S. has suffered a rapid deterioration in its net international investment position (NIIP). Specifically, in the past 23 years, our NIIP has deteriorated from a liability of merely 10% of GDP to a liability of almost 25% of GDP.

Meanwhile, the value of foreign holdings in the United States now exceeds U.S. holdings abroad by nearly $4 trillion.

That’s unsustainable. At some point, overseas investors will throw in the towel on U.S. assets, and the dollar will crater, causing more derivatives bombs to go off.

Update on the Gulf of Mexico ...

As of this morning, production in the Gulf that’s still shut down amounts to over 1.3 million barrels of oil per day, or nearly 90% of the daily oil production.

Meanwhile, the shut-down in gas production is over 7 billion cubic feet per day, equal to just over 71% of the daily gas production.

Since Katrina hit, the cumulative shut-downs in oil production is over 46 million barrels, 8% of the yearly Gulf production; while the cumulative gas production shut-down is 226 billion cubic feet, over 6% of the yearly gas production.

In short, the recovery progress in the Gulf oil and gas production is a lot slower than most analysts expected.

Look at it this way: Last year’s Hurricane Ivan destroyed 7 platforms, 100 pipelines and ZERO rigs. By contrast, Katrina and Rita have destroyed 90 platforms, at least 5 rigs, and a still-unknown number of pipelines.

Stay Alert ... Asia Front Line

Next week, I’m off to Asia with stops planned in Bangkok, Shanghai, Hong Kong, and if time permits, Mumbai. I’ll be reporting to you from the front lines.

Best wishes for your health and wealth,

Larry Edelson
Editor, Real Wealth Report
Energy Options Alert
Gold Trader Hotline


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

About MONEY AND MARKETS

MONEY AND MARKETS (MAM) is published by Weiss Research, Inc. and written by Martin D. Weiss along with Larry Edelson, Tony Sagami and other contributors. To avoid conflicts of interest, Weiss Research and its staff do not hold positions in companies recommended in MAM. Nor do we accept any compensation for such recommendations. The comments, graphs, forecasts, and indices published in MAM are based upon data whose accuracy is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Performance returns cited are derived from our best estimates but must be considered hypothetical inasmuch as we do not track the actual prices investors pay or receive. Contributors include Marie Albin, John Burke, Michael Burnick, Beth Cain, Amber Dakar, Scot Galvin, Michael Larson, Monica Lewman-Garcia, Julie Trudeau and others.

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GET IN STROGER.GO AMEP=$$$$$...

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cbrf2
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wow, good post

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"I sell ice in the winter, i sell fire in hell, I AM A HUSTLA, BABY, i sell water to a well!"

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pensandoenti67
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Smile chart looks good, back to it's normal uptrend. As someone posted give is 10-20% a day.

http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=8042980

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pensandoenti67
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per request

http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=8044669

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QuestSolver
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For the oil investor: The latest tropical depression right now seems headed to North Carolina but this may change as it is far off for now. There seem to be more to come.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/203829.shtml?3day

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Quest

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strike1
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What type Ideco Rig model is this amep bought? TIA
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QuestSolver
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MINERAL WELLS, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Sept. 1, 2005--American Energy Production, Inc., (OTCBB: AMEP - News ) announced today that AMEP Strategic Investments, Inc., an investee, has purchased an 8,000 foot capacity Ideco drilling rig from Aramdrill in Mexico. This acquisition allows American Energy Production, Inc., and its' investees, Bend Arch Petroleum and Oil America Group, Inc., to redefine their long range exploration and development strategy for the 7,000 acres of Barnett Shale prospects currently owned by Bend Arch Petroleum, Inc.


the H-40 rig I believe

http://www.oilfieldrigs.com/classifieds.html#657D4

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Quest

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QuestSolver
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http://futures.fxstreet.com/Futures/quotes/futuresource/quotes.asp?iFSQgroup=energy&iFSQtitle=Energy Futures&iFSQfields=desc,month,last,netchg,open,high,low,exchg,time

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Quest

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strike1
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thanks Quest... I was just doing a search to see what one looked like... GL
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strike1
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Drilling rig:

http://www.pr-marriott-drilling.com/oil-ss40-rig5.htm

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QuestSolver
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stocks to watch before and be in at open imo,all are going to be actively in the green maybe all week.

AMEP....CLBE.....GCCP

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Quest

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johnny14511
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quote:
Originally posted by johnny14511:
this site says [Big Grin] on this stock!

i really dont need this site to tell me how good this stock is!

but anyways anybody trust this site?



http://stockwire.com/blog.htm

DOES ANYBODY TRUST THIS SITE

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gotta make a grand AT LEAST daily man

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1DayataTime
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Get ready for the a.m guys & gals. This one is primed to make a run! GO AMEP!
Posts: 46 | From: Los Angeles | Registered: Sep 2005  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
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