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Author Topic: What I am watching as swing trades 3
sju1973
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quote:
Originally posted by rajthebam:
SJU - i also took profit on TC but not as big as yours....remember i was looking for 10% gain before year end and you recommended TC - well i sold it early when i reached that 10% gain goal....

I remember Raj. Awesome! I'm glad you got in on it and made something out of it.

As far as the market movement TJ. The Fed released news today at 2pm.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Fed-signals-it-will-take-apf-1578578684.html?x=0&s ec=topStories&pos=main&asset=f5975c94c977cd6b8b8b158842041e85&ccode=

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TraderJones
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Thanks Sju. I was under the impression that they had already released their news earlier today. Interesting report.
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TraderJones
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All I saw on that report was: slugish economy, slugish economy.......no jobs.....bad housing market.....we're in trouble and we're gonna fake it to MAKE things go up....ain't gonna work in my opinion.
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rajthebam
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i am with you TJ
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TraderJones
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I think "we" have cut our own throats, as far as the job situation goes, by sending all of our product manufacturing to China. Or was that statement more than obvious?? haha
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BooDog
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Looks like we are very close to our turn. My charts haven't been showing up here when i post so we'll see if I can get a couple links working. Not seeing divergence crossover or anything to get really excited about at the moment imo but the little red line (- divergence) is starting to turn down and there is improvement on the oscillator. I don't see a major stress on any of my indicators which imo will keep volatility fairly even so I'm not expecting any major radical moves. More like a steady reversal to see if the bears will be able to knock out a few bulls at a time. Kinda like when you see a few stocks from yesterdays highs slowly sink so in a few weeks you're kicking yourself for not taking at least some profits off the top. My dow target was 10,700 and we actually hit 10,833. If my bearish turn call is wrong and the dow somehow manages to break back above 10,8 it could change the picture. I'm not seeing much reason (or logic if there is any) to put the "hope" factor for the bulls to keep us going right now without at least some form of a "reset" but I do see this as a good time to be at least more cautious.
Just my rambling gibberish opinion. Let me know what you guys think.

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/charts/big.chart?frames=1&symb=faz&compidx=aaaa a%3A0&comp=fas&ma=6&maval=9&uf=8&lf=2&lf2=512&lf3=65536&type=4&size=3&state=8&si d=3830866&style=320&time=4&freq=1&mocktick=1

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/charts/big.chart?frames=1&symb=%24indu&compidx= aaaaa%3A0&ma=6&maval=9&uf=8&lf=2&lf2=512&lf3=65536&type=4&size=3&state=8&sid=164 3&style=320&time=4&freq=1&comp=NO%5FSYMBOL%5FCHOSEN&mocktick=1

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=FAZ&p=D&yr=0&mn=1&dy=0&id=p80569817491

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All post are my opinion. Do your own DD. Who's clicking your buy/sell button!?

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BooDog
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comment from one of the other boards i frequent...
Re: Dow Jones Forecast
by zeeshan1 » Wed Sep 22, 2010 9:17 am

1. We are rallying.

2. Volume during the rally has been abnormally weak. The volume on yesterday's down day was larger than anything we've had lately.

3. $RUT, the russells index is lagging. That's not the way it's supposed to be, the small caps should lead the way.

4. $BANK still lags in a big way.

5. $VIX has gone sideways, when it should have dropped in a true rally.

6. $tran is lagging, the transportation index.

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All post are my opinion. Do your own DD. Who's clicking your buy/sell button!?

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TraderJones
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Boo-My guess is that you are fairly accurate in your thoughts. And besides that I think you are much more of a master of the charts than I am. Although My feeling is that the market is going to reverse faster than you think. Maybe that's just wishful thinking since I'm into FAZ. We'll see.
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BooDog
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quote:
Originally posted by TraderJones:
Boo-My guess is that you are fairly accurate in your thoughts. And besides that I think you are much more of a master of the charts than I am. Although My feeling is that the market is going to reverse faster than you think. Maybe that's just wishful thinking since I'm into FAZ. We'll see.

imo it's a tough call since as I mentioned I didn't see any real stressed indicators. Zee just told me he got his post from another source also lol but i wanted to show that there are many different theories out there. If we just go sideways a bit then maybe we can consolidate and continue. Who knows.

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All post are my opinion. Do your own DD. Who's clicking your buy/sell button!?

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Morpheus
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Im back to green in my FAZ buying spree of the last 2 weeks...go man go...also trimming half of my SIRI turned out good too...(wish I had bailed on the total holding)
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TraderJones
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Yeah, i'm in the green on FAZ also Morph. I was almost going to suggest that you go short on the rest of your SIRI a few days ago.
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Morpheus
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as far as going short on SIRI goes...the spread is way too big to play the trading in and out game on that stock...I prefer just to buy the inverse crap...FAZ, SRS, TZA..that has always been a good strategy for me...
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BooDog
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sweet you guys. good luck, back to 80% cash here. I'm with you Morpheus.... why don't i just go 100% this way or that?? [BadOne] thats for my retirement anyway - can't short with it or play individual stocks - good ole tsp.

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All post are my opinion. Do your own DD. Who's clicking your buy/sell button!?

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Morpheus
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a while back for many years...funny as it may seem..i used ADBE as a leading market indicator... it worked very well and continues to do so in current market trends...boy o boy did it take a crash today...hmmmmm...if the past hold true...that should be fantastic for all us lemmings holding FAZ...
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BooDog
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quote:
Originally posted by Morpheus:
a while back for many years...funny as it may seem..i used ADBE as a leading market indicator... it worked very well and continues to do so in current market trends...boy o boy did it take a crash today...hmmmmm...if the past hold true...that should be fantastic for all us lemmings holding FAZ...

wow! That dog just said See ya! down and out! lol. Thanks for the tip Morpheus!

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All post are my opinion. Do your own DD. Who's clicking your buy/sell button!?

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BooDog
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oh, and so much for not seeing any stressed indicators now! lmao.

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All post are my opinion. Do your own DD. Who's clicking your buy/sell button!?

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Morpheus
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oh yeah...did somebody say "dow spike down"...now the question is...what is the next move...it is a game of chess, gotta plan and execute with the proper timing
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BooDog
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Waiting for a bit here. support was broken so waiting to see how things look going into tomorrow and next week. That's what my 20% risk factor was for incase somehow we spike right back up to 11k. Doubt it but...


hell, the media controls everything anywayz right? [Eek!]

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All post are my opinion. Do your own DD. Who's clicking your buy/sell button!?

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TraderJones
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Yeah Morph, that is the question. What is the next move?? The market has been in an up-down-up-down trend for the past 3 months. Trading has been slugish, job market doesn't look good, as well as housing and the auto market. And of course the overall economy doesn't look so good either. I think the the European market is a little shaky too. So do we follow the charts as far as watching it top out?? Or what?? Right now I'm mostly following the charts. But maybe just pulling out a good percentage would be good enough and then buy back in if it looks good...?? Any input fellas??
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TraderJones
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GO FAZ GO!!!
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TraderJones
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Now the (other) question is: Are we going to have a red Friday?? It's been green for 4 weeks in a row..i think. if it goes red it might set the trend. we'll see. Still holding FAZ?? I think so.
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rajthebam
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just unloaded my FAZ for 15% gain in 2 days...
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rajthebam
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TJ tomorrow could be another good day for FAZ but i was not going to wait - i took the money and ran...you can't lose in that case in stead of riding the scary friday which as you said has been green for past 4 weeks.....
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Morpheus
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Huh...whats that you say??..my Prediction for tomorrow Friday?
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Morpheus
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P A I N

for the bulls...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AFlmSp4sIog

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TraderJones
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that's a scary video Morph. Black friday coming.....we will see. I think there might be a bit of a rally in the morning but then going red most of the rest of the day.
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rajthebam
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good luck every1
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Happy Valley
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quote:
Originally posted by Happy Valley:
SIMG...Getting a little pop today after consolidating last couple weeks...Watch for $4.50 break today or next week...jmo

$4.76...New 52wk highs here...
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TraderJones
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Well Raj, it looks like you chose wisely...for now anyway. Oops....I forgot to factor in the fake news that they were going to throw in to the mix. Ba$^ards! I think we could still see a reversal today though, we'll see.....shoulda coulda
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sju1973
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I have a stop set on my FAZ at 12.75. I am holding unless it hits my stop. I'm playing for a down week next week.
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rajthebam
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looking to get in on FAZ again....lucked out on faz yesterday....but i agree with you next week should be red again.
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BooDog
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quote:
Originally posted by BooDog:
Waiting for a bit here. support was broken so waiting to see how things look going into tomorrow and next week. That's what my 20% risk factor was for incase somehow we spike right back up to 11k. Doubt it but...


hell, the media controls everything anywayz right? [Eek!]

wow... that's all i can say right now [Eek!]

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All post are my opinion. Do your own DD. Who's clicking your buy/sell button!?

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TraderJones
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This about the time of day that your going to see a low on FAZ Raj. if your going to get in, might be a good time. Click your own buttons though, don't let me tell you what to do.
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rajthebam
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in FAZ at 13.05
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TraderJones
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nice spot Raj.
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