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Author Topic: Blue - PDGE Alert
Purl Gurl
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For Blue and all readers.

PDGE filed their 10Q today, and it is a good one.
Very nice report showing good gains for their
financial bottom line.

Share price dropped ten percent today. Go figure.

Blue, I have been contacting investor friends,
today, and discussing PDGE as an investment
for the next thirty to ninety days. We have
agreed each of us will dump five grand into
PDGE early morning, hopefully with prices
still below 1.20 per. It might be pre-market
trading will drive prices up quickly.

Below 1.20 per share, a darn good buy.
Between 1.20 to 1.25 per, a decent buy.
At 1.30 and above, well, maybe ok to buy.

My expectation, concensus is PDGE will move
back to the 1.30 to 1.40 range within twenty
days, but may do even better over the next
three, possibly six months.

Today's 10Q filing is here:

http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/771485/000095015205005138/j1444301e10vq.txt

I urge readers to be cautious, to read that 10Q
carefully, look at charts, read company news,
then make a prudent decision.

This could be a bad tip, you could lose money,
I could be dead wrong.

Take a look at PDGE and give it some thought.
My expectation is to earn ten percent on this
one within ten to twenty days. If so, a decision
to hold or sell, will then be made.

Purl Gurl

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Purl Gurl
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Blue, I know you are already vested in this one.
Maybe average down? Hopefully, our buying in
tomorrow will prompt an upward swing in prices.

I urge you, Blue, to continue holding, which
you are sure to do, being a savvy trader.

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blue_in_MI
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hi Purl, yeesh been crazy lately, barely time to check the markets.

yeah a disappointing dip in PDGE. have read a little of today's news, though still need to fully digest. i was hoping for .03, they came up with .024 or so per share. still, a good Q from what i've read so far. i guess people were looking for them to match their last Q where they earned a nickel, though anyone who followed it closely would have known that taxes would start to kick in.

PDGE, HOM - both similar in several ways. clearly growing, clearly value stocks, but - for whatever reason they can't generate sustained investor excitement, at least yet. the only way i know how to play either is to hold half, and swing-trade half. no way am selling at 1.15, is ridiculous. even if you factor this last Q's earnings over a year (despite the fact that this is their slowest Q historically), still a low forward P/E of 12. will continue to hold, i agree with you that is undervalued at these prices.

another interesting factor is the state of the acquisition, will be interesting to see the news of this that they alluded to in the PR today down the road.

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Purl Gurl
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Both HOM and PDGE exhibited the same behavior
after releasing good financial reports, at least
in my opinion, good reports.

Previously I suggested possible shorting to
accumulate HOM shares. Now I am not so sure.

Not an expert on this but it seems shorting would
not take place for both stocks, that would be
quite the coincidence.

A possibility romping around in my mind is some
investors expected "stunning" profit results.
They may be disappointed with simply a very
good report showing slow but constant growth.
I like those type of reports, those which show
strong slow growth, free of fluff and hype.

Might be some starting dumping setting off a
downward spiral, which triggered stop losses.
I don't know, just a possible which would apply
to both HOM and PDGE, equally.

Another factor might be many are buying into this
myth of a real estate bubble burst, and that is
all it is, a myth. Nonetheless, some do believe
that myth and might be moving out of real estate
related industries.

Regardless of what is causing this downward shifts
in price, I am very adamant about both HOM and
PDGE being way undervalued. Financial reports
are very good, growth is good, I cannot find any
negatives for either company.

A positive is HOM share value is beginning to
move up very nicely. With so much in common,
I would expect PDGE to do the same, in time.

Tomorrow morning's opening for PDGE, I suspect
will be hot and furious. Our group's hope is to
be able to jump in before prices go back up.

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blue_in_MI
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not sure how much of an effect people speculating on FL hurricanes and how they will/won't affect ongoing business has been.

is funny, seems like i have frequently been invested in stocks where this is a "factor", at least in people's minds - IPII, PDGE, JMIH, even HD.

i'm too stubborn to sell any HD stock either, also a long-term hold. maybe is in part because i spent about $5-6k there the last 2 months, heh

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Purl Gurl
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Blue - PDGE

Orders are being filled very slowly at 1.18 per.

Share price jumped to 1.20 per upon partial
fills for some our orders.

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blue_in_MI
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out of curiosity, is your bid being reflected as the best bid on your ticker? mine never do, for example if i bid 1.18 on 5000 PDGE, i'm sure the best bid on my ticker would stay at 1.16. was curious if things were different for you...?
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Purl Gurl
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Yes, same on my E*Trade live feed.

I know there are lots of orders in at 1.18 per
but those orders do not show. As I type, spread
is 1.17 / 1.20 while many 1.18 orders are current,
and of interest, last trade was at 1.16 per.

Market Makers rarely display actual bid / ask.

We are sticking with our 1.18 buy orders and
will make a decision later today if we should
bump up our orders a penny or two.

At 1.20 per, PDGE is still an excellent buy
with strong potential for a ten cents per share
gain over the next couple of weeks.

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man4apenny
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re pdge
I think this is a true value microcap and thinks it is rodney dangerfield. "Just can't get any respect". Someone from ihub sold because of lower profit margins (false btw) and tough comps for the next few qtrs. (Depends on hurricaine season as far as how many and how severe). Checked the recent forescast and they are predicting 7 hurricaines with 3 being major ones so it could very well be mots (more of the same) as last year. Wish I could buy more here.

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Purl Gurl
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Man 4 A Penny, people are too impatient. My opinion
is a majority of online traders expect to earn
one-hundred percent profits in one day. Clearly
an exaggeration on my part but a truism.

Despite my sarcasm it is very true online traders
are in a hurry and do not like to invest effort
into making money. They are self-centered which
leads to unrealistic expectations and laziness.

Within context, if you can earn ten percent on
your money in a year, that is very good. Earnings
of ten percent over a quarter, is excellent.

I am more than willing to hold a stock well beyond
a quarter to earn ten percent. ALMI, going on
holding that one for two years, with profit very
near three-hundred percent. PDGE, although my
excitement leads me to think profits will be
sooner rather than later, PDGE I am fairly sure
will be a one to two quarter hold.

On your storm season, yes, I do expect certain
companies to report significant profits after
the season is finished, after repairs are made
and revenue can be reported. PDGE might become
a hold until the end of this year.

This impatience of online traders frequently works
to yours and my advantage. These great prices on
PDGE is a direct result of those impatient people
selling off because they didn't earn their expected
one-hundred percent profit in a day.

Works for me! They sell driving prices down to
very good buy levels, I buy and wait. Later in
time, I cash in on their mistakes.

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Krysten911
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PG-

I must say you have my research engines moving. Once you get used to some of the lingo- OK so I have a dictionary by my side, trends are easier to realize and make educational judgements on. PDGE so far is behaving as you have said, quite similiar to that of HOM. I am neck high in all these SEC filings. This research portion is rather addicting.

I do like the statistics on the PDGE client base. I believe that if they maintain a lower percentage in government/ public institution contracts, they will have a better shot at making and maintaining more revenue. Once a company relies on city/ state and public agencies, it is almost the kiss of death to become a major competitor in any field. The factor becomes state budgeting instead of disaster relief or other private ventures. Just my two cents of today.

--------------------
Life only has so many choices, choose wisely.

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Purl Gurl
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"Once a company relies on city/ state and public
agencies, it is almost the kiss of death to become
a major competitor in any field."

Your comment is very true. CLSI is a prime example.
CLSI is a company which specializes in parking lot
services. Inherently, those services are aimed at
governmental and quasi-governmental agencies. CLSI
share prices are currently stagnant, which reflects
a lack of money in the hands of government agencies,
especially municipal governments.

CLSI is doing just fine with constant quarter
reports of profits, but they are having a hard
time expanding into the private sector. They
are beginning to expand outside of government
contracts, but are having to spend capital to
do so, which keeps their earnings fairly flat.

Choice for CLSI is to work at dominating the
market in parking services, which they are
working at doing. However, they are still stuck
within your comment about regulated revenues.
This will not always be true for CLSI.

"I am neck high in all these SEC filings."

No doubt you are pleased to be so.

"This research portion is rather addicting."

Your reward is more consistent profits. Greatest
mistake online traders make is not performing
good research.

PDGE, like CLSI, exemplifies your comments. Those
selling under 1.20 today, selling PDGE, are making
a mistake most likely because they did not perform
good research, but rather were winging it on a
hope of fast profit, for no personal effort.

Since late 2003 / early 2004, those investors
making consistent profits, have moved their
money into value stocks. Yes, slower growth
but more frequent small wins. Value stocks can
only be found through good research.

It is all in the numbers, percentage numbers.

I urge you to continue with your learning how
to research. I have never found learning to be
harmful to a person.

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Krysten911
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This game is certainly a lesson in patience. Though I may not be the smarter, one of my pennies rose to %83.5. I held through it though because I believe that company is going to suffer pumpers and dumpers for awhile before true value comes into play. For me, the decision to ride the wave or buy and sell is a tough one that I am still trying to work out a solid strategy for.

PDGE is quite frustrating. Even from $1.20 to $1.18 on Yahoo finance, orders are still being filled at a snail's pace. I am patiently waiting to get on that band wagon at $1.18. This order has been live for two hours. I hope to be able to acquire this one for a long term.

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vg
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Purl have any of your group orders been filled
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Purl Gurl
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VG, only partial fills today. Most orders were
at 1.18 per, a few at 1.17 per. The 1.17 per
orders made no buys.

My order, got about two-thirds of what I wanted.

I have not yet checked in with my girlfriends to
tally how much was actually purchased. My best
guess is about half of today's volume went
to us; not enough.

We had hoped there would be "close of market"
fills on our orders, didn't happen. Appears
sellers are holding firm to 1.20 per share.

Tomorrow is another chance!

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vg
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Purl has the snails pace finally caught up or not yet, Ameritrade is showing me that only 7900 traded today I wonder why
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vg
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Ameritrade is showing that nite is sitting on the ask at 1.17 but no movement. I got filled at 1.17 this morning but I had only 400 shares wonder why its so slow no one wants to sell I guess
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Purl Gurl
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A few of us are trying for 1.16 buys, but no luck.

Buyers are there, but no sellers at lower prices.
My hunch is Market Makers are trying to accumulate
just as we are.

I expect PDGE to back up to 1.30 per within the
next five to ten business days.

Current ask, 1.18, 1.22, 1.30 and up. That will
change during the course of trading but a spread
like that indicates upward pressure.

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Krysten911
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PG-
I was able to sneak in on a fill or kill only for 1000 shares at 1.16. The rest fell in at 1.17. That was certainly a quick window.

By the way- as I had mentioned- I got greddy and blew my opportunity at 5K. It pays to set your percentage limits and stick to them!

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Purl Gurl
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Krysten, we do need to perform good research, need
to make informed decisions, but a final analysis
is the markets are a crapshoot.

PDGE is showing signs of gapping up, current spread,

1.14 / 1.19

Upward pressure continues to be applied.

My expectation is PDGE, next week early, will show
volume at 1.20 to 1.22 and late week 1.24 to 1.26
per share. I'm crossing my fingers upward pressure
will prevail as savvy investors take control of
the market in PDGE stock.

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vg
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purl are you still trying to buy at such low prices or just waiting it out?
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Purl Gurl
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Currently waiting it out. Prices are only three
to four cents below our average buy price. That
is not enough to warrant averaging down.

I suspect volume will continue to be light at
these somewhat lower prices.

Friday Light. Volatility is almost always greater
on a Friday, but volume is always light.

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Purl Gurl
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Ok, trying to average down at 1.09 per share.
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Purl Gurl
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Interesting, prices are rogue at 1.09 / 1.09
with a buy at 1.07 per.

Perhaps this is the bottom of the downticking.

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Purl Gurl
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Now 1.09 / 1.18 trading at 1.17 per!

Back to 1.09 / 1.10 with last trade at 1.17 per.

Love that market manipulation! This is the time
to seriously look at PDGE for those interested.

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blue_in_MI
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weird - a lot of playing "guessing the bottom" today. at one time had orders out for PDGE at 1.07, ALMI at .98, ETLT at .20, and FRGN at .43.

a hint of sunshine today in the otherwise very overcast picture for long-underappreciated value stocks lately was: NWD. very, very nice day for NWD!

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Purl Gurl
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Great day for NWD. Almost forgot about this one
with holding it for so long. A few of us in our
group are in at .66 to .67 per share!

I really love these long term value stocks.

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Purl Gurl
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Blue, you should move to California.

Yesterday's shaker was a doozy! We are very close
to the epicenter, nice clear hot day to boot!

Shake and Bake!

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blue_in_MI
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i spent much of last summer in CA, much of it beautiful but the traffic would drive me crazy, heh. of course, i can't afford it, also. really is amazing - very difficult for many people from any other part of the country except for maybe NYC and environs to move to CA. a friend of mine was offered a job at cisco out there when they closed the cisco office in ann arbor in a consolidation. and he turned it down for one and exactly one reason: the $300K he would have got for his average 3BR/2BA in ann arbor would have fetched him: a delapidated 2BR/1BA shoebox a 90 minute commute in CA. he instead is contemplating between moving to NC or finding another job here.

as for NWD, yup nice to see a value stock have a good day, haven't been many lately it seems like. you mentioned "almost forgot it", maybe this is actually a good strategy with stocks like NWD and PDGE and CLSI etc: buy them, try to ignore the often frustrating short-term swings and investor disinterest, and check back in 3-4 years and see how they did.

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Purl Gurl
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There is comfort in holding value stocks, a type
of investment you can forget about knowing share
value will increase over a long period of time.

Fun to play volatile pennies but the real money
is in long term value stocks.

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Purl Gurl
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On California, although our population is increasing
from across the border, more people are moving out
of our state than ever before.

Baby Boomers are coming of age and money. Many of
our values established in the Sixties, have not
been lost to time. We still hold to our dreams
of moving out to rural areas to lead a private
and peaceful life, even if as Green Acres farmers.

We continue our search for a large parcel of land
somewhere along the eastern Sierras in California.
Eventually we will leave Southern California for
reasons at which you hint; traffic, pollution,
over-crowding, crime.

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Purl Gurl
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Nice gains today, Blue. I expect PDGE to move back
to the 1.28 to 1.32 range within twenty business days, maybe a little earlier.

Have a look at the CLSI thread. Two pieces of good
news recently. As you know it is the habit of CLSI
to only announce news when it is a "done deal."

No hype, no fluff, just the facts, ma'am.

I like that.

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vg
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I think i'm liking the smallcap long term stocks just because I could still go to school and not worry about the volatility in the regular small caps running up and down.
Purl what is a good price to get into CLSI? or the other small ones that you had previouslu in the other threads?

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Purl Gurl
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"...smallcap long term stocks...."

For two years, this is the real money.

To profit off volatile penny stocks, since 2003,
you need to be on a live feed, constantly watching,
constantly trading. Even so, it is becoming very
difficult to profit to a degree to justify using
so much of your time.

Long term value stocks, very safe bet.

CLSI, a good entry point is .017 or below.

You are to be cautioned CLSI is an extremely
long term hold. CLSI is not right for everyone.
My long term hold for CLSI means years from now.

CLSI will not fall below current prices, but it
will take a year, two years, for prices to move
upward to a significant degree. Blue will comment
CLSI is a good hold for a child's college fund.

CLSI is little known, is not an exciting stock,
and exhibits very slow but steady growth.

Part of this is a habit of CLSI to not release
news until it is a "done deal." They do not
release typical hype and fluff. News is far and
few between, but their news is almost always
good news. CLSI is well managed by a conservative
team noted for not taking risks.

My suggestion is you only invest loose money which
won't be missed. Money going into CLSI will not
return a profit for a very long time. Patience is
a must with value stocks like CLSI.

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Purl Gurl
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Blue - PWCL, 10Q today is not so good. Down
eighteen cents on the day. Might be good for
a bottom bounce play, if interested.

I expected a better report, disappointing.

Least this time the share price drop is justified.

http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/827055/000105291805000293/pc10qa1jun232005rlsec.htm

--

PDGE holding steady but still low volume. Still
a surprise with such a good recent 10Q filing.

HOM, acting just like PDGE.

Both PDGE and HOM are reporting excellent profits
yet prices remain stagnant. Hard to figure because
PDGE and HOM are worth so much more than PWCL
but prices are close to equal. Not a clue what
is going on in trader's minds.

Go figure.

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