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cashmakers
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I would prefer to post my future thought in one thread to keep this form organized. Thanks for your support and comments.

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I don’t guarantee the accuracy of the information I post. All my posts are based on my own research. I am not a registered investment advisor and therefore I am not qualified to give you any investment advices. You Make Your Decision!

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cashmakers
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My new researched aggresive portfolio: ODSY CSH CGPI GLT KOMG AEY AGII GPX IFC STFC.

I use my model and filter to get these result, but remember I am a FA guy, not look at the TA too much. But now is not a good time to load since market trend is not clear. Actually it is good to play option these days or swing due to the up and down game. Will give more detail analysis about the stocks that I pick in the portfolio later.

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Disclaim:
I don’t guarantee the accuracy of the information I post. All my posts are based on my own research. I am not a registered investment advisor and therefore I am not qualified to give you any investment advices. You Make Your Decision!

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cashmakers
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NGPS will see much higher recently, from my TA analysis, the next target is $23. Don't sell your shares here so cheap. Of course I will hold some for 25. It had a little bit down just now becasue of the market red. Don't worry about this stock, not much downside risk now. Buy it and hold. I strongly don't think CMC will sell their shares.

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Disclaim:
I don’t guarantee the accuracy of the information I post. All my posts are based on my own research. I am not a registered investment advisor and therefore I am not qualified to give you any investment advices. You Make Your Decision!

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NGPS @ 17 strong support

Actually I don't want to comment on this stock again. You all know how crappy the market is and we can not do much about it. Definitely I am strongly holding this stock. What I would like to say is if you want to earn some quick money, this is it. NGPS been shorted sell from above $20 and seems MM play this one for the reason of market now. Everytime market up a little bit, the stock up alittle bit. Before that the MM play this stock with ANTP, now it change to market. Market will be rebounce next week and all the shorter will cover. This stock can fly several dollars a day and now is the bottom bottom. If you are finding a stock to trade at the bottom, this is it. I am holding it tight, won't sell it under $25. YMYD, don't put all your money into one basket.

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Disclaim:
I don’t guarantee the accuracy of the information I post. All my posts are based on my own research. I am not a registered investment advisor and therefore I am not qualified to give you any investment advices. You Make Your Decision!

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NGPS see some correction today also, oversold and shorted together with market last week, undervalued company and good business sector. Due to ANTP plunged last friday, it has some rebounce today. Although SNHY correct almost 2 dollars today, I am afraid its downtrend recently , very similar to ANTP and NGPS previous downtrend after surge to yearly high. AIRT should hold or buy at this level.Downside risk for NGPS and ANTP is lower than SNHY. INCX and TASR, don't get in at this moment, INCX down to its IPO last year, but it has some trouble with its business and management team, it will announce first quarter earning on Apr 28th. TASR still struggles with its law suit and some forbiden using TASAR guns, some rumor about the further people get killed by TASAR gun. But INCX and TASR can be in the watching list.It will have earning announcement tomorrow.

Tomorrow and wednesday have some important report and earning, keep an eye on them.

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Disclaim:
I don’t guarantee the accuracy of the information I post. All my posts are based on my own research. I am not a registered investment advisor and therefore I am not qualified to give you any investment advices. You Make Your Decision!

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NGPS contract with NAVY coming. From daily candle chart, NGPS ready to take off. Two green candle on the bottom, I see the price tunnel is between 16 and 23, now it is heading north. I am still waiting for those who short it and not covered , from the volume so far since Monday, seems the shorter still holding the short. Market is doing good now and don't forget NGPS has another undergoing contract with NAVY, I believe it is very possible that NGPS will get the contract with NAVY, no competitors so far, only several days to go. Once contract announce, the pirce should shot up at least 2 dollars. Info as follow:

Original Archive Date: Apr 26, 2005
Current Archive Date: Apr 26, 2005

The Patuxent River, Naval Air Warfare Center has a requirement to procure a Inertial Maesurement Unit. This notice of intend to contract on an other than full and open competition basis with Novatel Inc, Calgary, Canada.


http://www.eps.gov/spg/DON/NAVAIR/N00421/N00421-05-T-0095/SynopsisP.html

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pensandoenti67
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How about NMKT any comments? Company went from 2.5 mil to 24.9 mil. Projected for 2005 is 75MIL only .50 a share. comments
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cashmakers
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next play: TZOO bottom established , I was worried it will go down more this morning, so I shorted it above 32,covered 31.3. Now it seems volume halted, should see some rebounce soon. I am in.
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close to 1M volume, shorter will cover before the market close, everyone predict tomorow will be a good day, so it is the last chance for the shorter to cover. Half an hour to go, let's see how TZOO jump.
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Analysis on CD:

Cendant operate in five segments: Hospitality (e.g. Ramada, Days Inn, Howard Johnson), Real Estate (e.g. Century 21, Coldwell Banker), Vehicle Services (e.g. Avis Group Holdings), Financial Services (e.g. tax preparation, credit card info.), and Travel Distribution.

RAMADA and Days INN are typical cheap hotel nationwide. In NY area, Ramada is pretty popular for low rate hotel. From economy POW, just like ebay and walmart, when people want to save money, they will choose cheap price products. If you buy house, you must know what Century 21 is.

The company recently spinoff of its mortgage and fleet businesses to shareholders through a distribution of PHH Corp. stock. The spinoff is in keeping with the company's plans to focus on the travel industry. Cendant had been shopping its mortgage business for some time in order to remove the volatility associated with interest-rate movements.

Absent the mortgage business, management has lowered its earnings guidance to $1.35-$1.40 a share, on sales of $17.4 million $18.1 million. The April 25 has earning out, which is 0.24/share, this is after lower the earning guidance, so the earning will be right on target, or barely beat.

From FA POW, belong to mid cap with 20B Market Cap. Cendant to post 15% year-over-year bottom-line growth. 11.54 P/E ratio with 11.83 forward P/E, the diluted EPS is due to the Absent the mortgage business. High institution holding and low agency cost with large dividend pay out, 0.04% insider holding. little 0.72% short interest. 77.60% Earnings Growth: 8.80% Revenue Growth: 12.075 book value per share, but the concern is its debt to equity ration:1.587. Seems their business sector is in travel and real estate, the D/E ratio is not very high.

Fresh off its acquisition of Orbitz, the number two Internet booking company, it continues to extend its presence via numerous smaller acquisitions, such as London-based Gullivers Travel Associates and Octupus Travel Group Ltd. Also, CD named former Priceline COO Mitch Truwitt, to be president of its travel group.

The development of the growing online travel segment to help CD get things back on track in 2006 and to produce healthy gains out to in the next 2-3 years. The stock holds above-average long-term appeal and good timeline.

TA analysis: RSI touch the 20 line, almost 52 week low, volume is picking up this year with average 3,777,772 volume. Under 20, 50, 100MA line. See Bottom and support at 19 level.

Short term target >20, 2-3 year targe :40-60

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cashmakers
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Ebay been oversold recently.
eBay's current Price Target is $77 (+41% from the 2004 Target of $55 and +144% from the 04/22/05 price of $31.51). This dramatic rise in the Target is the result of a +35% increase in the equity base and a +4% increase in the price/equity multiple.


http://cnnfn.investor.reuters.com/ReportDetails.aspx?docid=20561334&sId=1

Ebay oversold recently

Although it has a little bit problem by increasing commision fee, it is growing company and with small competitors (overstock.com is small relative to ebay).


Standing Up To a Giant


Ebay aims to conquer China. Jack Ma has his "ants" doing handstands to repel the American invasion.

Ebay has conquered online auctioning, racking up $778 million in profit last year on a transaction volume of $34 billion. But Ebay won't stay on top unless it also conquers what eventually will be the world's largest market for online goods:China. Ebay bought its way into China in 2002, holds half of a $1 billion market and will spend $100 million this year to bolster its presence there. China is a "must win" and "is likely to be the defining measure of business success on the Net," Ebay Chief Meg Whitman told Wall Street analysts in early February. "A bunch of small competitors are nipping at our heels."

Jack Ma is more than a mere ankle-biter. Ma runs the Taobao consumer site, the biggest homegrown rival to Ebay in China. Though it didn't start up until a year after Ebay arrived, Taobao has quickly gobbled up 41% of China's online auction sales, compared with Ebay's 53%; it has 4 million registered users, gaining on Ebay's claim of 10 million customers in the country. To take on the decidedly American presence of Ebay, Taobao--Mandarin for "searching for treasure"--plays up its local staff and an all-China focus; its online moderators use screen names from characters in famous Chinese kung fu novels. Most important, Taobao doesn't charge sellers a cut, as Ebay does.

Ma's core business is Alibaba, the business-to-business Web auction site he's been building since the Internet craze of the late 1990s.Now at $68 million in annual sales, Alibaba competes locally with the longer-established Global Sources. Like Taobao, Alibaba offers basic service free of charge but gets revenue from 85,000 members who pay $250 to $10,000 a year for extra services such as personalized Web pages and accreditation.

Alibaba's main site is devoted to in-China trade, and a second site handles trade with companies in the rest of the world. So naturally Ma must keep his eye on the Ebay juggernaut, which is aimed at both consumer and business users.

The Taobao site is "a firewall on the consumer side against Ebay coming after Alibaba," says Jason Brueschke, a sell-side analyst with Pacific Growth Equities in San Francisco. Setting up Taobao "was defensive at first," Ma concedes. "But now we are going after them."

In the combined office for the two businesses in Hangzhou, two hours' drive south of Shanghai, he is brash: "We want to be the world's largest consumer site."

Toppling Ebay is a bold (if not suicidal) ambition, and Ma tells his staff it requires a different perspective. Ebay looks less fearsome when you're upside down, he argues, so new employees are encouraged to learn how to do a handstand. It's going to take more than that. Ebay, with $3.3 billion a year in revenue, expects overseas sales to eclipse its U.S. business in two years. It now is the dominant auction site in Germany, France and Australia, crushing local rivals or buying them; it leads in Korea and Singapore; and it just launched in Malaysia, the Philippines and India. It is considering Vietnam, Thailand and Indonesia.

But Ebay's Whitman says China is top priority. China's population of Net users, likely to surpass 100 million this year, is second only to that of the U.S. and may double in two years. Taobao and Ebay "are fighting tooth and nail," says Victor Koo, who runs China portal Sohu. "If Ebay wants to be a global consumer site, it needs China."

And China is a special case, Ma argues."Ebay may be a shark in the ocean, but I am a crocodile in the Yangtze River. If we fight in the ocean, we lose--but if we fight in the river, we win."

At 40, Ma is known respectfully around Alibaba as "Grandfather," having formed China's first Internet company in 1995, about the time Jeff Bezos was starting Amazon.com in the U.S. That year Ma, who'd learned English as a youth hanging out at a tourist hotel and offering free guided tours to foreign guests, got to the U.S. as an interpreter for a trade delegation. He visited friends in Seattle and learned about the Internet.

After some early ups and downs with Web startups back home, he was able to raise $25 million in 1999 from Goldman Sachs, Softbank of Japan and others to form Alibaba. Today that business clears $5 billion a year in transactions (Ebay's size,as a pay site,in 2000).

Ebay entered China in 2002 by paying $30 million for a one-third stake in Eachnet, an auction site set up three years earlier by Harvard graduate Yibo Shao and a partner. A year later Ebay bought the rest of Eachnet for $150 million, keeping on its chief, Shao. He vows that Ebay Eachnet, as the site is known, will win: "There can be only one big [consumer auction] site in China."

Ma countered by teaming up with Masayoshi Son's Softbank to launch the Taobao consumer site for $56 million. He picked the ideal partner:Son had beaten back Ebay in Japan by taking an early lead in auctions with his Yahoo Japan joint venture. Ebay closed its Japan site in early 2002.

"We were both thinking the same thing:Son kicked Ebay out of Japan. I have the same chance in China," Ma says. "Ebay doesn't think we are a threat. China will be a worse defeat than Japan." His swagger rankles some observers. Last year Ma gave a presentation on his grand scheme to half a dozen Wall Street types, and one of them stalked out midway through the pitch, with a parting shot:"Ebay will win!"

But so far not a single Western Web site has succeeded in China. AOL in 1999 launched a $200 million joint venture with China's biggest PCmaker, Legend Computer (now called Lenovo). Three years later AOLsold out, and Legend switched to a local telecom partner. All the top sites in China are homegrown: Sina for portals, Shanda for games and, for search, Baidu, which is about to go public. Yahoo is an also-ran in the market; its auction site, 1pai.com, runs a distant third to Ebay and Taobao.

In addition to the $100 million spending spree that Ebay plots this year, it spent an undisclosed sum to sign exclusive deals with China's three largest portals (Sina, Sohu and Netease) to block Taobao ads from those sites. (Sohu and Sina have since dropped the exclusives). "They are doing everything they can to block us," says Ma. Ebay is also plastering ads all over China, on subway platforms and buses. "They have deep pockets, but we will cut a hole in their pocket," Ma jokes.

Ebay has stumbled since scaling the Great Wall. Last year it overhauled the Eachnet site to comply with Ebay's worldwide format. The design change confused some customers, and product listings plunged--down to 250,000 from 780,000 before the switch. Ebay lost some fans last May, when it changed the rules about how sellers can limit their buying audience. "Many power sellers left Ebay to go to Taobao," says Ebay power seller Wang Yun, who remains loyal to the site. Ebay denies it.

Chen Zhuoyuan started selling clothes from Wuxi, China over Ebay's site a year ago but quit after a week because of technical problems, switching to Taobao. "The trades are bigger," she says. Ebay also lags behind in offering its PayPal payment system in China, while Ma launched his own version, Alipay, in January. And the online giant has been shuffling local management, keeping Shao as chairman but assigning a new chief executive officer. "Taobao didn't win the first battle, but Ebay lost it," Ma maintains.

Ebay's onslaught can be expected to continue, but Ma has a fallback: Dozens or hundreds of Ebay sellers in China are cheaply sourcing goods from Ma's Alibaba site, then reselling the items at a profit, says analyst Brueschke.

In addition to its free-pricing practice, Taobao uses guerrilla marketing to keep up with Ebay's might. The China site advertises on the cheap on hundreds of small Web outlets ignored by Ebay. Taobao is the eighth most popular site in China, ahead of Ebay at number 13, according to Alexa, an Internet traffic monitor. An Ebay spokesman argues Taobao's guerrilla tactics artificially inflate its ranking because pop-up ads for Taobao on other sites count as "visitors" to Taobao itself. "It's like saying a person seeing your billboard has visited your store," says Shao. Ma says he is phasing out that ploy--with no visible drop-off in Taobao's Alexa ranking.

In contrast to the Ebay machine, Taobao and Alibaba are vintage dot-com. Young Chinese hipsters in blue jeans sit at open desks beneath posters that say: "Pay any price, do anything, to WIN!" Last year Ma staged a fifth-anniversary bash, in an arena, for all 2,000 employees, with Taobaoists waving flags of worker ants, their mascot--the conceit being that tiny but united they can defeat an elephant. The four-hour event ended with everyone holding hands and singing the lyrics "You have to go through a thunderstorm to see a rainbow"--a reference to the dot-com bust and the dark days of the SARS virus scare as Taobao launched in mid-2003. Then they went disco dancing late into the night, climbing on the bar--Ma among them.

Hijinks can goose morale, but the business model of gaining footing with free traffic and snaring revenue from ancillary services is what concerns those Wall Street skeptics Ma encountered last year. Blessed with his seemingly patient backers and "enough gas in the tank," his Alibaba Holdings has not joined the dot-com rush to the public markets that led to turbulence in the West and later in China.

"Alibaba plans for the long term, and our focus is on our customers and building a great business," maintains Ma. "Plus, our competitors are public, so we know all of their war plans. Why would we want to give up that advantage?"

Additional reporting by Maggie Chen.

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Disclaim:
I don’t guarantee the accuracy of the information I post. All my posts are based on my own research. I am not a registered investment advisor and therefore I am not qualified to give you any investment advices. You Make Your Decision!

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cashmakers
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comment on EBAY:
Although ebay been down for a longtime due to its increased commition fee and lost some customer to other competitors and only 2 cents earning top on the expectation, at least from TA, it will rebounce. Article mention that GOOG is cheaper than EBAY, I think this is not true. People always predict think according to the recent historical data, when it is uptrend ,people are hype and pump, overbought the already-up-stock. The other way around, when price down, people always dump and criticize the company, think about it, why those critique all come out after fact, why they don't bring it out when the price was skyrocket. This is called overreaction. So when the price is too low due to oversold, it is time to buy.

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Disclaim:
I don’t guarantee the accuracy of the information I post. All my posts are based on my own research. I am not a registered investment advisor and therefore I am not qualified to give you any investment advices. You Make Your Decision!

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cashmakers
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Tomorrow NGPS contract will be announced by NAVY, time to cover and buy.

http://www.eps.gov/spg/DON/NAVAIR/N00421/N00421-05-T-0095/SynopsisP.html

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Disclaim:
I don’t guarantee the accuracy of the information I post. All my posts are based on my own research. I am not a registered investment advisor and therefore I am not qualified to give you any investment advices. You Make Your Decision!

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NGPS Air Force Contract coming on May 7

GPS DL-4 RECEIVER ENCLOSURE WITH DATA LOGGING CAPABILITIES

Copyright (c) 2005 Federal Information & News Dispatch, Inc. All rights reserved

NOTICE TYPE: Special Notice

DATE POSTED: 21-APR-05

AGENCY: Department of the Air Force

OFFICE ADDRESS: Department of the Air Force, Air Force Materiel Command, AFFTC - AF Flight Test Center, 5 S WOLFE AVE, Edwards AFB, CA, 93524-1185

SUBJECT: GPS DL-4 Receiver Enclosure with Data Logging Capabilities

CLASSIFICATION CODE: 59 - Electrical and electronic equipment components

SOLICITATION NUMBER: F1S0AE5077B001

CONTACT: Terence Vickers, Contract Negotiator, Phone 661-277-9559, Fax 661-275-7860, Email terence.vickers@edwards.af.mil

NOTICE TEXT: Department of the Air Force

Air Force Materiel Command

AFFTC - AF Flight Test Center

Notice of Contract Action for a Sole Source Procurement

SUBJECT: NOTICE OF INTENT TO AWARD A SOLE SOURCE PROCUREMENT FOR NOVATEL Products.

DESC: INTENT TO AWARD A SOLE SOURCE PROCUREMENT WITH NOVATEL INC. The Air Force, Edwards Air Force Base, CA intends to award a Sole Source purchase order to NOVATEL INC., 1120-68th Ave NE, Calgary AB T2E 8S5 Canada. NOVATEL INC. is the manufacturer. The Sole Source purchase will be for the following commercial items:

1. P/N: DL-4+L1L2W, Manufacturer: NOVATEL, DL-4+L1L2W-L1/L2, RT-2 Output, SBAS, Quantity - 4

2. P/N: 31324181, Mfr: NOVATEL, High Capacity Industrial Grade Compact Flash Memory Card (For DL-4PLUS) (Min 1Gb), Quantity - 4

3. P/N: SW-PP-GNVT-Post Processing Software, Quantity - 2

4. P/N: DL-4+RT2, Mfr: NOVATEL-DL-4+RT2-L1/L2, 2 cm RTK Position, Quantity - 2

Pertaining to the above items, the Air Force Flight Center (AFFTC), Edwards AFB, CA has a requirement for GPS receiver enclosure with data logging capabilities to be used for the B-1 and B-52 CTF programs. The DL-4 plus is a rugged, lightweight enclosure containing the OEM4-G2 receiver and featuring integrated memory, an LCD, and a keypad for data logging. It offers three serial ports, USB support, a configurable PPS output and mark input, and a variable frequency output. The following are the required specifications:

*Internal flash card recording for ease of data removal and reliability recording

*Compact size and rugged packaging required with OTS (off-the-shelf) availability, weight 3 lbs (1.4Kg) or less -

*Must have dynamic tracking capability for flight test vehicles and be able to acquire satellite tracking when initialized airborne

*Must have ability of both code and kinematics (Li & L2) data recording capabilities

*Must have a minimum data sampling rate of 20Hz

*Must be able to operate in a variable VDC input (+6-18 VDC)

*While in a data logging mode, must use less than 5 watts

*Must have multiple data 110 ports for communications and data outputs

*Must have a display panel for user interfacing and programming.

Please note that this is not a request for competitive proposals. However, all interested parties who believe they can meet the requirements are invited to submit in writing complete information describing their ability to provide the items above. Responses may be sent via e-mail to Terence.vickers@edwards.af.mil or mailed to AFFTC/PKDB, 5 South Wolfe Ave, Edwards AFB, CA 93524-1185, Attention: Terence D. Vickers. Phone Number 661-277-9559 and Fax Number: 661-275-7860. Information received as a result of this notice will be considered solely for the purpose of determining whether to conduct a competitive procurement. A determination by the Air Force not to open the requirement to open competition, based on response to this notice, is solely within the discretion of the Air Force. If the office has not received any affirmative written responses by Close of Business (COB), 7 May 2005, a Sole Source purchase order will be pursued with NOVATEL INC., 1120-68th Ave NE, Calgary AB T2E 8S5 Canada.

INTERNET ADDRESS: http://www.eps.gov/spg/USAF/AFMC/AFFTC/F1S0AE5077B001/listing.html

Provided by Federal Information & News Dispatch, Inc. (FIND) 202-429-5944

Terence Vickers, Contract Negotiator, Phone 661-277-9559, Fax 661-275-7860, Email terence.vickers@edwards.af.mil

CNDL000020050422e14m00048

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NGPS earning next Monday

NGPS GRMN ASY TRMB LEIX MOT QCOM ROK SYMM XATA .
Most of the GPS company has good earning for 1Q gives some confidence on GPS market. NGPS has NAVY and Air force contracts going on, the announce date should be May 7th. "NGPS Air Force Contract coming on May 7 GPS DL-4 RECEIVER ENCLOSURE WITH DATA LOGGING CAPABILITIES ". Take care.

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WTSLA My short term target $8, longterm $13

Wet Seal, the women's apparel retailer, looks to be heading down the road to recovery. The company's fiscal-first-quarter (ended April 30th) share loss narrowed to $0.23, from the $0.52 deficit registered in the year-ago period. Wet Seal reduced operating expenses considerably in the period by closing more than 150 of its non-profitable stores. Meanwhile, same-store sales improved an impressive 30% in the April period.


From WSJ:
The Wet Seal, Inc. Announces May Comparable Store Sales Up 56.9%

Business Wire
(c) 2005 Business Wire. All Rights Reserved.

FOOTHILL RANCH, Calif. - (BUSINESS WIRE) - June 2, 2005 - Specialty retailer The Wet Seal, Inc. (Nasdaq:WTSLA) today reported net sales for the four-week period ended May 28, 2005 of $40.0 million, compared with net sales of $33.0 million for the same period last year, an increase of 21.1 percent. Comparable store sales from continuing operations increased 56.9 percent for the four-week period ended May 28, 2005, compared with a decline of 7.8 percent for the same period a year ago.

Mr. Joel Waller, chief executive officer of The Wet Seal, Inc. commented: "May represents the fifth consecutive month of comparable store sales growth since the implementation of our new merchandise strategy in January for the Wet Seal business. Our results continue to validate our strategy and we are pleased with the sales performance of both Wet Seal and Arden B."

During the four-week period ended May 28, 2005, the Company opened one Wet Seal store.

Headquartered in Foothill Ranch, California, The Wet Seal, Inc. is a leading specialty retailer of fashionable and contemporary apparel and accessory items. The company currently operates a total of 399 stores in 46 states, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico, including 308 Wet Seal stores and 91 Arden B. stores. The company's products can also be purchased online at www.wetseal.com or www.ardenb.com . For more company information, visit www.wetsealinc.com .

--------------------
Disclaim:
I don’t guarantee the accuracy of the information I post. All my posts are based on my own research. I am not a registered investment advisor and therefore I am not qualified to give you any investment advices. You Make Your Decision!

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WTSLA 5.77 doing good today will see much more higher this week

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cashmakers
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Add OS into my portfolio, together with SCHN as steel sector. Both of them have strong FA with strong ROE, ROA, Earning and high institute holding. Since the steel industry coming back, the leading steel companoies, such as OS, SCHN will have outperfrom return. Target shortterm $21, mideterm $25. the TA chart very similar to NGPS from $14 to $28

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cashmakers
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Hold SCHN tight, target $28-30 Analyst point out that double bottom for SCHN and will go on with its uptrend momentum.

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cashmakers
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Here are the Steel company
which have potential uptrend: ATI MTL IPS PKX SID NUE RESC X SCHN STLD STTX OS AKS TONS

The best ones are SCHN and OS compared their FA and TA

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cashmakers
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Comment on SCHN.
Although NUE announce the lower end of its earning prediction for 2Q, SCHN is not a steel producer and it should not be compared directly with NUE.

Second, If you look at their June 5 report, you can predict the Schnitzer's sales are about double the reported values, moreover if you include their share of the joint venture which accounts for a significant share of profits to SCHN.

http://library.corporate-ir.net/library/87/870/87090/items/155021/060905presentation.pdf

Base on SCHN's potential future scrap demand, and SCHN's auto parts business, the 3Q for SCHN should be good. I analyse and predict the earning correctly consecutively for GMTN 10Q, LAZ 1Q, NGPS 2Q, KOMG 1Q this year.

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News: JPM Reports 15.6% LAZ Stake
(c) 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

WASHINGTON (Dow Jones)--JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) reported a 15.6% Class A stake in Lazard Ltd. (LAZ), according to a Schedule 13G filed Monday with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

JPMorgan, one of the underwriters for Lazard's initial public offering in May, beneficially owns 5.86 million Lazard Class A common shares, the filing said.

JPMorgan reported its stake on a form designated for passive investors, or those not seeking to change or influence a company's operation.

Shares of Lazard closed Monday at $23.67 each.

LAZ definately a Strong buy, Fidelity require 15% stake of LAZ three weeks ago and give the target $27. Now JPM bought another 15.6% stake. Take a look at how many merge & acquicition cases these days (almost every day), you can figure out the M&A business for LAZ.

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cashmakers
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LAZ doing good today on JPM's 15% stake purchased on Tuesady. LAZ Will see Rally next week. Investment bank won't be affected by the oil price that much and the cheaper the companies' price, the more M&A business (that happened in 1980s). Now more than 30% of common A class stocks acquired by Fidelity and JPMorgan.

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M&A is booming, we see the M&A happen everyday. LAZARD is the number one in this field, its business is growing. Here is today's news from WSJ:

June 24th 2005, Callaway Golf Mulls Strategy; Investor Group Makes an Offer

By Stephanie Kang

"the Carlsbad, California, company said that it has received unsolicited "indications of interest" and was weighing strategic options with the help of investment bankers Lazard Ltd. "

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cashmakers
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CD, CSH new high here. I called CD $19.7, CSH under $15. Still hold these two stocks. Add more LAZ here, from its TA, bullish chart and target is as those investment bank gives"close $27"

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Out > $20 CSH from <$15 entry . I called CSH long time ago when it tanked to $14 and bought it $15. Now it touch my target $20. Out all of my position on CSH. Still holding CD, called from 19.7

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Two good news for LAZ, target $25
WPP CEO Sorrell In Talks To Join Lazard Board - FT

65 words
30 June 2005
05:21 pm
Dow Jones International News
English
(c) 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Sir Martin Sorrell, chief executive of WPP Group PLC (WPPGY), the world's second-biggest marketing services group, has been in talks to join the board of directors at Lazard Ltd. (LAZ), the investment bank, The Financial Times reported in an article on its Web site Thursday. [ 30-06-05 2221GMT ]


Lazard to decide on Paris listing by end-2005


30 June 2005
05:55 am


PARIS (AFX) - Lazard will decide by the end of 2005 if it is to list its shares in Paris as well as in New York, according to chief executive Bruce Wasserstein.

In an interview with Le Figaro, Wasserstein added that the bank is not for sale.

Lazard, listed in New York since May 5, is an 'independent bank and there is no reason for that to change,' he said.

paris@afxnews.com

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HLTH good entry here. Health sector. Uptrend Momentum with solid financial background.
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Health Care sector: MDRX HLTH HH CRA CERN ECLP ERES IDXC RX INCY NDC VMDC

This sector been dooding so good for the last 3 months, outporform s&p by average 10%. With baby boomer (average age 75) coming in the next decade, health care business will experience its golden time. HLTH is one of the most growing company in this sector. Solid balance sheet with cash flow on operation growing recently. Another health stock might take a close look is ERES.

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HLTH Target: $14-$16

WebMD (formerly Healtheon/WebMD) provides Internet-based healthcare information and services to facilitate connectivity and transactions among physicians, patients, payers, and other healthcare participants. Its platform allows for the secure exchange of information among the disparate systems used in the industry. Administrative services include patient enrollment, referrals and authorizations, diagnostic orders and results, clinical data retrieval, and claims processing.

Valueline Upgrade HLTH to Timeness 1 for strong buy for the next 12 month on June 24.

We have raised our 2005 revenue target for WebMD. Recent acquisitions in the company's Business Services group are adding to this segment's top line. Moreover, it is now able to offer a more complete solution for managing the health claims/payment process, and so it is probable that Business Services will benefit in terms of contract signings. At this point, we estimate that the group's revenue should advance by some 10%, up from 7.5% and adding about $20 million to WebMD's overall tally. Elsewhere, we have bumped up our sales target for WebMD Health by around $10 million, while leaving those for Practice Services and Porex unchanged.

Earnings should continue progressing at a fast pace this year. WebMD has substantially raised its forecast for 2005 to a range of between $0.20 and $0.25 a share (GAAP). Accordingly, we have moved our estimate up by $0.08 a share, to the center of the current band. The reasoning behind the increase is underpinned by the potential for a higher margin in Business Services, reflecting more profitable contracts and reduced HIPAA-related expenses. In addition, it appears that operations may be running smoother at Practice Services, and that the profit margin may improve there, as well.

The company has filed a registration statement to offer 10%-14% of WebMD Health to the public. In terms of revenue, the portal business is growing fast; it is also a good contributor to the bottom line. The IPO is a good idea for two reasons, in our view. First, it will give investors an opportunity to own shares in a profitable Internet business. Second, WebMD can use the proceeds to bolster its financial position (its 3.25% notes due 2007 were recently converted). At this writing, the registration statement was not yet effective.

WebMD shares are currently top-ranked for Timeliness. The stock has found steady market support since our March report, most likely reflecting the better earnings prospects for 2005 and the potential that such growth may continue in coming years. Nonetheless, new commitments to this issue are best considered by risk-tolerant accounts.

June 24, 2005

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LAZARD Research report:

(http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/050705/nytu049.html?.v=15)
PricewaterhouseCoopers Forecast: M&A Market Heats Up

(http://www.forbes.com/facesinthenews/2005/07/05/0705autofacescan11.html?partner=yahootix&referrer=)

Wasserstein's Lazard (nyse: LAZ - news - people ) came in 10th place In M&A Business.

(http://www.ajc.com/wednesday/content/epaper/editions/wednesday/business_24bca6d69074f00a0007.html)

Mergers up 39% from last year, gobal merger-and-acquisition volume rocketed to $1.4 trillion in the first half of 2005, an increase of 39 percent from the same period last year. Finance was the most active industry, accounting for $238 billion of the deal volume.

(http://home.businesswire.com/portal/site/google/index.jsp?ndmViewId=news_view&newsId=20050701005166&newsLang=en)

The good news for U.S. dealmakers is that deal value has skyrocketed, indicating a willingness among buyers in the U.S. and U.S. cross-border market to open the purse strings for acquisitions. Total disclosed dollar volume for the second quarter jumped to U.S.$275 billion, the highest quarterly deal value since the fourth quarter of 2000 and an improvement over the U.S.$243 billion total for the first quarter. Increasing deal value can be attributed to ongoing strength of the mega-deal market (defined by FactSet Mergerstat as deals with values of more than U.S.$1 billion). The second quarter posted 55 deals in this category, up from 34 last quarter.


(http://austin.bizjournals.com/austin/stories/2005/07/04/daily6.html)
M&A pace to continue for rest of '05. Without a doubt, U.S. corporations plan to continue their rapid pace of acquisitions"

LAZ 3 month target $26.5, Over $30 by the end of 2005.
Look at how hot the M&A business is this year and this trend will go on in the next few years, just like what we experienced in 1980s'. LAZARD is the top 10 M&A investment bank with M&A business in US, EURO, JAPAN, and more.

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Regeneron Initiates VEGF Trap Intravitreal Clinical Development Program and Genentech Announces July 18 Webcast Discussion of Data Presented at ASRS


http://www.financialnewsusa.com/release.php?rlsid=2489

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Hats off to cashmakers, nice job. I just looked at most of your picks and wish I was in on most. Keep it up.
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Big news for LAZ. Another 10.71% stake by Jennison Associates. Reports 10.71% Stake In Lazard

131 words
8 July 2005
03:19 pm
Dow Jones International News
English
(c) 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

WASHINGTON (Dow Jones)--Jennison Associates LLC reported a 10.71% stake in Lazard Ltd. (LAZ), according to a Schedule 13G filed Friday with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Jennison Associates, an investment adviser to several investment companies, insurance accounts and institutional clients, beneficially owns about 4 million Lazard common shares, the filing said.

Prudential Financial Inc. (PRU) indirectly owns 100% of the equity interests of Jennison, so Prudential may also be deemed to beneficially own these Lazard's shares, the filing said.

Jennison Associates reported its stake on a form designated for passive investors, those not seeking to change or influence a company's operations.

-By Denise Jia, Dow Jones Newswires; 202-862-1359; denise.jia@dowjones.com [ 08-07-05 2022GMT ]

Document DJI0000020050708e178001hu

So Far, JP Morgan 15%, BOA 15% Prudential 10.71%. These major holder are Banks and Insurance companies, they have their good reason to require so much stake into LAZARD, they know exactly what LAZ's future is. LAZ still under IPO, go buy.

http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1311370/000005341705000077/0000053417-05-000077-index.htm

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cashmakers
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RHAT $16 target by most Analyst. Good Support at $14 level. Will see more appreciation follow analyst recommend.

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