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Author Topic: SLV SILVER. The 10 year plan
Peaser
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Waiting for early-mid 2014 to load up on Gold and Silver. It all depends on the Fed.

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Buy Low. Sell High.

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Happy Valley
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Almost there...
May see a brief dip sub $1180 but I don't think it lasts long imo...Big money traders know there are a ton of stops in this area, I have a hard time believing they won't use one of the upcoming low volume holiday sessions to trigger them.

Gold drastically underperformed this year, I have to believe there is a pile of sidelined PM money as a result. Should see a significant rally in Q1 on fund re-accumulation alone. China is the wild card news event for 2014 imo.

Anybody still short come first of the year is on the wrong side...JMHO

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Happy Valley
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Insane action in gold and silver today...Went after the stops and shorts covered into the rug pull. I knew the banksters couldn't resist the low hanging fruit in the $1180 area. The result is what happens when a trade as crowded as the gold short begins to unwind. We'll see if it's just eoy unwinding or the double bottom reversal I've been waiting for...GLTYA
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Happy Valley
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What a start to the new year!!!
Miners starting to take off here. GDX making a run at the top of the downward channel, break through and the miners start really cranking in the short/med term...jmo

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BooDog
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WTG Happy!
looking through some on my miners list. AUMN up pretty good. Guess I've been slacking on my DD for that sector. Knew you were making a good pick though!
Big push for NG also.

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All post are my opinion. Do your own DD. Who's clicking your buy/sell button!?

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Happy Valley
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Thanks Boo...
We need the miners to break through the top of this bear channel. The next few days will tell us if this is a legitimate sector rotation or another pop and fade...jmo

Very curious as to what kind of eod marching orders (if any) the bots get today...

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Happy Valley
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Short covering starting here in the $1250's, panic cover starts if we squeeze to a $1300 handle. jmo
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Happy Valley
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Gold +$14
Silver +.35

Miners really taking off today, big volume in the GDX June $25's...

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Happy Valley
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Gold @ $1270's/Silver @ $20's...Watch them scramble when that $1300 handle hits. jmo...
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Happy Valley
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quote:
Originally posted by Happy Valley:
Short covering starting here in the $1250's, panic cover starts if we squeeze to a $1300 handle. jmo

Gold @ $1317's/Silver @ $21.08...

The squeeze continues in London this morning...

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Happy Valley
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Miners roaring again today. Massive gains off the December lows. GDX @ $26.60's, not a bad spot to lock in some gains jmo...
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Happy Valley
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Taking profits here, short term top is in @ $1350 jmo. I think we see a pullback before $1500's later this year and into next. Will look to re-accumulate calls in SLW, GG, AUY, GLD and GDX @ $1300ish...Hell of a ride, congrats to those who joined me [Smile]
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Happy Valley
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Gold @ $1311/Silver @ $20. Almost there...
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Happy Valley
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Gold $1300 target hit today...Sitting right at the intersection of the golden cross on the chart. Looking for one more stop hunt pullback sub $1300 to get long GLD, GDX and GG calls for the ride to $1500+...jmo
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Happy Valley
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Stealthy option flow in GDXJ & GDX over the last couple of weeks...I'm long my list of usual suspects with 2018 strikes but if players sweep up weakness or roll up current bets in these etfs, it's time to get long size here. jmo
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Happy Valley
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Does anybody even read these boards anymore? Anyways, not much for option flow but Dimon put a beat down on BTC yesterday, down $475 today. Additionally, some nice chart set ups on the miners today, loaded WPM Calls off the 200 MA test and bounce. PAAS, heavyweight with GDXJ is getting close too, golden cross in the next week or so. jmo
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Happy Valley
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Big volume in the GDX, Oct $26 calls, 3 x OI...NUGT $43-$44 active as well...
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NR
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I still lurk once a month or so... Holding HL, KGC, MUX, and SBGL, hoping that gold and silver will do something besides move sideways. Watching GORO, CDE, ABX and seriously considering a position in GG. Good Luck and always do your own DD.

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NR
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Losing my shirt... buh-bye gold and silver prices. Look out below =(

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One is never completely useless. One can always serve as a bad example.

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Happy Valley
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quote:
Originally posted by NR:
Losing my shirt... buh-bye gold and silver prices. Look out below =(

Solid final 3 weeks of the year and somebody couldn’t get enough of the GDX, Feb. $25s on Friday. Almost 60k traded vs. OI of 2,500.
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Happy Valley
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NEM last week and PAAS, GG and GORO with the option flow today...
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Happy Valley
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Add PVG to the list, March $10’s hitting...
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Happy Valley
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quote:
Originally posted by Happy Valley:
Add PVG to the list, March $10’s hitting...

6000 June $12s joining the party...
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NR
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Yeah nice eoy/boy rally. I did end up taking a position in GG around $13.50. Still watching GORO.

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NR
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OK still holding GG, waiting (forever) for the rally over 1350 in gold and $20 in silver if it ever comes... Nice rally today, seems like we are right on the edge of a big move, but where does it go from here? Also still holding FSM, HL, MUX, KGC and SBGL. If gold and silver prices rally further from here, I will exit KGC and SBGL, and reduce my positions in FSM and HL.

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NR
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...and back to the bottom of the range. I'm watching closely cause if it goes any lower from here, it's going A LOT lower.

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One is never completely useless. One can always serve as a bad example.

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NR
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Gold vs the Dollar... Will the dollar rally further? If it does, will it drive gold prices lower? The suspense is killing me. My gut says with fiat being printed like mad and debt at huge levels, markets at record highs, gold prices are ultimately going up. Economy seems ok for the moment, but for how long?

Geopolitics play a factor in prices; just look around, seems bullish for Gold/Silver... Iran deal coming up, North Korea, South Korea, Marilyn Monroe...

If inflation rears it's ugly head, gold should go up too, along with other commodities. Oil, etc.

Upside seems greater than downside, so I'm still holding all my mining plays and picked up an oil play that relates to NG as well since I've had some success with those types of plays in the past.

Based on my entry points with most my mining stocks, I should be holding and should have even sold some to protect my principal, but against my better judgement I stayed put and prices seem to have leveled off for the short term. Going to be watching them like a hawk now.

Long term Gold and Silver charts look bullish, and IMO silver looks much better than gold. Will silver rally first and drag gold up with it, or will the dollar continue it's reversal of late, kill any rally, and drive gold to new lows? What does anyone else think?

Medium term they look bullish with silver looking the better than gold...

Short term, they seem at critical levels where, absent some other catalyst, they will turn lower, forcing gold below important support levels. Which of these factors will drive the price the most?

Sit and wait some more, my bet is made, where does the ball stop? Time (and my wallet) will tell if holding at 1300 was the right move. GL and DYODD

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NR
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Trump pulled out of Iran deal, should be bullish for gold and oil, at least short term.

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One is never completely useless. One can always serve as a bad example.

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NR
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Down it went, below 1300 to about 1285, trending higher from there. Mining stocks seem to be bottomed out, even though gold is trading lower they didn't go down much. Still holding all my plays except SBGL, lost on that one. Everything else is going up or going sideways. The oil/NG play, HCLP worked out nicely. PM's are pretty crazy right now, Platinum worth less per/oz than Gold, and Silver doing better from a technical standpoint and less volatile than Gold. Feds minutes today suggest raise in June, but they are willing to let inflation go higher than 2%. Charts since lows around 1285 show uptrend, could just be a bounce before another selloff, but I'm still bullish on gold/silver long term, bearish on USD. Geopolitics don't seem to be doing much to prices for some reason. NK deal is in suspense, huge sanctions on Iran, who knows what's next.

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NR
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.

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NR
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Well, guess it's pretty clear which way the price went. Interestingly, my gold stocks didn't really go down much they seem to be at the bottom.

Still holding GG, FSM, HL, MUX, and KGC. In retrospect I should have taken a small loss on KGC, but it seems to have bottomed for the time being so just gonna hold the bag on this one unless it stops dropping again. MUX and GG are up a bit, and FSM is still bullish, regardless of what gold prices do, might take some more profits off the table on that one soon if it rallies a bit more. Wish I could remember the name of the mining CEO that said this stock "was a steal" at it's current price shortly before I bought it. He was right and I cant remember the other two picks he mentioned.

Silver chart still looks better long term than gold, which also looks bullish long term. Short and Mid term is clearly bearish but my gut still tells me there is a million reasons to hold gold and keep a bullish sentiment long term. Too many reasons not to.

Tariffs on China could go into play tonight, and seems like it should be bullish for gold tomorrow. With the trade war about to kick off, I think shorts won't want to be on the wrong side over the weekend and gold prices will close a few dollars above open.

Is this a dead cat bounce for gold prices, and we are going lower still, or is this the higher low on a bullish long term chart? GL and do your own DD

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One is never completely useless. One can always serve as a bad example.

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NR
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.

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NR
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Well, did I pay through the nose by holding in July. Lost a couple hundred bucks, but oh well, it was money I could afford to lose anyway. That's what I get for listening to my gut instead of my head. Worst summer for gold possible. Hoping the bottom is 1200 but who knows. Silver? Are you even alive anymore? Every dog has it's day, just wondering when that day will be. Got my eye on GSV and EMRRF, they both have some great potential with good looking grades. Should have bought ABX at 11.10 when the CEO dumped $25 mil of his own money in after the merger, but was too gun shy after the beating I took this summer... GL everyone and do your own DD.

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One is never completely useless. One can always serve as a bad example.

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NR
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Ok. The 1200 level held, and gold is moving back up towards 1300 and silver back above 15$. Took a position in GSV around 1.20/shr but it isn't doing much. EMRRF is still on my watch list but took a huge hit when drill results didn't match the surface finds. Took a position in ABX, now trading as GOLD after the merger with Randgold. I doubled my positions in GG, HL, FSM and MUX. Still holding KGC at a small loss, but will get rid of it when I hit close break even. FSM was one of two silver miners that showed Q3 profits with silver at 14/oz. I'll probably load up some more mining stocks if gold prices can stay above 1300, and sell a bunch if it doesn't. Short, Medium, and Long Term charts all look bullish, but gold feels overbought and 1300 is going to be a tough resistance to get through. Looking at a yearly chart, gold seems to have put in a higher low around 1200, it just needs that higher high above 1350 to confirm my long term opinion that gold is going back towards 2000/oz. GL and do your own DD.

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NR
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Sideways action in prices the last week or two, as gold is stuck between 1300s and 1320s, charts do look bullish, both short and long term imo. Still holding GSV, GOLD, HL, FSM, MUX and KGC. Still looking to lighten or get rid of my position in KGC when the price is right, earnings are on thursday so will reassess after. Sold ~25% of GG core position a while back for a small profit as gold hit 1324. Might take another position after the merger is approved. GG and GOLD have earnings tomorrow. Took a small position in EQXFF. This company is chaired by Ross Beaty of Pan-American silver and I think his game plan for success with this one is pure genius. However, this is a spec play similar to MUX imo.

Long term fundamentals for both gold and silver remain positive and short and long term charts are still bullish imo. Trade deal w china and gov shutdown will decide dollar direction, and ill be watching developments in both closely. However, I still am of the opinion that gold will test and break above 1350 this year, but more likely in the next 2 quarters. GL DYODD

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