A battle rages between those who say the financial markets are theoretically impossible to beat and those who say, “Hey, look at me, I’m a billionaire.” On one side are the Nobel laureates, ensconced in the University of Chicago Business School, who are renowned for developing equations describing “efficient”, that is, unbeatable markets. On the other side are the speculators who beat them year in, year out with techniques “proven” not to work. But what if there were a system that did work, a method for finding patterns in chaos, for predicting trillion-dollar markets that most people assume are random? The predictors who discover this Holy Grail will be lords of the realm. They will possess a wonder-working money machine capable of producing a sweet fountain of cash. They will be rich, famous, and free. - The Predictors
Say Goodbye to Technical Analysis as We Know It
I have been a trader for some 25 years. I have held seats on exchanges, developed complex theoretical models for trading options, engaged in sophisticated arbitrage techniques and developed dozens of trading models and systems. I have traded futures, stocks, options on futures, stock options, ETFs, Forex, Mutual Funds, Bonds, and almost every commodity imaginable including Levis blue jeans. All of my experience leads me to some conclusions about the markets, and one of them is that, as a price predictor, “technical analysis” is one of the most successful scams ever thrust on a public willing to risk almost anything for a mere glimpse of the Holy Grail.
The irony of technical analysis is that marketers efforts to sell predictive qualities to the public have been so successful that technical analysis can not be ignored. The fact that technicals predict a target price for a market, and the fact that the market reaches that price may not be coincidental. It is my belief that technical analysis is worthless in predicting future events from history, but that it can give insight into how other traders might react under various market conditions. If the S&P 500 establishes a break through a long-standing uptrend line, an acceleration of declining prices is likely to be established by traders, not because the line was there, but because everyone knows the line was there. In a certain way, technical analysis is a self fulfilling prophecy only because so many people have been sold a bill of goods.
I can see how this happened. I am, and have always been, fascinated with charts. Bar charts, candlesticks, market profiles, equivolume … you name it. In fact, I believe there is a certain artistic quality to price charts. It is easy to understand why people would be compelled to play with charts especially when the alternative would be to develop the skills to read a one-inch wide strip of paper endlessly produced by a ticker tape machine. I imagine the first technical analysis began with someone drawing a trendline on a bar chart that represented the price history of a stock of interest to them. Then came the pattern recognition techniques where multiple lines were drawn on a chart to outline recognizable forms given creative names like “bull flag”, “bear pennant”, or “head and shoulders”.
The next step in the evolutionary process was the realization that all of these lines could be described mathematically and that data could be analyzed through various applications of statistical techniques. The billions of man years spent in research since the 1950s have provided us with a plethora of technical tools that have the ability to project prices into the future using zero delay stochastic filters and Gaussian distribution models. It’s telling that the S&P 500 future (the “Spooz”) suffered a single day price move of six standard deviations only five years after its inception, something that should statistically occur once in thousands of years.
Why did technical analysis evolve as it did? I believe the answer is simple. It evolved because there was nothing else at that time to rely upon. There were no powerful computers that could crunch enough numbers to define a system as dynamic and complex as the markets. It evolved in the same way that the railroads developed as a viable form of transportation. If you wanted to get from north to south quickly, you had no choice but to buy a ticket on the City of New Orleans. In the same way as the railroads went for public transportation (please note that I still ride a train every day), the time is through for the astute trader. Technical analysis based upon Gaussian statistical models has sadly, become old and stale for the astute trader desiring an edge in this century.
The Holy Grail?
Does the Holy Grail really exist? What an irrelevant question. The fact is that it is highly unlikely we will ever know the answer to that question. However, if I answer the question, “Yes, there certainly is a Holy Grail”, it would be most difficult for anyone to argue because I may be able to prove there is a Grail, while no one can prove there isn’t one. The reason for this argument is that we have entered into a new age with the advent of powerful, generally available computers. These computers provide us a window to view systems in ways we couldn’t even imagine twenty years ago.
The reason technical analysis, as it is generally employed, does not work, is because the underlying premise is flawed. The mathematical basis of modern technical analysis attempts to define straight lines in a statistical world that assumes prices are distributed normally. The problem is that prices (like almost anything else in nature) are not distributed normally. This was proven again, like many times before, in October of 1987. Fortunately, there is a new mathematics that is 10,000 times more accurate at predicting price behavior than the methods we have discussed here.
Chaos theory has only been in existence since the early 1990s. The fact that its discovery and development coincides with the computer revolution is not coincidental. Chaos is a new mathematics that explains curved lines rather than straight ones. In other words, Chaos addresses non-linear complex systems. The markets are proven to be non-linear complex systems.
Ceres
Ceres is the traders bar located on the ground floor of the Chicago Board of Trade. In its heyday, Ceres was arguably one of the world’s Meccas for traders to meet and discuss anything and everything having to do with trading, not to mention that Ceres provides the most potent liquid refreshment available anywhere. I met Erik Long in Ceres many years ago. When I was introduced to him he was talking with a commercial real estate broker who was seeking Erik’s ideas on the theoretical valuation of unimproved real estate. I sat and listened to Erik’s ideas on predictors in a non-linear world. I was totally fascinated by what he had to say and the eloquence with which he said it.
Long after the real estate broker left us, Erik and I were still talking. I took the position that undeveloped real estate could be valued in exactly the same way as a deep in-the-money call option. He was debating my ideas at a much higher level than anyone before and hitting every curve ball I threw at him out of the park. Erik Long and I formed a friendship that evening that will last a lifetime, not to mention the money we will make together by employing his ideas to trade the financial markets.
On October 16th, Spooz will introduce market price predictive technology that heretofore only existed in the most secretive corners of deep-pocketed institutions. For the first time, Spooz will be proud to introduce the public to chaos theory and fractal time series analysis in the same form as it was applied shortly after chaos was developed in the early 1990s and technical analysis, as we knew it, can rest in peace.
The Spooz Holy Grail
I can hear some of you thinking, “Nice story, Paul, but let’s cut to the chase.”
Spooz looks for technologies that are in their early stages of development but that have a huge potential in the market place.
1. October 16 - Fractalz³ EOD – This product represents for its target market a first-to-market advantage. Spooz currently has a multi-faceted marketing plan that will pre-sell this product directly and through brokers. The introductory price will be $89 per month including end-of-day (EOD) historical data from the Spooz servers. The markets covered will be domestic equities, options, futures and Forex. Although Fractalz³ has been operational for some time, Spooz will utilize the auto update feature extensively. Spooz will supply technical support for the brokers and direct sales. The marketing plan will be supported by email, web advertising, value added resellers, brokerage distribution channels and direct sales. See www.fractalz3.com.
2. Early Q1 2007 – SpoozToolz v. 2.0 – This product represents a first-to-market at almost every level, with the possible exception of low latency, institutional proprietary trading. (In reality, we will achieve entry to this market because we believe it will come to us as a result of our middleware component that removes the lion’s share of the processing requirements from Excel. This middleware provides the ability to create large spreadsheets containing complex math at high computational speeds. The SpoozToolz Application middleware is, in and of itself, a potential enterprise product offering.) The product will be offered at an introductory price of $89 per month. The marketing plan will be supported by email, direct mail, trade publication advertising, value added resellers, brokerage distribution cannels and direct sales. Our research, together with other industry knowledge, leads us to believe that it is possible for sales of this product to become explosive in the latter half of 2007. Spooz has conservatively projected 2007 sales at approximately $7 million, however, we believe the potential exists for them to be far greater.
3. Early Q1 - Fractalz³ v. 1.00 – This product will employ the same math as the EOD product except that it can be applied to bid/ask data and market depth. It will utilize SpoozToolz as its electronic execution platform, will employ Excel as its GUI, and will communicate with SpoozToolz through the SpoozToolz Application API. Fractalz³ will become the first “third-party” application to Spooz.
4. Early Q1 – Extended Options Module – This product is another “third party” application that allows options traders to build complex trading models by employing several different theoretical valuation models, or for that matter, your own if you are fortunate enough to have one lying around. This application will allow users to calculate and graph risk sensitivities and complex positions in an Excel environment which, again, provides a first-to-market advantage. Extended options will be deployed in the form of a modular plug-in and priced as an add-on to the base $89 SpoozToolz.
As of this writing, all development is on schedule and multiple patents are being penned.
By the end of Q1 next year, Spooz will launch several software products that will establish the underpinnings of a complimentary product portfolio that will appeal to a huge global market, and this, represents Holy Grail for Spooz.
The purpose of this bl0g is to keep our shareholders informed on various topics of interest that do not require Spooz to post formal press releases. These topics may include a wide variety of subject matter including management and the Spooz philosophy, trends in our industry, strategy, tactics, capitalization and financing, up-listing of Spooz securities, insider sales of securities, products, customers, etc. Of course, we will continue to post press releases on news worthy topics.
From time-to-time I will ask certain individuals, who may be better choices than myself to address certain topics and contribute posts to this bl0g. These individuals will include Spooz management and advisors. I hope this bl0g will provide insights into the people who are making managerial decisions at Spooz.
Those who wish to discuss certain issues should feel free to post comments and questions. These posts will be reviewed before they are posted to SpoozNewz to insure the quality of their content. When questions are posted by our shareholders or prospective shareholders, I will review them and attempt to answer the ones I feel particularly relevant and timely. If you post to this bl0g, please don’t be offended if I do not post your question or address the issue you deem relevant. Rather, I am attempting to address our shareholders as a whole.
Posts: 391 | From: Canada | Registered: May 2006
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There is some great news coming this month. As far as the Ameritrade rumor is concerned I can tell you that we are one of the first companies invited to write SpoozToolz to both their price and execution APIs. We are in the process now although Version 2 of SpoozToolz will not be released until early Q1 2007. Although we have not issued a PR with respect to this, you may post it as it is fairly common knowledge in the Chicago trading community and certainly not insider information. As for the terms of the Ameritrade, and other distribution and marketing considerations we can make no further comment at this time.
posted
REVENUE GROWTH Over the last two years, Spooz has developed proprietary software, strategic partners, and distribution channels. The initial milestone for SpoozToolz sales is to acquire 3,000 customers by April 30, 2007, and 10,000 customers by September 31, 2007. At this level of sales, the Company becomes profitable in June 2007. Spooz projects total revenues of $6.7 million for calendar 2007, $18.9 million for calendar 2008 and $62 million for calendar 2009.
EXIT STRATEGY The exit strategy for investors is through publicly traded stock or acquisition. Spooz intends to complete a certified audit in Q1 2007 and subsequently file with the SEC to become a fully reporting company. Spooz will continually up-list its securities onto more prestigious exchanges in order to provide the desired liquidity for investors.
Spooz management believes the company will become a target for acquisition by the end of 2007. Potential acquirers include large market participants such as hedge funds, brokers, multi-national banks and large software developers.
DISTRIBUTION In April 2007, Spooz will launch marketing and sales programs with target distribution channels in the United States followed by Europe and China later in the year. Spooz is targeting channels of distribution through top brokerages in the investment brokerage sector. This sector has demonstrated dynamic growth averaging 54% and top brokerages over 100% growth per year. Spooz is developing strategic partnerships with large brokerages who view SpoozToolz as a value added product to their customers that will increase their transaction revenues.
Because of the Excel market advantages, exchanges, brokerage firms, investment firms, banks and other financial organizations are potential distributors of SpoozToolz; it can be distributed to hundreds of thousands of trading customers with the highest possible customer acceptance.
The ability to distribute through large financial organizations means rapid, high-volume distribution to targeted market segments while maintaining low sales organization costs. An affiliate sales program has also been developed to enable software resellers, trade publications and other value-added resellers to promote and sell SpoozToolz and related trading screens and trading systems in return for referral fees. Over one hundred affiliate resellers are expected to participate.
Posts: 391 | From: Canada | Registered: May 2006
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posted
REVENUE GROWTH Over the last two years, Spooz has developed proprietary software, strategic partners, and distribution channels. The initial milestone for SpoozToolz sales is to acquire 3,000 customers by April 30, 2007, and 10,000 customers by September 31, 2007. At this level of sales, the Company becomes profitable in June 2007. Spooz projects total revenues of $6.7 million for calendar 2007, $18.9 million for calendar 2008 and $62 million for calendar 2009.
EXIT STRATEGY The exit strategy for investors is through publicly traded stock or acquisition. Spooz intends to complete a certified audit in Q1 2007 and subsequently file with the SEC to become a fully reporting company. Spooz will continually up-list its securities onto more prestigious exchanges in order to provide the desired liquidity for investors.
Spooz management believes the company will become a target for acquisition by the end of 2007. Potential acquirers include large market participants such as hedge funds, brokers, multi-national banks and large software developers.
DISTRIBUTION In April 2007, Spooz will launch marketing and sales programs with target distribution channels in the United States followed by Europe and China later in the year. Spooz is targeting channels of distribution through top brokerages in the investment brokerage sector. This sector has demonstrated dynamic growth averaging 54% and top brokerages over 100% growth per year. Spooz is developing strategic partnerships with large brokerages who view SpoozToolz as a value added product to their customers that will increase their transaction revenues.
Because of the Excel market advantages, exchanges, brokerage firms, investment firms, banks and other financial organizations are potential distributors of SpoozToolz; it can be distributed to hundreds of thousands of trading customers with the highest possible customer acceptance.
The ability to distribute through large financial organizations means rapid, high-volume distribution to targeted market segments while maintaining low sales organization costs. An affiliate sales program has also been developed to enable software resellers, trade publications and other value-added resellers to promote and sell SpoozToolz and related trading screens and trading systems in return for referral fees. Over one hundred affiliate resellers are expected to participate.
Posts: 391 | From: Canada | Registered: May 2006
| IP: Logged |
There is some great news coming this month. As far as the Ameritrade rumor is concerned I can tell you that we are one of the first companies invited to write SpoozToolz to both their price and execution APIs. We are in the process now although Version 2 of SpoozToolz will not be released until early Q1 2007. Although we have not issued a PR with respect to this, you may post it as it is fairly common knowledge in the Chicago trading community and certainly not insider information. As for the terms of the Ameritrade, and other distribution and marketing considerations we can make no further comment at this time.
A battle rages between those who say the financial markets are theoretically impossible to beat and those who say, “Hey, look at me, I’m a billionaire.” On one side are the Nobel laureates, ensconced in the University of Chicago Business School, who are renowned for developing equations describing “efficient”, that is, unbeatable markets. On the other side are the speculators who beat them year in, year out with techniques “proven” not to work. But what if there were a system that did work, a method for finding patterns in chaos, for predicting trillion-dollar markets that most people assume are random? The predictors who discover this Holy Grail will be lords of the realm. They will possess a wonder-working money machine capable of producing a sweet fountain of cash. They will be rich, famous, and free. - The Predictors
Say Goodbye to Technical Analysis as We Know It
I have been a trader for some 25 years. I have held seats on exchanges, developed complex theoretical models for trading options, engaged in sophisticated arbitrage techniques and developed dozens of trading models and systems. I have traded futures, stocks, options on futures, stock options, ETFs, Forex, Mutual Funds, Bonds, and almost every commodity imaginable including Levis blue jeans. All of my experience leads me to some conclusions about the markets, and one of them is that, as a price predictor, “technical analysis” is one of the most successful scams ever thrust on a public willing to risk almost anything for a mere glimpse of the Holy Grail.
The irony of technical analysis is that marketers efforts to sell predictive qualities to the public have been so successful that technical analysis can not be ignored. The fact that technicals predict a target price for a market, and the fact that the market reaches that price may not be coincidental. It is my belief that technical analysis is worthless in predicting future events from history, but that it can give insight into how other traders might react under various market conditions. If the S&P 500 establishes a break through a long-standing uptrend line, an acceleration of declining prices is likely to be established by traders, not because the line was there, but because everyone knows the line was there. In a certain way, technical analysis is a self fulfilling prophecy only because so many people have been sold a bill of goods.
I can see how this happened. I am, and have always been, fascinated with charts. Bar charts, candlesticks, market profiles, equivolume … you name it. In fact, I believe there is a certain artistic quality to price charts. It is easy to understand why people would be compelled to play with charts especially when the alternative would be to develop the skills to read a one-inch wide strip of paper endlessly produced by a ticker tape machine. I imagine the first technical analysis began with someone drawing a trendline on a bar chart that represented the price history of a stock of interest to them. Then came the pattern recognition techniques where multiple lines were drawn on a chart to outline recognizable forms given creative names like “bull flag”, “bear pennant”, or “head and shoulders”.
The next step in the evolutionary process was the realization that all of these lines could be described mathematically and that data could be analyzed through various applications of statistical techniques. The billions of man years spent in research since the 1950s have provided us with a plethora of technical tools that have the ability to project prices into the future using zero delay stochastic filters and Gaussian distribution models. It’s telling that the S&P 500 future (the “Spooz”) suffered a single day price move of six standard deviations only five years after its inception, something that should statistically occur once in thousands of years.
Why did technical analysis evolve as it did? I believe the answer is simple. It evolved because there was nothing else at that time to rely upon. There were no powerful computers that could crunch enough numbers to define a system as dynamic and complex as the markets. It evolved in the same way that the railroads developed as a viable form of transportation. If you wanted to get from north to south quickly, you had no choice but to buy a ticket on the City of New Orleans. In the same way as the railroads went for public transportation (please note that I still ride a train every day), the time is through for the astute trader. Technical analysis based upon Gaussian statistical models has sadly, become old and stale for the astute trader desiring an edge in this century.
The Holy Grail?
Does the Holy Grail really exist? What an irrelevant question. The fact is that it is highly unlikely we will ever know the answer to that question. However, if I answer the question, “Yes, there certainly is a Holy Grail”, it would be most difficult for anyone to argue because I may be able to prove there is a Grail, while no one can prove there isn’t one. The reason for this argument is that we have entered into a new age with the advent of powerful, generally available computers. These computers provide us a window to view systems in ways we couldn’t even imagine twenty years ago.
The reason technical analysis, as it is generally employed, does not work, is because the underlying premise is flawed. The mathematical basis of modern technical analysis attempts to define straight lines in a statistical world that assumes prices are distributed normally. The problem is that prices (like almost anything else in nature) are not distributed normally. This was proven again, like many times before, in October of 1987. Fortunately, there is a new mathematics that is 10,000 times more accurate at predicting price behavior than the methods we have discussed here.
Chaos theory has only been in existence since the early 1990s. The fact that its discovery and development coincides with the computer revolution is not coincidental. Chaos is a new mathematics that explains curved lines rather than straight ones. In other words, Chaos addresses non-linear complex systems. The markets are proven to be non-linear complex systems.
Ceres
Ceres is the traders bar located on the ground floor of the Chicago Board of Trade. In its heyday, Ceres was arguably one of the world’s Meccas for traders to meet and discuss anything and everything having to do with trading, not to mention that Ceres provides the most potent liquid refreshment available anywhere. I met Erik Long in Ceres many years ago. When I was introduced to him he was talking with a commercial real estate broker who was seeking Erik’s ideas on the theoretical valuation of unimproved real estate. I sat and listened to Erik’s ideas on predictors in a non-linear world. I was totally fascinated by what he had to say and the eloquence with which he said it.
Long after the real estate broker left us, Erik and I were still talking. I took the position that undeveloped real estate could be valued in exactly the same way as a deep in-the-money call option. He was debating my ideas at a much higher level than anyone before and hitting every curve ball I threw at him out of the park. Erik Long and I formed a friendship that evening that will last a lifetime, not to mention the money we will make together by employing his ideas to trade the financial markets.
On October 16th, Spooz will introduce market price predictive technology that heretofore only existed in the most secretive corners of deep-pocketed institutions. For the first time, Spooz will be proud to introduce the public to chaos theory and fractal time series analysis in the same form as it was applied shortly after chaos was developed in the early 1990s and technical analysis, as we knew it, can rest in peace.
The Spooz Holy Grail
I can hear some of you thinking, “Nice story, Paul, but let’s cut to the chase.”
Spooz looks for technologies that are in their early stages of development but that have a huge potential in the market place.
1. October 16 - Fractalz³ EOD – This product represents for its target market a first-to-market advantage. Spooz currently has a multi-faceted marketing plan that will pre-sell this product directly and through brokers. The introductory price will be $89 per month including end-of-day (EOD) historical data from the Spooz servers. The markets covered will be domestic equities, options, futures and Forex. Although Fractalz³ has been operational for some time, Spooz will utilize the auto update feature extensively. Spooz will supply technical support for the brokers and direct sales. The marketing plan will be supported by email, web advertising, value added resellers, brokerage distribution channels and direct sales. See www.fractalz3.com.
2. Early Q1 2007 – SpoozToolz v. 2.0 – This product represents a first-to-market at almost every level, with the possible exception of low latency, institutional proprietary trading. (In reality, we will achieve entry to this market because we believe it will come to us as a result of our middleware component that removes the lion’s share of the processing requirements from Excel. This middleware provides the ability to create large spreadsheets containing complex math at high computational speeds. The SpoozToolz Application middleware is, in and of itself, a potential enterprise product offering.) The product will be offered at an introductory price of $89 per month. The marketing plan will be supported by email, direct mail, trade publication advertising, value added resellers, brokerage distribution cannels and direct sales. Our research, together with other industry knowledge, leads us to believe that it is possible for sales of this product to become explosive in the latter half of 2007. Spooz has conservatively projected 2007 sales at approximately $7 million, however, we believe the potential exists for them to be far greater.
3. Early Q1 - Fractalz³ v. 1.00 – This product will employ the same math as the EOD product except that it can be applied to bid/ask data and market depth. It will utilize SpoozToolz as its electronic execution platform, will employ Excel as its GUI, and will communicate with SpoozToolz through the SpoozToolz Application API. Fractalz³ will become the first “third-party” application to Spooz.
4. Early Q1 – Extended Options Module – This product is another “third party” application that allows options traders to build complex trading models by employing several different theoretical valuation models, or for that matter, your own if you are fortunate enough to have one lying around. This application will allow users to calculate and graph risk sensitivities and complex positions in an Excel environment which, again, provides a first-to-market advantage. Extended options will be deployed in the form of a modular plug-in and priced as an add-on to the base $89 SpoozToolz.
As of this writing, all development is on schedule and multiple patents are being penned.
By the end of Q1 next year, Spooz will launch several software products that will establish the underpinnings of a complimentary product portfolio that will appeal to a huge global market, and this, represents Holy Grail for Spooz.
Posts: 391 | From: Canada | Registered: May 2006
| IP: Logged |
posted
Email repost from Strickland on Ameritrade Rumor:
There is some great news coming this month. As far as the Ameritrade rumor is concerned I can tell you that we are one of the first companies invited to write SpoozToolz to both their price and execution APIs. We are in the process now although Version 2 of SpoozToolz will not be released until early Q1 2007. Although we have not issued a PR with respect to this, you may post it as it is fairly common knowledge in the Chicago trading community and certainly not insider information. As for the terms of the Ameritrade, and other distribution and marketing considerations we can make no further comment at this time.
posted
I own many shares of Spooz. Many folks on the IHUB board own many more shares than me, but everyone is very optimistic about SPZI, me included, obviously.
To sum it up, I just believe this is one of those opportunities to get in on the ground floor, know what I mean? Just like RSHN (RushNet) when it was sitting at 0.0003 and ran all the way up to 0.01, check the chart out, now that was a sick run man. I feel we have an opportunity just like that. It took a while before that little gem, RSHN, ran, but boy did it run. Nowadays RSHN is strongly supported at 0.002, which is solid, it didn't drop all the way back down to 0.0003. I wish I would of discovered RushNet before the huge run. Can SPZI have a similar run? I think so!
SPZI has very strong support at 0.01 and I believe we could have a run similar to the RSHN run. Spooz will be announcing the release of SpoozToolzV2 in early 2007. In addition to that, many more big PR's will be released prior to that. The CEO, Paul Strickland, is in the process of uplisting SPZI to gain more exposure and become fully reporting. Everything seems to be going very smoothly and it will take a little time, but man once we get that exposure like RushNet got, we're gonna sail North for a little while, believe that. The time to buy is now, when the stock is relatively unknown, plus we have strong support at 0.01, with many more big PR's to come, what more can you ask for from a company just getting started!? Microsoft didn't explode on the scene when it first started out, right?
I'm sure RSHN had the same issues, people bashing it when it was sitting at 0.0003 for who knows how long and then one day KABOOM! It took a steady one month climb to reach 0.01, incredible! We may experience something like that with SPZI. Haven't you folks noticed our strong support at 0.01? All we need is exposure, some big PR's, maybe some uplist news, more acquisition news (acquiring companies is usually a good thing), maybe some good financials, the release of SpoozToolzV2, who knows where the price could be in 2007.
posted
Posted by: cwoody In reply to: None Date:9/19/2006 2:31:53 PM Post #of 7155
So why are we at these levels? IMHO for a few reasons:
1) Who is Spooz? They are not very well known. We need a few very BIG PRs, such as landing a large brokerage to make a splash large enough to be seen by many new investors.
2) Can we trust what we hear from Spooz management? To solve this, Spooz will need to go fully audited - they are in the process and hopefully we will see results soon.
3) Product revenue - this will come with Spooz Toolz V2 and Fractal Cubed. Both really cool products. But we aren't likely to see much until next year as far as revenue.
Spooz has an interesting year ahead of them. They are going to release newer versions of products, make new partnerships, and drive revenue/sales and move in the direction of profitability.
In my mind, this is the ground floor, so hold on. The current PPS fluctuates with very light volume, but we seem to have a solid floor at 0.01. I do not think it will be long before we start to see the volume tick up as it gets greater exposure.
posted
Ahhh yesss! The chart looks ever so beautiful.
For those folks that don't know, the chart has formed a double bottom (a W formation), which is known as a major reversal pattern. Many more big PR's to be released, UP we go!
Fractalz Development is under budget and on schedule. Subsequent to the launch of Fractalz on October 16, 2006, Spooz will engage in an unprecedented demonstration of its commitment to, and belief in the quality and profitability of our Fractalz EOD product by allocating a small amount of available capital to trade exclusively with Fractalz in certain futures markets. We intend to publish the results of our trading.
141 Futures, LLC is a dormant registered Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) in which I, and other Spooz insiders, have an equity interest. 141 Futures has never managed any customer accounts and therefore has never generated a bonefide track record, as is required by the National Futures Association as a prerequisite for a CTA to solicit accounts. Spooz products will be employed to develop this track record.
Fractalz is a gray-box trading platform that enables the trader to easily build and test his/her own trading systems. While the underlying algorithms are intellectual property proprietary to Spooz, the trader has the ability to test millions of combinations of indicators, filters, and predictors and compare risk/reward characteristics. This means that individual traders will likely experience differing performance results using Fractalz.
Scott Ryll is in the process of developing a trading plan for the Fractalz account. I have asked Scott to provide our shareholders (via this ****) with more detail regarding this program. He will post a general outline of the trading plan around the time of product launch. As time goes on, Spooz will also provide educational content relevant to developing profitable trading plans, not only with respect to Fractalz, but for a myriad of different systems developed for the SpoozToolz platform. This educational initiative will not be limited to futures and will include stocks, options and many other asset classes.
The plan is to provide our customers with products that will assist them in generating trading profits and managing risk. Spooz management believes the most effective way to provide these products is to thoroughly test them, not only in a development facility, but in the markets they were designed to address. In this way, we will continually strive to increase the confidence of our customers in the products we provide.
Paul Strickland (CEO of Spooz Inc.)
Posts: 391 | From: Canada | Registered: May 2006
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posted
Since I have been out of the loop for 2 weeks, I have chosen to respond to certain individuals with respect to their questions and posts collectively. In order of their posting:
I would like to recommend a book to you. This book is titled The Predictors by Thomas A. Bass. It is the story of a group of scientists and mathematicians who developed Chaos Theory for the financial markets beginning in August 1991 in Santa Fe, New Mexico. In this book it states that Chaos Theory is 10,000 times more accurate than any other form of mathematical prediction ever applied to the markets. Further, the book goes on to state that chaos theory, "when applied to market data the new technology produces substantial returns and there is less than a one in ten thousand chance that the models are wrong."
The rule of thumb is that, in a vacuum, market cap should equal 5 x gross sales. This means that company growth rates, new products, management, growth rates of target markets, etc. Are not considered in this formula, therefore; 5 x $7,000,000 is a $30,000,000 market cap.
I believe Spooz pricing to be disruptive. For $89 a month, SpoozToolz will provide the customer with more power than ever before and at a price far less than that customer would pay a competitor for less functionally. In addition, we are developing modules that may, or may not, appeal to segmented market groups. As an example, one of the modules being developed currently is an allocation module. This module provides the user with the ability to route orders to different brokers and to different accounts. The module is designed for brokers, hedge funds, etc. It is likely, since competitive products are priced at thousands of dollars per month, that we may price the module at $500 - 750 per month. Lastly, we view pricing as an extremely complex process that requires significant research and an intimate knowledge of the market. While we do not have all the answers, we believe that our published pricing has taken into account adjustment strategies that may need to be eventually employed.
I have filed the proper paperwork that will allow me to sell approximately 2.6 million shares of Spooz stock. Because this has become somewhat of an issue, I would like to address it here, perhaps for the last time. To date, I have sold 400,000 shares with the lowest price being .015. The reason I have not sold more is because I don't like the price and I refuse to put selling pressure on SPZI at current volume levels. When the time is right, I will sell more, but the sales have nothing whatsoever to do with the prospects for the company, instead, they are of more of a personal nature. To date, no other insider has any intention of selling at these prices. It is likely that it will be Q4 2007 before any more restricted stock is sold.
We chose Equititrend for a number of reasons without respect to their physical location, but they are not the only IR firm that Spooz works with. While Equititrend specializes in retail investments, we have other IR firms that play different roles. We work with The Investor Relations Company, a prestegious IR firm located on Michigan Avenue, several blocks from our offices. We work with Scanlon Corporate communications who specializes in technology and the media. There are others. The point is that our IR campaign has barely begun and the infrastructure is being built to propel Spooz much further, especially in terms of institutional participation. When execution of our plan is in full swing, we should generate enough momentum to move everyone out of the way. Please don't ask for specifics or timing because I can not divulge this information to you.
Paul Strickland (CEO of Spooz Inc.)
Posts: 391 | From: Canada | Registered: May 2006
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posted
Reply from Paul Strickland to an email I sent to Spooz.
My question:
In recent weeks you have provided a lot of information about goals and plans which sound very interesting and exciting. You sound as if your hopes are very high.
There is a big difference between setting a goal and achieving it. Can you give us any sense of realistically where Spooz is in relation to the goals that have been outlined? From your perspective, without giving any inside information, can you provide any indication of the progress that has been made so far?
I won't post any reply on public boards without your express consent.
During the fourth quarter this year we will be engaged to accomplish a number of significant milestones:
We will launch Fractalz on October 16 so we are very busy with final testing implementation of marketing and sales for this product. We are focused on exceeding projected sales of 350 subscriptions before the end of 2006. We are also in the process of developing a trading plan for Fractalz to be implemented soon. All of the registrations and financing are in place to begin trading operations within 30 days of product launch. We are in negotiations with Ameritrade and optionsXpress regarding joint marketing (and the funding participation) for SpoozToolz v 2.0 to be launched in January. We are in the process of ramping up an IR campaign designed at increasing institutional investor awareness. The Adler Group is preparing our books for a certified audit in January to be followed by filing with the SEC to become a fully reporting OTC:BB company as quickly as the process can be completed.
In short, the milestones for Q4 are critical to the long-term prospects for Spooz. We have a handle on all of the Q4 milestones and in some cases are well ahead of schedule.
I believe that our shareholders should look out 18 months for a public exit. In 2007 our emphasis will center on revenue growth and the development of complementary products to the SpoozToolz platform. Since we have already experienced overtures from significant organizations, we believe we will be a bonefide acquisition target by this time next year.
I hope this answers most of your questions. I have no objection to your publishing this communication, but I would ask that you submit your questions to our bl0g at www.SpoozNewz.bl0gspot.com in the future.
posted
"We are in negotiations with Ameritrade and optionsXpress regarding joint marketing (and the funding participation) for SpoozToolz v 2.0 to be launched in January."
"Since we have already experienced overtures from significant organizations, we believe we will be a bonefide acquisition target by this time next year."
posted
Reply from Paul Strickland to an email I sent to Spooz.
My question:
In recent weeks you have provided a lot of information about goals and plans which sound very interesting and exciting. You sound as if your hopes are very high.
There is a big difference between setting a goal and achieving it. Can you give us any sense of realistically where Spooz is in relation to the goals that have been outlined? From your perspective, without giving any inside information, can you provide any indication of the progress that has been made so far?
I won't post any reply on public boards without your express consent.
During the fourth quarter this year we will be engaged to accomplish a number of significant milestones:
We will launch Fractalz on October 16 so we are very busy with final testing implementation of marketing and sales for this product. We are focused on exceeding projected sales of 350 subscriptions before the end of 2006. We are also in the process of developing a trading plan for Fractalz to be implemented soon. All of the registrations and financing are in place to begin trading operations within 30 days of product launch. We are in negotiations with Ameritrade and optionsXpress regarding joint marketing (and the funding participation) for SpoozToolz v 2.0 to be launched in January. We are in the process of ramping up an IR campaign designed at increasing institutional investor awareness. The Adler Group is preparing our books for a certified audit in January to be followed by filing with the SEC to become a fully reporting OTC:BB company as quickly as the process can be completed.
In short, the milestones for Q4 are critical to the long-term prospects for Spooz. We have a handle on all of the Q4 milestones and in some cases are well ahead of schedule.
I believe that our shareholders should look out 18 months for a public exit. In 2007 our emphasis will center on revenue growth and the development of complementary products to the SpoozToolz platform. Since we have already experienced overtures from significant organizations, we believe we will be a bonefide acquisition target by this time next year.
I hope this answers most of your questions. I have no objection to your publishing this communication, but I would ask that you submit your questions to our bl0g at www.SpoozNewz.bl0gspot.com in the future.
posted
"We are in negotiations with Ameritrade and optionsXpress regarding joint marketing (and the funding participation) for SpoozToolz v 2.0 to be launched in January."
"Since we have already experienced overtures from significant organizations, we believe we will be a bonefide acquisition target by this time next year."
In recent weeks you have provided a lot of information about goals and plans which sound very interesting and exciting. You sound as if your hopes are very high.
There is a big difference between setting a goal and achieving it. Can you give us any sense of realistically where Spooz is in relation to the goals that have been outlined? From your perspective, without giving any inside information, can you provide any indication of the progress that has been made so far?
I won't post any reply on public boards without your express consent.
During the fourth quarter this year we will be engaged to accomplish a number of significant milestones:
We will launch Fractalz on October 16 so we are very busy with final testing implementation of marketing and sales for this product. We are focused on exceeding projected sales of 350 subscriptions before the end of 2006. We are also in the process of developing a trading plan for Fractalz to be implemented soon. All of the registrations and financing are in place to begin trading operations within 30 days of product launch. We are in negotiations with Ameritrade and optionsXpress regarding joint marketing (and the funding participation) for SpoozToolz v 2.0 to be launched in January. We are in the process of ramping up an IR campaign designed at increasing institutional investor awareness. The Adler Group is preparing our books for a certified audit in January to be followed by filing with the SEC to become a fully reporting OTC:BB company as quickly as the process can be completed.
In short, the milestones for Q4 are critical to the long-term prospects for Spooz. We have a handle on all of the Q4 milestones and in some cases are well ahead of schedule.
I believe that our shareholders should look out 18 months for a public exit. In 2007 our emphasis will center on revenue growth and the development of complementary products to the SpoozToolz platform. Since we have already experienced overtures from significant organizations, we believe we will be a bonefide acquisition target by this time next year.
I hope this answers most of your questions. I have no objection to your publishing this communication, but I would ask that you submit your questions to our bl0g at www.SpoozNewz.bl0gspot.com in the future.
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