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Author Topic: OPINIONS ON -SIRI- PLEASE
stockdoesgood44
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Can somebody please give me a short term opinion on Sirius Satellitel Radio?
Posts: 235 | Registered: Apr 2004  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
Lindy
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Business: Sirius SatRad, (SIRI) from its orbiting satellites, directly broadcasts various channels of digital-quality audio. The Company provides its services throughout the continental United States for a monthly subscription fee. The Company delivers various streams of commercial-free music in every genre, as well as streams of news, sports, weather, talk, comedy, and public radio.

Price: SIRI closed on 1/27/2005 at $6.36 per share

Value: Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. SIRI has a current Value of $1.14 per share. Therefore, it is overvalued compared to its Price of $6.36 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease. VectorVest advocates the purchase of undervalued stocks. At some point in time, a stock's Price and Value always will converge.

RV (Relative Value): RV is an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential. SIRI has an RV of 0.60, which is poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. This indicator is far superior to a simple comparison of Price and Value because it is computed from an analysis of projected price appreciation three years out, AAA Corporate Bond Rates, and risk. RV solves the riddle of whether it is preferable to buy High growth, High P/E stocks, or Low growth, Low P/E stocks. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RV ratings above 1.00.

RS (Relative Safety): RS is an indicator of risk. SIRI has an RS rating of 0.70, which is poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RS is computed from an analysis of the consistency and predictability of a company's financial performance, debt to equity ratio, sales volume, business longevity, price volatility and other factors. A stock with an RS rating greater than 1.00 is safer and more predictable than the average stock in the VectorVest database. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks of companies with consistent, predictable financial performance.

RT (Relative Timing): RT is a fast, smart, accurate indicator of a stock's price trend. SIRI has a Relative Timing rating of 1.10, which is good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RT is computed from an analysis of the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price movements over one day, one week, one quarter and one year time periods. Once a stock's price has established a strong trend, it is expected to continue in that trend for the short-term. If a trend dissipates, RT will gravitate toward 1.00. RT will explode from bottoms, dive from tops, and reflect changes in price momentum. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RT ratings above 1.00.

VST (VST-Vector): VST is the master indicator for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database. SIRI has a VST rating of 0.85, which is fair on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. VST is computed from the square root of a weighted sum of the squares of RV, RS, and RT. Stocks with the highest VST ratings have the best combinations of Value, Safety and Timing. These are the stocks to own for above average, long-term capital appreciation. VectorVest advocates the purchase of safe, undervalued stocks rising in price.

CI (Comfort Index): CI is an indicator which reflects a stock's ability to resist severe and/or lengthy price declines. SIRI has a CI rating of 0.04, which is very poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. CI is quite different from RS in that it is based solely upon a stock's long-term price history. VectorVest advocates the purchase of high CI stocks.

GRT (Earnings Growth Rate): GRT reflects a company's one to three year forecasted earnings growth rate in percent per year. SIRI has a forecasted Earnings Growth Rate of 29.00%, which VectorVest considers to be excellent. GRT is computed from historical, current and forecasted earnings data. It is updated each week for every stock in the VectorVest database. GRT often foretells a stock's future price trend. If a stock's GRT trend is upward, the stock's price will likely rise. If GRT is trending downward, the stock's Price will probably fall. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks whose GRT is rising and is greater than the sum of current inflation and interest rates, (8.66%).

Recommendation (REC): VectorVest gives a Buy, Sell, Hold recommendation on every stock, every day. SIRI has a Hold recommendation. REC reflects the cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks rising in price. They also help investors avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks falling in price. VectorVest recommends that investors buy high VST-Vector, Buy-rated stocks in rising markets.

Stop (Stop-Price): Stop is an indicator of when to sell a long position or cover a short position. SIRI has a Stop of $6.11 per share. This is $0.25 below SIRI's current closing Price. A stock's Stop is computed from a 13 week moving average of its closing prices, and is fine-tuned according to the stock's fundamentals. High RV, high RS stocks have lower Stops, and low RV, low RS stocks have higher Stops. In the VectorVest system, a stock gets a 'B' or 'H' recommendation if its Price is above its Stop and an 'S' recommendation if its Price is below its Stop.

EPS (Earnings per Share): EPS stands for leading 12 months Earnings Per Share. SIRI has a forecasted EPS of $-0.47 per share. VectorVest determines this forecast from a combination of recent earnings performance and traditional fiscal and/or calendar year earnings forecasts.

P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): P/E is a popular measure of stock valuation which shows the dollars required to buy one dollar of earnings. SIRI has a P/E of -13.53. This ratio may be deemed to be high or low depending upon your frame of reference. The average P/E of all the stocks in the VectorVest database is 26.87. P/E is computed daily using the formula: P/E = Price/EPS.

EY (Earnings Yield): EY reflects earnings per share as a percent of Price. EY is related to P/E via the formula, EY = 100 / (P/E), and may be used in place of P/E as a measure of valuation. EY has the advantages that it is always determinate and can reflect negative earnings. SIRI has an EY of -7.39 percent. This is below the current average of 3.74% for all the stocks in the VectorVest database. EY equals 100 x (EPS/Price).

GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio): GPE is another popular measure of stock valuation. It compares earnings growth rate to P/E ratio. SIRI has a GPE rating of -2.14. High growth stocks are believed to be able to justify high P/E ratios. A stock is commonly considered to be undervalued when GPE is greater than 1.00 and overvalued when GPE is below 1.00. Unfortunately, this rule of thumb does not take into account the effect of interest rates on P/E ratios. The operative GPE ratio of 1.00 is valid when and only when interest rates equal 10%. With long-term interest rates currently at 5.36%, the operative GPE ratio is 0.29. Therefore, SIRI may be considered to be overvalued.

DIV (Dividend): VectorVest reports annual, regular, cash dividends as indicated by the most recent payments. Special distributions, one-time payments, stock dividends, etc., are not generally included in DIV. SIRI does not pay a dividend.

DY (Dividend Yield): DY reflects earnings per share as a percent of Price. SIRI does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Yield rating. . DY equals 100 x (DIV/Price). It is useful to compare DY with EY. If DY is not significantly lower than EY, the dividend payment may be in jeopardy.

DS (Dividend Safety): DS is an indicator of the assurance that regular cash dividends will be declared and paid at current or at higher rates for the foreseeable future. SIRI does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Safety rating . Stocks with DS values above 75 typically have RS values well above 1.00 and EY levels that are much higher than DY.


DG (Dividend Growth Rate): Dividend Growth is a subtle yet important indicator of a company's financial performance. It also provides some insight into the board's outlook on the company's ability to increase earnings. SIRI does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Growth rating .

YSG (YSG-Vector): YSG is an indicator which combines DIV, DY and DG into a single value, and allows direct comparison of all dividend-paying stocks in the database. SIRI does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a YSG rating . Stocks with the highest YSG values have the best combinations of Dividend Yield, Safety and Growth. These are the stocks to buy for above average current income and long-term growth.

Open: SIRI opened trading at a price of $6.26 per share on 1/27/2005.

High: SIRI traded at a High price of $6.40 per share on 1/27/2005.

Low: SIRI traded at a Low price of $6.17 per share on 1/27/2005

Close: SIRI closed trading at price $6.36 per share on 1/27/2005. (Close is also called Price in the VectorVest system)

Range: Range reflects the difference between the High and Low prices for the day. SIRI traded with a range of $0.23 per share on 1/27/2005.

$Change: SIRI closed up 0.18 from the prior day's closing Price.

%PRC: SIRI's Price changed 2.91% from the prior day's closing price.

Volume: SIRI traded 56,026,900 shares on 1/27/2005.

AvgVol: AvgVol is the 50 day moving average of daily volume as computed by VectorVest. SIRI has an AvgVol of 143,330,400 shares traded per day.

%Vol: %Vol reflects the percent change in today's trading volume as compared to the AvgVol. %Vol equals 100 x (Volume/AvgVol). SIRI had a %Vol of -60.91% on 1/27/2005

Sales: SIRI has annual sales of $46,000,000

Sales Growth: Sales Growth is the Sales Growth Rate in percent over the last 12 months. SIRI has a Sales Growth of 409.00% per year. This is excellent. Sales Growth is updated each week for every stock. It is often useful to compare Sales Growth to Earnings Growth to gain an insight into a company's operations.

Sales Per Share (SPS): SIRI has annual sales of $0.04 per share. SPS can be used as a measure of valuation when comparing stocks within an Industry Group.

Price to Sales Ratio (P/S): SIRI has a P/S of 168.91. This ratio is also used as a measure of valuation. Here, too, it is useful when comparing stocks within an Industry Group.

Shares: SIRI has 1,237,000,000 shares of stock outstanding.

Market Capitalization: SIRI has a Market Capitalization of $7,869,000,000. Market Capitalization is calculated by multiplying price times shares outstanding.

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Lindy

Posts: 381 | From: Longmont, Co. | Registered: Dec 2004  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
Lindy
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to keep it short...set your stop loss at 6.11...and hold

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Lindy

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stockdoesgood44
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Thanks for the DD! Looks Excellent! Question....what does it keep going north if they reported losses their filings?
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Lindy
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My guess is that people saw it at $8.00 and higher...a lot of people do not do a whole lot of DD before they buy...they just hear "Howard" and expect miracles.
so right now it may look like a good price to them....

But in all honesty...I do not know...

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Lindy

Posts: 381 | From: Longmont, Co. | Registered: Dec 2004  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
Lindy
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But then again...you read all of this...
and a broker at Morgan Stanley tells me he can see $10.00 in the futute...

Would love to have his Crystal ball...

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Lindy

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Art
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I think it will trade sideways here at this level. I would start to look at it if it dips below 5.75.

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The light of truth is blinding to most.

More comforting to look only at the shadows of falseness.

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peacekeeper
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I own this stock...bought at 4.00. It has alot of potential and I plan on holding my shares for awhile. I also believe it will hit 10.00 or even higher.
XM definitely has its work cut out for them in order to keep their product and subscribers growing.

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Art
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Could hit 10 but will take many months.

--------------------
The light of truth is blinding to most.

More comforting to look only at the shadows of falseness.

Posts: 4402 | From: Florida | Registered: Jun 2003  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
stockdoesgood44
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What do you guys think of the following chart, any good well-worth opinions for this week movement?


Well, I guess I can't post the chart, but I was looking at the MACD's lines and every time they cross each other, and I mean every time, there's been a huge spike on the stock price. Take a look at them here: daclyyay[dc][pb50!b200][vc60][iUb14!La12,26,9]&pref=G]StockCharts

And let me know what you think, plus MACD in general looks very good, SIRI was commented on NBC today has a good buy right now, what do you all think?

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stockdoesgood44
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don't know if the URL will even work....just get a 6 month chart of SIRI, looks better
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Art
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This one should work easily:


http://www.stockscores.com/quickreport.asp?ticker=siri&x=20&y=1

--------------------
The light of truth is blinding to most.

More comforting to look only at the shadows of falseness.

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stockdoesgood44
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Art, Thanks for the chart....So, what's your word ont it though? and everybodys...?
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stockdoesgood44
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hello?
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Art
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quote:
Originally posted by stockdoesgood44:
hello?

Did you see my post of Jan. 28 ?

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The light of truth is blinding to most.

More comforting to look only at the shadows of falseness.

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stockdoesgood44
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Yup, Thanks!
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Realm007
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I got in at $1 longago, for me its a long hold.
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stockdoesgood44
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WOW! Look at it right now, this thing is collapsing after yesterday PR
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Art
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Getting interesting here. See if it goes to 5.75 or less before geting in.

--------------------
The light of truth is blinding to most.

More comforting to look only at the shadows of falseness.

Posts: 4402 | From: Florida | Registered: Jun 2003  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
   

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