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Author Topic: Chuck's "BIG" Board Picks
chuck9
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Most of my picks will be coming from premarket hour versus the prior days low, high or close.

This will be a percentage difference from the premarket hour data versus the data from the prior day.

Example:
If a stocks low was $10 yesterday, and the premarket hours for today was 10% lower. Something has happened to that stock.

The following are different scans that I can do.
1). Consolidation breakout scans, using the Bollinger band.

2). Resistance breakout and support breakdowns.

3). "V" thrust scans. This is when the stock is moving in a up-trend, then it pulls back for three to seven days and then starts back up forming a "V".

4) cross over moving averages with correlation indicator for better signals.

5). Bollinger band breakout reversal signals.
Formula = (C-BBandBot(C ,15,S ,1.5))/(BBandTop(C ,15 ,S ,1.5)-BBandBot(C ,15 ,S
,1.5 ))=1.05 AND MFI(14)=50 AND ( BBandTop(C ,20,S, 2)- BBandBot(C ,20 ,S ,2))/Mov(C,20,S)=.08 This will be a reversal to the upside.

The above formulas are just a few that I use from time to time.

-Just a basic outline of how I select picks.
Chuck

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T e x
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logical...

like the name!

--------------------
Nashoba Holba Chepulechi
Adventures in microcapitalism...

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chuck9
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10/4 dude.
chuck

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I like your sig now.. [Wink] (the ants gone)

I will be checking in Chuck...this is something I need to learn...

Good luck~!!

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Ace of Spades
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This is a great idea for a thread chuck....keep up the good work and research! I hope you stay at allstocks for a while! Your contributions are apprecitated!
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Jo4321
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I'll be watching this thread and try to learn some things from you. I need to stay in the big board stocks; lost too much on pennies in the past.

Jo

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chuck9
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I am hoping for the best for all of us, time will tell.
chuck  -

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LMAO!!! THE ANT IS BACK! [Big Grin]
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Ace of Spades
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quote:
Originally posted by Jo4321:
I'll be watching this thread and try to learn some things from you. I need to stay in the big board stocks; lost too much on pennies in the past.

Jo

Joe you can still make 100's of percent a year on the big board stocks! If you would have bought AAPL, GOOG, RIMM, GRMN, BIDU, or FSLR every time their RSI hit 30, Or other indictors showed they were oversold, you could have made 100's of percent return every year. especially if you use margin. With these great stocks, the charts never lie...they move right with the DOW!
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chuck9
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Been working on the-- V --- formula this weekend. Did some back testing, and it was looking pretty good. Then I started having some problems.

This particular formula would be in an uptrend, then it retraces for three to seven days before starting back up. In doing so it forms a --- V -- pattern.

This formula works pretty good, but on a very short-term basis. Less say one to three days.

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chuck9
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dell, it would appear that dell has a confirmed break down below 25.90 or around that area. With no real support below, except maybe for around 23.70.

We'll be keeping an eye on it this morning for a pop up.
chuck  -

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chuck9
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brake down is 24.90 era from the above post.
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Jo4321
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Check out PAY. OUCH!

(and, yes, of course I own it.)

Jo

--------------------
"Great Day for Up!"....Dr. Seuss

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chuck9
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Been there before. [Frown]

Dell, did not pull back as much as I anticipated it to do. But the ride down was still very nice.
chuck  -

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chuck9
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Following is a chart on Dell.
Notice the ---Dogi indicator right before the stock broke down. This is a very powerful down signal in candlestick charting.

Also look at the falling window indicator time to go in with a short. After one has went in for a short. It depends on the individual when he or she wants to come out. There were no cover signals until later on in the chart.

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chuck9
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If any of you guys like volatility I think ---Pay--- will be the stop looking at.

chuck  -

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chuck9
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chuck9
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The following would be a walk-through on how this stock should have been traded.


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chuck9
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The following is for the above chart.
-------------------------------------

The following would be a walk-through on how this stock should have been traded.

The following are the indicators I used on this chart.
1).A moving average expotential band represented by a big blue line and a big red line.

2). The Bollinger band represented by three small red lines.

3). The candlestick charting indicators.


The first candlestick pattern is a bullish hmrami cross. This particular is a buy signal. But one would not buy for this reason, it did not cross the Bollinger bands 20 day moving average and close above it, also it did not move up to or beyond the blue line moving average.

The second candlestick pattern is a ingulping bear pattern. This is a sell signal to the downside. Reason being, it close lower than the previous bar. It's high did not break the 20 day moving average of the Bollinger band and it also hit the big red line.

The third pattern was a ingulping bull pattern , which is a buy signal. But on further examination. I found out it to be a false signal. Reason being, it did go through the big red line, but did not penetrate the big blue line, which is your moving average band.

The fourth signal came with a--DOJI--star, which is a major downward move with this particular setup, at that point, one should be safe on this complete down pattern . There is a couple more down candlestick formations, but I will not go through them.

The final pattern came as a ingulping bull pattern, which is a buy signal. But this pattern is different from the other bull gulping patterns. It cross above the 20 day Bollinger band moving average and it also cross the blue line. Just to be safe, one would look at the next five min-bar to make sure it close higher than the one that had the ingulping pattern.
chuck  -

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chuck9
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Another followed through, disregard the readings at the bottom of the chart. Example 2 p.m. 3 p.m. 9 a.m., they mean nothing. I sure hope that's all it.
chuck

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chuck9
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Went back after ---Pay--- this morning.
Looking for low around 23:95 through 23:44.
------------------------------------------------
In regards to possible legal issues, be advised:

The above information is not a recommendation from myself to others to buy
or sell, nor does it provide to other individuals a recommended timeframe
for the entry,exit for a stock transaction.

Any individual can use the information as they so choose, but in doing so,
that individual accepts full responsibility for results from the use of the
information.

I, Chuck, can accept no responsibility or liability for any other person's
use of the information for their personal trading.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------


chuck  -

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chuck9
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Steel tracking. So far, the low has been 24.05 wondering whether the market being up this morning is keeping the stock up?
chuck  -

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chuck9
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Have anyone you guys been tracking ---PAY--- has seen a lot of moves down before, but nothing like this.
chuck

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Free Muney
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ive been watching. this stock is so incredibly oversold right now but somehow keeps falling... it is so overdue for a bounce but im scared to catch a falling knife. should be a good bounce imo.
financials get released today according to etrade. should be interesting....

--------------------
Contrarian views always appreciated.... :p

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Free Muney
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ok convinced myself that buying will ensue after fin. are released.

in at 20.85. stop * 20 even. this is going to bounce. i just dont want it to bounce next week after i have lost 25% of my principal....
*crossing fingers tightly*

--------------------
Contrarian views always appreciated.... :p

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chuck9
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Think I will give it a little more time.

Good luck, the reason behind this. It just broke through a 21.18 support line, which now becomes the resistance line.
--------------------------------------------
In regards to possible legal issues, be advised:

The above information is not a recommendation from myself to others to buy
or sell, nor does it provide to other individuals a recommended timeframe
for the entry,exit for a stock transaction.

Any individual can use the information as they so choose, but in doing so,
that individual accepts full responsibility for results from the use of the
information.

I, Chuck, can accept no responsibility or liability for any other person's
use of the information for their personal trading.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------


chuck

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Ace of Spades
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WTF.. Charts don't mean jack chit with news like this!!!

You should freshing up your D.D. skills.....

1. On November 29th VeriFone EVP Exercises Options, sold 10,000 shares on the same day for $44.39 to $46.41 each.

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/071129/verifone_insider_transactions.html?.v=1

2. On Novemeber 30th CEO sells 43,300 Shares for $44.70 to $46.43 apiece.

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/071130/verifone_holdings_bergeron_insider_transactions.h tml?.v=1

3. December 3rd VeriFone Announces Anticipated Restatement of 2007 Quarterly Financial Statements

http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/071203/20071203005476.html?.v=1

4. December 4th Verifone downgraded by Credit Suisse and Wedbush Morgan

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ud?s=PAY

5. December 5th Sarraf Gentile LLP Announces Class Action Lawsuit Against VeriFone Holdings, Inc.

http://biz.yahoo.com/iw/071205/0336406.html

I don't think you're ready yet for your own thread called "Chuck's "BIG" Board Picks"

First off, you always say the pick after the fact...or say "this is how the stock should have been played" [Big Grin] [Big Grin] [Big Grin]

Daaaaa....we all know how a stock "should have been played after it already happened

[Big Grin] [Big Grin] [Big Grin]

If you want to call this Chucks Picks..then make some picks in advance for christ sakes!

You said you were looking for a low around $24 without even knowing what's been going on?

This company's CEO pulled an ENRON type scam!

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PCola77
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Geez ace, where'd that come from? First of all he was looking for under $24 yesterday at the open, obviously didn't play it, and then just said he's watching it but isn't in.

You know that people have different trading styles. Some people play charts, and DD is irrelevant. Tell me you've never seen a Q stock boucne hundreds of percent. "DD" tells you to stay the hell away from it, but maybe something in the chart signalled a buy, and you made a few bags. What's wrong with that?

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Ace of Spades
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Where did it come from....I'm the only one that posted DD on the stock that they are so puzzled about...

And here are some of his other genious threads...

http://www.allstocks.com/stockmessageboard/cgi-bin/ultimatebb.cgi/ubb/get_topic/ f/2/t/014592/p/1.html?

http://www.allstocks.com/stockmessageboard/cgi-bin/ultimatebb.cgi/ubb/get_topic/ f/2/t/014616/p/1.html?

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BooDog
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He plays the shorts Ace.

--------------------
All post are my opinion. Do your own DD. Who's clicking your buy/sell button!?

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chuck9
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Free Muney, cannot find the financial statements, you are referring to. Can you help me out on this one?

chuck  -

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chuck9
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Disclaimer information:

I do not give exit or entry points in stocks. Reason for this, legal issues that can arise. Although I did do it one time, but that will not happen again. [Smile]

The following is my--- disclaimer --- I try to put it on every thread I post.
-------------------------------------------------
In regards to possible legal issues, be advised:

The above information is not a recommendation from myself to others to buy
or sell, nor does it provide to other individuals a recommended timeframe
for the entry,exit for a stock transaction.

Any individual can use the information as they so choose, but in doing so,
that individual accepts full responsibility for results from the use of the
information.

I, Chuck, can accept no responsibility or liability for any other person's
use of the information for their personal trading.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------

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IMAKEMONEY
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chuck9 WHAT DO YOU THINK OF PFG? WENT DONW IN A/H. INSIDER SELLING,HMM BUT HELL THE GUY MADE A GREAT PROFIT.

--------------------
LIFE IS 10% HOW YOU MAKE IT AND 90% HOW YOU TAKE IT!

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chuck9
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Imakemoney,
Will be glad to give you the --TA ---, if that's what you are asking. [Wink]
chuck  -

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IMAKEMONEY
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THANKS, LOVE TO HEAR IT/ READ IT.

--------------------
LIFE IS 10% HOW YOU MAKE IT AND 90% HOW YOU TAKE IT!

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