posted
.48 at the close. I gained some money back there. Good momentum for the weekend.
Posts: 14 | From: Atlanta, GA | Registered: Aug 2006
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posted
All watches and warnings in association with Chris have been discontinued. The environment surrounding Chris continues to remain hostile for tropical development and, as a result, Chris continues to become disorganized. It is likely that this system will be only a remnant low pressure later today. As whatever is left of Chris continues to move west, some local enhancement of showers and thunderstorms with heavy downpours will occur over Cuba this weekend.
Environmental conditions are also not favorable for any development in the near term.
-------------------- “Money itself isn't lost or made, it's simply transferred from one perception to another." Posts: 540 | Registered: Mar 2006
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posted
The NHC has written the last advisory on Chirs- it is no longer a threat to anyone and regeneration looks unlikely. In this case, dry air and strong upper level winds (at times) won out. The Atlantic just wasn't ready yet but that may be about to change. The long range models (some of them) show development out in the east Atlantic next week. Water temps are planty warm in most areas and the dry, dusty air coming off of Africa is becoming less and less of an influence on the tropical waves. I think we have about a week to 10 days before we see the lid really come off in the Atlantic. This is not hard to see considering that at that time period we will be entering the climatological ramp up towards the peak of the season in September.
posted
My opinion is readers should not buy this stock.
In a different thread I discuss how this company is on the verge of bankruptcy and has no capital for expansion nor taking on new contracts, even if a hurricane sinks all of the Southeast.
Only way this company can take on new contracts is to seek financing. This company has a poor credit rating indicating financing terms will be very unfavorable, most likely involving high dilutive lending if not toxic lending.
I also indicated months back this stock is capped at .40 per share and it remains capped at that price and should be trading at .25 to .30 per.
Holler all you want, present all the evidence you want, this stock is capped at .40 per. This is a pump and dump stock, well evidenced by last week's speculation bubble burst about which I warned. Only reason this stock exceeds its valid cap is pump and dump activity, nothing more.
A lot of people lost a lot of money on this one last week. Only a few made money.
Flip this one if you want, but never hold this one for more than one day.
This is a pump and dump stock. You readers need to screw your heads on right and start performing good research. If not, you will lose money.
Debate my opinion, please. Prove me wrong. Nothing more I would enjoy than to be wrong. You best do this with factual verifiable information. If you harass me, I will do all I can to have you removed from Allstocks. I will not tolerate any of you harassing me.
posted
I always appreciate the opinion of critics, because I do believe that some times all the favorable opinions build each others confidence to the point where confidence levels may be displaced. So I do not feel the need to bash you Purl Gurl by any means. I will however strongly disagree… I have been holding this stock for a few weeks and it has been gradually trending upwards. Once the first storm of the season “Chris” formed the hype and magnitude of buys gave the stock a huge jump that it could not sustain as “Chris” became notable weaker. However once a large storm forms and shows strength to make land fall on the US, the stock price will absolutely sky rocket. This is not a pump and dump it is a hurricane stock that will be totally dependant on the hurricanes themselves. At a time like now with little to no hurricane activity the stock will fluctuate around the .46 level. However at times when there is a lot of hurricane activity the stock will imo rise to a peak of $3.50-$3.80.
In short Purl I am not going to convince you and you wont be able to convince me, so I guess we will have to agree to disagree.
-------------------- “Money itself isn't lost or made, it's simply transferred from one perception to another." Posts: 540 | Registered: Mar 2006
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posted
"...it has been gradually trending upwards."
No, you are practicing deceit. This stock is trending downward and has been for a month.
You are trying to fool readers into believing this recent speculation bubble is an upward trend. That speculation bubble burst, as I warned about, and lots of people lost lots of money. That speculation bubble is a direct result of intense pump and dump efforts.
You cannot conceal this from readers. This is very obvious a pump and dump by reading various boards and by examination of charts.
Your prompting readers to hedge a bet on hurricanes is no more profitable than your dropping nickels into a slot machine and hoping to win. You cannot predict hurricanes to such a degree to assure readers this will cause this stock to skyrocket. Doing so is irresponsible and ludicrous.
You have deliberately made no mention of my discussion of the financial condition of this company and carefully avoided advising readers this stock is being pumped like crazy everywhere.
Sure, might go up again once another speculation bubble fills. However, you have not warned readers that bubble will burst and this stock will crash faster than readers can get their money out.
This is precisely what happened last week, yes?
People lost lots of money because they were fooled into believing the pump and dump crap being spread at almost all discussion boards.
My expectation is you will play it straight with readers, not crooked.
Readers, if so inclined, can take a risk on flipping this stock. I would advise against this because chances are good readers will lose their money as did so many last week.
Provides some facts for readers, provide an opinion which is based on logic and good sense.
This "bet on a hurricane" line is laughable and irresponsible; you are putting at risk the money of American families. Doing so is very wrong. Play with your own money, not the money of hard working families.
posted
"...will imo rise to a peak of $3.50-$3.80."
Prove this to readers. Provide factual data, provide logical and reasonable discussion why a virtually bankrupt company will have its share prices skyrocket to those prices.
This one will move from .40 / .45 to close to four bucks a share? How much of a percentage increase is that? How often does this happen with a virtually bankrupt company which is being pumped very intensely?
The Munchkin Man would like to describe and share his personal experiences with NLST during last week, which was the week of Monday, July 31, 2004, 2006.
Upon hearing of the imminent threat of a possible hurricane named Chris, the Munchkin Man bought some shares of NLST at $0.465 a share.
The Munchkin Man thoroughly enjoyed it watching it soar above the $0.60 share price mark.
Then overnight, the once dreaded hurricane dissipated into a very weak tropical storm, to winds at less than 40 mph.
The next morning, the Munchkin Man tried to sell this stock as fast as he could.
The Munchkin Man finally managed to sell it at $0.485 a share, as it was falling like a rock.
This was a tiny profit. Too tiny to make it worthwhile after commissions. At least, the Munchkin Man didn't take a loss.
A lot of people seem to be playing these hurricane stocks with the hope of enjoying a rerun of last year.
The Munchkin Man hates to say it, but the Munchkin Man is getting a sinking feeling that this may not happen.
The course of a hurricane can change overnight and during the weekend.
Unfortunately, the stock market does not run on the same schedule.
The year of 2005 was great for these penny hurricane stocks.
Will 2006 rise to such a level?
Maybe.
Maybe not.
In either event, it does seem to be extremely risky to invest your money in whichever way the wind decides to blow.
As much as the Munchkin Man hates to admit it, the Purl Gurl has a point.
Best Wishes,
Munchkin Man
Posts: 558 | From: Munchkin Man | Registered: Jun 2006
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posted
“Play with your own money, not the money of hard working families”
WOW!! People do have their own minds you know… If I say the stock will rise, then that is what I believe. I don’t expect people to regard me as a god and do exactly as a say. I am a relatively new poster and don’t have that strong of a reputation yet. I trade for myself, no one else. I do not pump stocks... I give my opinion and outlook.
Now you comment as to the company’s financial status, I could not care less. I trade on technical analysis, and rarely make my decisions based on fundamentals as they don’t play as important role in these micro markets as they do on the big boards.
The reasons that I think the stock will rise to a pps of $3.50 to $3.80, is because this is slightly above last years high of $3.20. Now you might ask yourselves why above last years high. A good question the answer is that NLST has had many acquisitions since the explosion of last year. Now they have broadened their horizons they are no longer just a hurricane stock. They now deal with tornados and storm damage in general.
Let’s pretend that I am a pumper which I am not, but let’s pretend. If that is you view of me then where does that put you. Your on the opposite side of the spectrum, you’re a serious basher. Every thread I see your posts on you are usually bashing the hell out of the stock. The truth is most of these companies are not solid by any means that is why they trade on these markets… if you are so hell bent on a perfect company leave these markets alone and go trade NYSE stocks.
-------------------- “Money itself isn't lost or made, it's simply transferred from one perception to another." Posts: 540 | Registered: Mar 2006
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posted
Munchkin Man portrays no patients in his trading and as it did last week will continue to haunt you and your portfolio. “Chris” was a lame storm, thus the lame effect on the stock” wait for a bigger more accumulated storm that has the potential to make land fall and NLST will rise to my estimated $3.50-$3.80.
-------------------- “Money itself isn't lost or made, it's simply transferred from one perception to another." Posts: 540 | Registered: Mar 2006
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posted
Couple of years back I made a killing on the Mad Cow bandwagon. Same time period, I made a killing on the RFID bandwagon. I think RFID means Radio Frequency Identification Device.
No matter. For both bandwagons, because of my now over twenty years experience trading stocks, I knew not to hold too long.
Length of time to hold, whether an hour or a month, for bandwagon stocks, can only be safely judged and not truly all that safely, this can only be judged based on long direct experience in trading stocks.
Are you reading for comprehension? You can only judge what a bandwagon stock will do based on years and years of experience.
Why you cannot safely judge entry points and exit points, along with timing of those, is there are no rules, no forces which control bandwagon stocks. You cannot chart these, you cannot apply fundamentals, you cannot make use of any tools to develop a prediction. Bandwagon stocks are strictly controlled by concensus trader perception which is extremely volatile and unpredictable. At any given moment, should two, maybe three traders decide to profit take, this will snowball into a massive crash.
You cannot predict when this will happen.
One point can be made safely. Bandwagons almost never come around again. Bandwagons travel in one direction, to the vanishing point. This Mad Cow bandwagon has not and will not ever come around again. This RFID bandwagon has not and will not ever come around again.
The Hurricane bandwagon has not and will not ever come around again.
Readers are to make careful note of my usage of the expression "bandwagon" which classifies stocks into a very strict category. My discussion does not apply to all stocks nor in general.
Bandwagon stocks are alone in status and have absolutely nothing to do with pumping. Mad Cow, RFID, Hurricane, years past, were not pumped, never pumped. Some traders, a lot of traders, realized naive traders would start buying those stocks based on a faulty assumption companies would enjoy sudden and great revenues because of an unexpected high product demand.
Never happened (almost never happened).
A bandwagon stock is not a pumped stock.
These hurricane stocks are pure pump and dump. Those stocks are not bandwagon stocks. These pump and dump stocks will exhibit all the very classic behaviors expected; bubble, burst, crash.
Readers do not need a lot of experience to know what a pump and dump stock will do. This is very common knowledge, so much so, articles are found on the SEC website warning about pump and dump.
You have no excuse for suckering into a pump and dump stock. Information is everywhere, warnings are everywhere. You have no excuse.
Should I write, "I told you so" this is because you acted stupidly and lost your money. You deserve to have this rubbed in your face.
Predicting behavior of pump and dump stocks, you cannot do this. There are no rules just like there are no rules for bandwagon stocks.
Bandwagon stocks are safer. These stocks do not crash as fast affording you a chance to get out. Pump and dump stocks can lose almost one-hundred percent of value in literally five minutes.
Bandwagon stocks are based on a wide perception of increased revenues due to accelerated demand. No deceit is involved. Bandwagon stocks are simply a lot of people fooling _themselves_ into a false belief.
Pump and dump stocks are based on pure deceit. These are stocks about which thousands of people simply lie, defraud, con and scam. Pump and dump is a criminal activity and many are prosecuted for pump and dump activities. Pump and dump is outright crime. This is why these types of stocks will crash severely in literally minutes; the criminals have robbed you and are running like crazy to make good their escape.
Should you sucker for a pump and dump then whine and cry, I will write, "I told you so."
Playing pump and dump stocks is for professional seasoned traders only, and when they do so, if ethical, this is done with regret. They are aware a lot of people are being victimized and they are going along for the ride to profit. In a sense, those who do play pump and dump stocks, are aiding and abetting financial crime against our hard working American families.
I do not play pump and dump stocks. I will not filthy myself by stealing from American families.
I know that we do not agree, but why is this company hard to believe. Here is a piece of from their May 26th PR
National Storm Management is an expanding national construction company specialized in storm restoration management that works closely with affiliates in seven states. The affiliates are: ABC Exteriors (Illinois), ABC Exteriors (Indiana), Pinnacle Roofing (Orlando, Vero Beach & West Palm Beach, Florida), MSM Builders and Remodelers (Missouri), WRS, Inc (Minnesota), First Class Builders (Maryland), Pinnacle Roofing (Mississippi), First Class Roofing and Siding (Ohio) and Pinnacle Roofing (Louisiana). The company and its affiliates are recognized by all major insurance companies such as State Farm, Allstate, Farmers and many others for storm related claims. The Company is also a member of the National Roofing Contractors Association (NRCA) and the Better Business Bureau.
They have great companies working with them. Where is there a problem? I see that they did not do good on their revenues but he said they expect solid growth by 3rd quarter.
posted
"I see that they did not do good on their revenues...."
Well?
Does not this tell just about the whole story?
Did you come across some information this company has, hmm, I think seventeen lawsuits, somewhere around there, with a bunch of them trying to collect payment on contracts gone bad?
I remember this. My numbers might not be right but I remember writing, months back, something similar to, "Why is this company having so much trouble collecting on contracts?"
Check me on this, working from memory, has not this company defaulted on some loans? Otherwords, this company cannot pay its bills?
This company is in miserable financial condition. I will qualify this is based on my research dating back, I think two months, maybe going on three months now. I provided that information in a different thread, which is a hint.
This hint is, "How many threads have been started on this stock?"
Three? Four? Classic pump and dump behavior; flood the readers, pound it into their heads, big billboards everywhere. Stupid. This only annoys readers.
Maybe the financial condition of this company has improved since I last looked. Nonetheless, I know this company is in such dire straits, it will take this company a year or more to recover from its financial pickle.
This company does not have the financial resources to take on new contracts. Does not matter how big of a market is created by hurricane damage, this company cannot cash in because this company does not have the capital to purchase capital goods to effect contractual repairs. Only option is disfavorable lending, and it is doubtful this company can attain any significant lending.
Once again, this company is not in a financial position to take on new contracts. There cannot be good revenues for this company until it makes good improvements in its bottom line.
What does this leave? Deceitful pump and dump. This is all which can drive prices upward.
This is a pump and dump stock. None can argue this stock, and several others, is not being pumped at boards everywhere. You cannot argue this is not a pump and dump; documentation is there. This is a pump and dump.
Problem here is there is no fundamental support. The bad financial condition of this company does not support current share price, not even close. Being optimistic, real share value is maybe .25 per. I have placed a cap on this one at .40 per share, couple of months back. This cap still holds, strong and true. This stock is "trying" to move down to and below this cap which is realistically set.
Pump and dump scamsters will scream, "This cap is not true, Purl Gurl is wrong!" All they are doing is lying to readers. This stock keeps moving back down below .40 per share. This is on the record and visible in charts. None can argue this is not true. Nonetheless, scamsters will shout lies, "This is not true!"
All that is happening is pump and dump scamsters are fooling naive readers into buying which drives prices upward for maybe a day, maybe two days, then this stock crashes back down. Where this stock settles is the price set by bag holders.
Bag holders are people who cling to a false hope they will make quick and good profits. They refuse to sell, they buy more, they lose money. I will not venture into a long discussion of bag holders but rather comment behavior of bag holders is extremely predictable and their typical behavior is not good, not good at all; they are major trouble makers, very hateful.
Fundamentals demand this stock return to a share price level below my set cap. In time, this stock will drop to around .30 to .35 per share, hold for a bit, then slide down below .30 per. This is, of course, if not much changes about this company, such as good news, better revenues.
Readers should know, you better know, there is nothing to stop share prices from being pumped up again; lots of new suckers entering the stock markets each day. When pumped up to higher prices, this does not defeat the capped price. This is a temporary glitch which will only last a short time. This cannot be argued. Readers only need to look at what happened last week, which is precisely what I wrote would happen in a different thread, whereabouts unknown and I do not care; I know what I wrote a month or two back.
This stock can be flipped and odds are very good you will lose money. Go on and flip but do not dare return and complain about loss of money.
Only a handful of pump and dump scamsters will make profits. Everyone else will hand their money over to those scamsters.
To close, this company is in bad financial shape, seasoned traders are not interested, there is no support for current prices, more speculation bubbles will appear, a burst followed by a very fast crash costing a majority their money.
Go on and flip. Certainly you have the experience to get in and out without loss of money, yes?
Incidently, I found this stock, profiled this stock, long before any pumpers found it. Blue and I discussed this stock, very long back. We discussed some potential and agreed there is a need to improve financial condition. There are some positive points, but not enough to attract real money.
Toss me another "hurricane" stock in the same financial condition, I will write exactly the same words as now, exactly.
posted
that post looked pretty clean and had almost no innuendo's that others are dummies...
"I see that they did not do good on their revenues...."
Well?
Does not this tell just about the whole story?
Did you come across some information this company has, hmm, I think seventeen lawsuits, somewhere around there, with a bunch of them trying to collect payment on contracts gone bad?
this critique could have been written LESS personally to avoid hurt feelings...
yes US boys and even a few girls do have feelings... and when someone we respect is a meanie it hurts worse...
may i suggest? I found these things i want you to be aware of... i can help you see where to find them, look at this link here:
that would make the reader feel better about self? we all want, no desparately need, to feel good about ourselves at the end of the day especially if we are stuck knee-deep in red stock... dogs get kicked etc... you know the drill...
-------------------- Don't envy the happiness of those who live in a fool's paradise. Posts: 36378 | From: USA | Registered: Sep 2003
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posted
"...almost no innuendo's that others are dummies...."
Others are dummies. I should not have to constantly write the same articles, over and over and over to warn readers about scamsters.
Ok, I will change my tact, but keep in mind I am well aware there are a lot of stupid people out there; I have been a teacher for twenty years.
Look, I started trading stocks back in 1980 year. Do some thinking. How did I learn to trade stocks?
Internet did not exist back then, least nothing like today. I did not have access to this vast wealth of information available today. This massive worldwide database did not exist back then, nada, zippo, not even a dream.
Darn it, readers only need to click a button, run a goggle (now a proper verb and noun) to find all they need to learn about stocks, more than they need, more than they can digest in a lifetime of reading.
Why are readers not doing this?
Back when I did not have wrinkles, did not have gray hair, did not have splayed hips from giving birth, well, pretty close, maybe that year. So, I was young, stupid and our little family was living in sad poverty. Nonetheless, I begged for magazines, neighbors gave me their yesterday's papers, I went to the library, all this while working at night while my husband worked during the day. I know, I know, she rants forever.
I taught myself how to trade stocks during a time when the internet did not exist, while our family led a very hard life of sacrifice and poverty.
There is no excuse for readers to not teach themselves how to trade stocks. Simple click of a mouse button, there is all the learning you could ever need.
Nope, they either come here to beg for stocks picks, to be told when to buy and sell or they come here to defraud readers of their money.
I enjoy, sincerely enjoy helping readers to learn, those readers who display a true desire to learn, those readers who display effort at learning.
How often do you witness sincere readers?
Almost never.
Bottom line is this. When a person displays stupidity, when a person behaves stupidly, that is person is stupid. That is not an insult. That is purely a statement of fact. A stupid person is stupid.
What, am I to go politically correct and state, "Kind sir, I detect you face challenges in education, which is not your fault, of course."
Nope. The person is stupid.
I have a big fat butt. I often write I have a big fat butt. Our girl tells me I have a big fat butt. My friends tell me I have a big fat butt. I am not insulted. I have a big fat butt and that is a fact.
I am not entitled to be insulted. My butt is big and very fat. You boys have seen my butt. I have a big fat butt. Why would I be insulted by truth?
I accept people as they are. I expect people to accept as I am. So what if I treat people in a firm but fair manner? This is not a Miss Manners contest. This is business, a very cut throat business. I don't do diapers, I do not spoon feed, I do not coddle and coo.
I expect people to pick themselves up by their own bootstraps, even if I have to kick them.
A quick comparison. I read people writing all are afraid of me. That is stupid. Why would anyone be afraid of person who they know will speak truthfully and will work at not only helping them, but also protecting them? Ever watch a mother hen peck her chicks? No objection to her pecking her chicks on the head to teach them a lesson lest the fox eat them.
I submit a counter debate. People complain about my harshness although they seek me out for help, yet those people do not complain about my being harassed on a daily basis.
You noticed within an hour of my return tonight the harassment started up again, without reason.
Why is that? Why do you readers complain about me and not complain about crooks and haters?
posted
"that would make the reader feel better about self?"
Oh sure, let's push Johnny on up into high school although he is an illiterate who cannot count to ten on his fingers nor find his own butt using both of his hands. Oh no, we do not dare hurt his feelings or traumatize the poor child. Let's push him right on through school so he can become a filthy homeless person picking up cigarette butts to smoke and washing car windows for money to buy wine.
Reminds me of a boy who came to visit on our farm, during my childhood.
They are rich folks from the city, have a car, fancy clothes, shiny shoes, good education, even.
We have ragged overalls, barefoot and smell to high Heaven cause we do not have indoor plumbing. Hardly ever attend school because we have to work the fields, work the crops, to stay alive.
Out by the hen house we are digging holes, I do not know why, we are kids digging holes. Ah Ha! We are digging for worms to use as bait to catch fish so we will not be so darn hungry.
James, the city slicker boy, does not like worms but he digs a hole. Up he jumps, runs down and catches a week old chick, shoves the poor thing in his hole, then buries it alive.
One of us runs to Grandma and Grandpa. Keeping this short, the chick is saved and Grandpa is laying into the kid, really yelling at him. James' mother comes out, says to Grandpa,
"Now Cecil, don't make the boy cry. You will hurt his feelings."
Had Grandpa not been a gentleman, he would have knocked the woman down where she stood. I have never seen Grandpa so exasperated and so wanting to take a switch to both a mother and her child. But Grandpa is a prideful gentleman; he would never lay a hand on a woman nor butt switch anothers child, without permission, of course.
I actually appreciate your tough love. I grew up with a tough dad, so I am used to someone not sugarcoating anything.
In all honesty, I'm still learning about stocks every day, so there will be mistakes on my end. As for most people on here, I bought the stock expecting Hurricane Chris to pop it up. Speculation brought it up to .60. I was going to sell it at .55 at least, but it dropped way too fast, and I still have it.
I don't expect this stock to go up over 3 bucks at all, and I don't even expect it to break a buck anymore. I asked for it to be sold at .60. I expect the stock to go up on speculation every time and drop soon after. Even if it goes up over .60, that's still a decent profit for me. I did gain a little profit at the end of business day Friday.
Posts: 14 | From: Atlanta, GA | Registered: Aug 2006
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quote:Originally posted by Zack Donino: Munchkin Man portrays no patients in his trading and as it did last week will continue to haunt you and your portfolio.
_____
Greetings Zack Domino:
The Munchkin Man would like to thank you for your frank and honest feedback.
The Munchkin Man has to concede that you are correct.
Impatience has long been the Munchkin Man's Achilles Heel when it comes to his trading practices.
The Munchkin Man has actually lost more money selling too quickly than selling too late, which is the exact opposite of what a lot of people tell you what happens.
The Munchkin Man must work harder to work on and strengthen his patience and resolve.
Thanks again.
Good luck to you.
Best Wishes,
Munchkin Man
Posts: 558 | From: Munchkin Man | Registered: Jun 2006
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posted
hey munchkin man you´re a cool dude i like your style ,your posts are really entertaining and worth reading keep it up!
Posts: 2473 | Registered: May 2006
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quote:Originally posted by Purl Gurl: This stock is trending downward and has been for a month.
Purl Gurl
_____
Greetings To All:
The Munchkin Man is now going to give you a demonstration.
The Munchkin Man is going to submit irrefutable and mathematical proof that the assertion quoted above is wrong. Absolutely wrong.
The Munchkin Man is going to prove that this stock has been trending upward for a month instead of downward.
The Munchkin Man will do even better than that.
The Munchkin Man is going to submit irrefutable and mathematical proof that this stock has been trending upward FOR THE PAST THREE MONTHS!!!
The Munchkin Man shall now proceed:
During the month of May of 2006, the mean closing price of NLST was $0.27 a share.
During the month of June of 2006, the mean closing price of NLST was $0.41 a share.
What is the difference between the mean closing price of NLST between June of 2006 and May of 2006?
$0.41 (June) - $0.27 (May) = $0.14
How do you compute the percent gain between these two mean monthly closing prices? Like this:
$0.14 / $0.27 = +51.85%
Now then. Take a look at the month of July of 2006.
During the month of July of 2006, the mean closing price of NLST was $0.44 a share.
To summarize:
The mean closing price of NLST in May of 2006 was $0.27 a share.
The mean closing price of NLST in June of 2006 was $0.41 a share.
The mean closing price of NLST in July of 2006 was $0.44 a share.
The difference between the mean closing price of $0.27 a share in May of 2006 and the mean closing price of $0.44 a share in July of 2006 is:
$0.44 - $0.27 = $0.17
Percent Gain:
$0.17 / $0.44 = + 62.96%
Conclusion: The mean closing price of NLST between the month of May of 2006 and the month of July of 2006 has TRENDED UPWARD by a percent gain of + 62.96%!!!
Here are some more interesting facts:
During the month of June of 2006, NLST hit a closing price of $0.40 or above 15 out of 21 trading days or 71.43% of the time.
During the month of July of 2006, NLST hit a closing price of $0.40 or above 20 out of 20 trading days or 100% of the time.
During the month of June of 2006, how many times did NLST close at less than $0.40 a share?
Answer: 4 times. The dates were June 01 ($0.38), June 06 ($0.39), June 08 ($0.38), and June 20 ($0.39).
During the month of July of 2006, how many times did NLST close at less than $0.40 a share?
Answer: NONE
Here is one last fact, albeit an inconclusive one.
During the first 4 trading days of August of 2006, the mean closing price of NLST, when rounded to the nearest cent, is $0.50 a share.
Now then. Sit back and reflect upon all of the above for a few minutes.
Has the Munchkin Man provided sufficient proof that NLST has trended UPWARD for the past 3 months instead of DOWNWARD for the past 3 months?
As stated by the original poster:
"This stock is trending downward and has been for a month."
Who is right?
You be the judge.
Good luck to all.
Best Wishes,
Munchkin Man
Posts: 558 | From: Munchkin Man | Registered: Jun 2006
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As a result of the Munchkin Man's mathematical analysis of the upward share price trend of this stock, the Munchkin Man has reconsidered his position on this stock and will be buying back into this stock tomorrow, on the date of Monday, August 07, 2006.
Indeed, the Munchkin Man blinked too soon when he sold his shares the other day at $0.485 a share.
The Munchkin Man did so during a weak moment, when he became, with which he now admits with great shame, a "weak hand."
What the Munchkin Man had momentarily forgotten was that this stock had already formed a firm base at or around the $0.40 per share mark.
Consider the following:
Hurricane season began on the date of June 01, 2006.
Ever since this date, the lowest share price that NLST has seen has been $0.38 a share, on the dates of June 01, 2006, and June 08, 2006.
How many times did NLST close below $0.40 during the month of July of 2006?
Not once!
The peak of the hurricane season typically occurs during the months of August and September.
Therefore:
The Munchkin Man considers it a "good bet" to buy back into NLST this coming week.
The Munchkin Man is hoping to do so tomorrow, on the date of Monday, August 07, 2006 at a price of $0.50 a share or less.
During last year's hurricane season of 2005, NLST hit a 52-week high of $2.52 a share during the early part of September.
The closing price of NLST was able to maintain itself at over $1.00 a share all throughout the month of September of 2005.
It was not until the date of October 06, 2005, that the closing price of NLST dipped below $1.00 a share, at a price of $0.90 a share, after the peak of the hurricane season.
The hurricane season officially ends on the date of November 30, 2006.
Therefore, if you decide to buy NLST, or any other hurricane stock, the Munchkin Man would advise you to consider executing the final selling of all of your shares by the end of September of 2006.
Finally, and as always, the Munchkin Man advises you to perform your own due diligence, if and before you buy this or any other stock.
Good luck to all.
Best Wishes,
Munchkin Man
Posts: 558 | From: Munchkin Man | Registered: Jun 2006
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posted
"I'm still learning about stocks every day, so there will be mistakes on my end."
You are an honest person and will do well.
Like you, I am still learning after twenty years. Yes, like you, I still make mistakes, sometimes very stupid mistakes. When I do make those stupid mistakes, I am stupid.
Here is a classic example of how we make stupid mistakes without truly being stupid, and a classic example why we must keep learning.
Cannot remember the exact year, sometime in the early ninties, maybe ninety-three or ninety-four, a well known company, Raytheon, is opening a new production plant down in Temecula, close to our hometown. Raytheon is doing pretty good and keep in mind this is back when newspapers where about the only source of financial information.
Through our local paper, I read articles about Raytheon, come to realize this company is in a high growth stage; share prices moving up. The company announces a forward split, three shares for every one share you hold. I know the share price will move back up to a level before the split. I buy a lot with our family money, the stock splits, prices move back up, I earn about three-hundred percent profit for our family in less than a month.
Since then, over the years, I periodically play Raytheon based on a belief this is a solid and very reputable company.
Very recently, I am reminded I am stupid and reminded I still have much learning to effect. The SEC busts Raytheon for fraud and Raytheon is fined millions of dollars.
I never saw that coming. I am stupid for not taking notice of tell-tale signs there was "something not right" about Raytheon. Just dumb luck our family was not vested.
I was wearing "stock blinders." I came to trust Raytheon so much, I quit looking for any negative or suspicious events. This is what some refer to as being "in love" with a stock. This is how many lose money and this is why people are stupid, just as I was stupid to believe Raytheon to be pure and chaste, beyond corruption.
Yes, learning is never ending process and our stupidity will never end; we are doomed to be stupid for the rest of our lives.
It is when we do not realize we are stupid we become truly very stupid.
"As for most people on here, I bought the stock expecting Hurricane Chris to pop it up. Speculation brought it up to .60. I was going to sell it at .55 at least, but it dropped way too fast, and I still have it."
Happens all the time, to everyone, self included.
My strategy is to move in and out of a speculation stock, many times, as fast as possible. I am not playing hurricane stocks this year for reasons discussed just prior.
However, other stocks exhibit the same behavior which I do play.
Using your NLST price behavior as an example, my strategy would be to buy at .40 then sell at .45 per. Buy again at .46 then sell at .50 per. Buy again at .51 then sell at .53 per. Then quit.
You can see for each buy and sell, I reduce the profit margin. This accelerates how fast you move in and out of a stock. As speculation stocks rise in prices, risks double, quadruple. Knowing this, seasoned traders work at narrowing the profit margin target to reduce risks through exposure of time held; smaller profits as prices rise, but consistent small profits over time.
In this case example, I might lose money on my third trade, but enjoy healthy profits on my first two trades. The loss for my third trade is significantly smaller than my profits for my first two trades; a decent net profit after taking a final trade loss.
posted
"hey munchkin man you´re a cool dude i like your style ,your posts are really entertaining and worth reading keep it up!"
You are a cool dude! Didn't mean to insult your trading either, I just feel that NLST will be the trade of a lifetime for me and many others who believe in the stock. I was happy to hear you say you will be buying back in, lets make some money together brother…Again sorry to be such a jerk!! Glad to have a trader of your intelligence and hard work on the board.
-------------------- “Money itself isn't lost or made, it's simply transferred from one perception to another." Posts: 540 | Registered: Mar 2006
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posted
"The Munchkin Man has actually lost more money selling too quickly than selling too late, which is the exact opposite of what a lot of people tell you what happens."
goofy...
lol, that's *not* the "exact opposite"
it's even a cliche: kill losers, ride winners...
overall? meet your target and execute your exit strategy...
can *not* lose funds that way...
granted: you may exit, and it continues upward, many hundred percent...
at that point? you *still* have profit locked in, with the ability to re-enter, with a NEW exit strategy...
The old "banker's axiom" applies: plan your work, work your plan.
posted
lolll.. the stock has increased more than 100% after it has received "certificate of P&D" from "experts".. i dont own NLST right now.. but will get in once any hurricane hits!!! after that NLST should fly IMO.. GLTA who are in this!
-------------------- All my posts are based on my own opinions and not to be taken as buy/sell recommendations. Posts: 961 | Registered: May 2006
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"Cannot remember the exact year, sometime in the early ninties, maybe ninety-three or ninety-four, a well known company, Raytheon, is opening a new production plant down in Temecula, close to our hometown. Raytheon is doing pretty good and keep in mind this is back when newspapers where about the only source of financial information."
I keep forgetting to add this trivia which might be of entertainment value to old timers.
Back then and a decade before, I would cut out the financial pages of our newspaper, then bind into one of those large "art portfolio" carriers, about newspaper page size.
Eventually I had dozens of these I kept under our bed, each with hundreds of pages. Each page, I would use a red line pencil to check mark those stocks of interest. Each page then kept a daily record of share prices and other information.
Sometimes I would clip out newspaper articles about companies, then attach those to the same date page in my financial records.
Going back through, pulling data for selected stocks, I would use old fashion graph paper like you used in high school geometry, then draw my own rudimentary "stock charts" so I could "visually" see performance.
That is actually how I kept track of stocks and their performance! Nothing but pages from newspapers, articles and hand drawn charts!
I made a point to work at night, two reasons really. We had a baby girl to tend and the other reason, rather humorous. During the day, I would go down to our brokers office, sit in their waiting area and watch the big board ticker symbols roll by; last minute confirmation of what I wanted to do.
Told before, periodically I would jump up, go over to our assigned broker, then tell him what to do. Early on he would argue but I put an end to that, very quickly. Trading back then required lots of broker forms, signatures, phone calls, lots of requirements. To effect a trade could take a half day, even overnight.
Commission fees were outrageous. I lost more money to commission fees than I did to stocks which went sour.
Back then, financial crime was unheard of. I am sure some took place but scams simply did not exist. You could trade in safety and if you took a loss, this was entirely your fault!
During the era, a short term trade, a "flipper" would take place over a month or two months.
You younger readers would love those days. Knowledge, talent and experience were an absolute must. Those were the glory days of _real_ stock traders.
posted
Yes, I took our baby girl with me to our broker's office, from diapers until she began school.
Dirty smelly diapers, with a drooling baby in those diapers, sitting on our broker's desk would motivate him to hurry along with all his papers and phone calls.
All thought me odd, and I am very odd, thought me odd to come walking into this fancy broker's office, about two dozen employees, with my dragging along a kid, a diaper bag, lunch and all that. Some really raised an eyebrow while I sat there, breast feeding.
Hey, gotta make money. Did not care if they got a look at one of my swollen, tender heavy hanging breasts. Tell ya, though, when our girl started teething and still breast feeding, I became very cranky, lending well to our broker fast tracking my orders.
This is a chart which exemplifies the .40 cap for NLST stock. Easy for readers to see where share prices "want" to be, which is below the historical .40 cap price.
Readers can also see the pump and dump (P & D) activities very clearly, right to the month and date time frame.
All which keeps share prices in the .40 to .45 per share range is pump and dump efforts.
This is NOT a bandwagon play.
As more naive buyers, more gullible buyers lose money on this stock, the buyer market will dwindle then vanish. Buyers who lose money will not buy again; they are gone for good. Eventually, when the buyer market all but vanishes, this stock will crash severely back down to true value.
Only event which could change this is release of company information which is very positive in nature, such as good financial news, better revenues, extinquishment of debt and similar.
Should readers visit a lot of discussion boards, look on those discussion boards during the time frame of those pump and dump efforts, readers will discover elevated pump and dump efforts at discussion boards correspond to the time frames displayed on this chart.
posted
Incidently, the last pump and dump you see in that chart, the severe upward spike then crash, this is pump and dump efforts based upon "Chris" the storm.
posted
Funny... I'd interpret this chart as follows: the stock is trying to break resistance at .50, slowly accumulating below the line. The lows keep getting higher..
But then again, I probably don't know anything..
-------------------- the market is not your mother Posts: 1282 | From: Montreal | Registered: Mar 2006
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posted
Below is what a couple of "pump-and-dump" charts would look like if I knew what I was talking about...
Nothing going on for a long while, then a crazy build-up, until the pumpers sell all their shares and the bubble bursts. Once that's done, the bag-holders slowly cut their losses and the PPS drops, with the occasional spurts of delusion: "ooh, it's gonna run again!"
-------------------- the market is not your mother Posts: 1282 | From: Montreal | Registered: Mar 2006
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