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Author Topic: VCAT now at 1.25 cash buyout offer at 2.58 by a NYSE company
Birkoff
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What do you guys think of this one...


PR after the bell is attached below.

Volume is VERY low, but both companies seem legitimate.

3 year chart
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=VCAT&p=D&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p97502036408

RSI at 38

http://today.reuters.com/stocks/overview.aspx?ticker=VCAT.OB

Dont know about this:

"VCAT has agreed to a period of exclusive negotiations with IGT pursuant to an exclusivity agreement. The proposal may be modified, supplemented or withdrawn by IGT at any time."

Thoughts?

------

Thursday, June 15 2006 4:15 PM, EST

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VCAT Announces Receipt of an Acquisition Proposal from International Game Technology at $2.58 Per Share
Business Editors

SAN DIEGO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--June 15, 2006-- Venture Catalyst Incorporated ("VCAT") (OTCBB:VCAT), announced today that it has received a proposal from International Game Technology ("IGT") (NYSE:IGT) to acquire all of VCAT's outstanding shares for $2.58 per share in cash.

The proposed transaction would be in the form of a merger with a wholly-owned subsidiary of IGT. Immediately following the merger, it is anticipated that VCAT's gaming consulting services division (exclusive of its Mariposa software division) would be sold to an entity controlled by certain members of VCAT's current management, including L. Donald Speer, II, VCAT's Chairman of the Board and largest shareholder, for approximately $4.5 million in promissory notes. It is anticipated that the new consulting entity comprised of L. Donald Speer, II and the executive management team in VCAT's current consulting services division, would continue to provide services to the Barona Group of Capitan Grande Band of Mission Indians and to other clients. The purchasers of the gaming consulting services division would also enter into a three year consulting agreement with IGT.

The Board of Directors has appointed a special committee (the "Committee"), comprised of John Farrington and Cornelius E. ("Neil") Smyth, both of whom are disinterested directors, to review the proposed transaction. The Committee has engaged Duff & Phelps, LLC as its financial advisor and the law firm of Paul, Hastings, Janofsky & Walker LLP as counsel to the Committee to assist it in its evaluation of the proposal.

VCAT has agreed to a period of exclusive negotiations with IGT pursuant to an exclusivity agreement. The proposal may be modified, supplemented or withdrawn by IGT at any time.

Any proposed acquisition will be subject to, among other things, (a) obtaining any necessary third-party consents or waivers, including the Barona Group of Capitan Grande Band of Mission Indians; (b) applicable regulatory approvals, including the Barona Gaming Commission; (c) the negotiation, execution, and delivery of definitive agreements; (d) approval of the proposed transaction by the Committee, the full Board of Directors and VCAT's shareholders; and (e) receipt of a fairness opinion by the Committee.

The Board of Directors cautions the Company's shareholders and others considering trading in its securities that there can be no assurances that any definitive offer by IGT will be made nor that any definitive agreement will be approved or consummated between the parties.

Any proposed acquisition may only be completed in accordance with applicable state and federal laws. This press release shall not constitute an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities nor shall it constitute a solicitation of a proxy to vote with respect to any transaction.

If the parties sign a definitive merger agreement, VCAT will be filing a proxy statement and other relevant documents concerning the transaction with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC"). SHAREHOLDERS OF VCAT ARE URGED TO READ THE PROXY STATEMENT AND ANY OTHER RELEVANT DOCUMENTS FILED WITH THE SEC, INCLUDING THE FORM 8-K FILED IN CONNECTION WITH THIS PRESS RELEASE, WHEN THEY BECOME AVAILABLE BECAUSE THEY WILL CONTAIN IMPORTANT INFORMATION. Investors and security holders can obtain free copies of the proxy statement and other documents when they become available by contacting Investor Relations, VCAT, 591 Camino De La Reina, Suite 418, San Diego, California 92108. In addition, documents filed with the SEC by VCAT will be available free of charge at the SEC's web site at http://www.sec.gov.

If the parties sign a definitive merger agreement, VCAT and its executive officers and directors may be deemed to be participants in the solicitation of proxies from the shareholders of VCAT in favor of the acquisition. Information about the executive officers and directors of VCAT and their ownership of VCAT common stock will be set forth in VCAT's proxy statement which will be filed with the SEC. Certain directors and executive officers of VCAT may have direct or indirect interests in the merger due to securities holdings, pre-existing or future indemnification arrangements, vesting of options, or rights to severance or retention payments in connection with the merger. Additional information regarding VCAT's and the interests of its executive officers and directors in the acquisition, will be contained in the proxy statement regarding the acquisition that will be filed by VCAT with the SEC.

This press release contains forward-looking statements that are made pursuant to the Safe Harbor Provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, particularly those statements regarding the effects of the proposed transaction and those preceded by, followed by or that otherwise include the words "believes," "expects," "anticipates," "intends," "estimates," or similar expressions. Forward-looking statements relating to expectations about future results or events are based upon information available to VCAT as of today's date, and VCAT does not assume any obligations to update any of these statements. The forward-looking statements are not guarantees of the future performance of VCAT and actual results may vary materially from the results and expectations discussed. For instance, although IGT has offered to acquire all of the outstanding stock of VCAT, no definitive agreements have been executed and any such acquisition would be subject to various conditions.

About VCAT

VCAT is a provider of consulting services and technology in the gaming and hospitality market. VCAT is headquartered in San Diego, California and has offices in Las Vegas, Nevada.

About IGT

International Game Technology (http://www.IGT.com) is a global company specializing in the design, development, manufacturing, distribution and sales of computerized gaming machines and systems products.

KEYWORD: NORTH AMERICA CALIFORNIA UNITED STATES INDUSTRY KEYWORD: ENTERTAINMENT CASINO/GAMING TRAVEL LODGING PROFESSIONAL SERVICES CONSULTING MERGER/ACQUISITION SOURCE: Venture Catalyst Incorporated

CONTACT INFORMATION: Venture Catalyst Incorporated Kevin McIntosh, 619-330-4000

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ruskin_muskin
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whats the use birkoff.. the share price would have already gapped up to that level by begining of the day!!!!! had the news been announced before bell.. it would have been good. i hate mergers.. they are always announced after bells [Smile]

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Purl Gurl
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Birkoff, researching this will take hours.
Two companies are involved and both need
to be carefully researched.

Some items,

Venture 10Q is here,

http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/318291/000119312506112716/d10qsb.htm

A quick read discloses two primary concerns.

They are reporting over six-million in revenue
but are reporting a net loss. This makes little
sense for consulting service which should have
low overhead or control of overhead. Consulting
services do not sell hard goods, they sell advice
through lunches, meetings, public relations and
such. Costs are easy to control.

When I read a consulting agency providing services
to an Indian tribe, I think Tom DeLay.

Charges for consulting are way out of line.
Based on their monthly fee, no way is this
company providing a degree of services which
warrant such high fees.

Another problem is these Indian contracts are
time limited. Those contracts will expire
in the new future. In time, those contracts
are worth zero dollars.

Why would a company want to buy them out?

Maybe this buy out company sees potential for
making contracts with other tribes? Doubtful.
Other tribes moving to casino operations are
already bound up with similar companies.

Share price is currently over-valued. Yes, good
revenues but a net loss. Those revenues will
cease to exist in the near future. Why do traders
have a perception this company is worth the price?

Maybe traders are hedging a bet on their software.
However, software is not the revenue generator.
Their software is generating roughly two-million
dollars LOSS per quarter. Something is not right.

I will look at the other company now.

So far, something is hinky.

Purl Gurl

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Purl Gurl
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IGT, clearly a monster size company.

Strike that. What I reported here from Motley Fools
is the wrong company.

I have noted IGT has not announced, via news,
their buy out offer. Why?

Purl Gurl

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Purl Gurl
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Here is the connection between the two,

5. IGT now has server-based gaming products in
testing at two sites: the Barona Valley Ranch and
Resort in San Diego....

- Motley Fools

Purl Gurl

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jordanreed
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most everything "motley fool" says..??.. I tend to disregard...

--------------------
jordan

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Purl Gurl
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Carefully read this news paragraph,

"The proposed transaction would be in the form of a merger with a...."

What are your thoughts on this merger? Seems odd. No changes
in VCAT, just a change in parent company ownership. VCAT
insiders are clearly to make a good profit, but not VCAT itself.

Why such a high per share price for a company which is
reporting losses? Contracts are to end, software is a big
loser, no change in management.

Something is not right.

Purl Gurl

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Purl Gurl
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All of this comes down to one thing.

What is trader perception?

This is obviously a news play only. This
will generate a change in share price,
up or down, and will not last long or
should not last long.

This news is not a done deal. Wording
almost imparts a message the deal will
not be completed.

Problem here is a vast majority of traders
out there are ignorant newbies. They will
only read the headlines, see the big share
price offer and react accordingly.

This suggests prices will skyrocket, over
the next few business days. Will this happen?
I do not have a clue.

Contrasting this, experienced traders, like us,
will perform some research and discover, as I
have, something is not right. This will keep
serious trader money out of the market.

Based on past examples of circumstances like
this, you should see a good gap up before
market, a frenzy of buying, then a few hours
later, a dip in prices, then _maybe_ a gradual
climb in prices into late day.

Risk here is Market Makers will take prices
up to the maximum customer bid price then add
a bit for their own profit. Be sure Market
Makers will load up by front running. They
will buy all low ask offers, run prices up
and then some, followed by selling into
those willing to buy higher prices. When
Market Makers run out of shares, prices
will begin to fall, Market Makers will push
prices even lower, load up, then run prices
upward again.

I am fairly confident a best play is do what
the Market Makers are doing. Disadvantage
is the before market gap up. A best play
would also be to get in and get out as
quickly as possible to reduce risks.

Your decision, Bubba. This one is hinky
and unpredictable. I will watch but rather
doubtful I will play.

My final analysis, which you will enjoy
and find very useful, I do not have a
single f-in clue what will happen.

I will send you a bill for my consulting
services and advice.

Purl Gurl

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Duncan Idaho
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this pr is better than almost all others in a month

very strong buy

well see what ther ask is in the morn

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Birkoff
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Purl,

Thank you so much for great analysis. You did not have to stay up so late!!

I was thinking about quick get in/out, but I'm still kinda hesitant as I've seen the magic 2.17 in NDOL and it never got close to it. Got out with a profit, but it was getting shady very quickly.

Anyway, right now B/A 1.35 / 1.38

I may stay away ...dont know yet..

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Birkoff
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Gapping up even more

1.4 x 1.45

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Birkoff
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Now Bid above the ask?!

1.5 x 1.45

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Birkoff
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1.6 x 1.8

Not much potential for profit...

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Birkoff
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1.85 x 1.9
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Birkoff
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Bah...too high to get in for me...
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Purl Gurl
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Much too high, Birkoff.

Traders are going to be burnt on this one.

Appears to me naive newbies are the primary
driving force behind this 1.00 jump in prices.

There is not enough fundamental foundation
to support these prices over time.

Purl Gurl

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DIGDOUGH
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Man we missed a good pump on this one.
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ruskin_muskin
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quote:
Originally posted by Birkoff:
Bah...too high to get in for me...

toldya... [Smile] .. but dont worry.. day traders will sell it and buy it forever and you can make good profits if you are good at flipping. i have radared it for entry. thx!

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Purl Gurl
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Too volatile, too low of volume and the
profit margin is too narrow.

Professional day trading is done and over.

This morning's opening volume indicates only
the naive are buying into news, with day traders
and Market Makers working them for profit.

Volume is much too low, not enough excited
newbies to support low risk day trading.
Share prices are already dropping and will
eventually flatten.

I tend to doubt there will be any significant
run up in prices for the rest of today. Maybe
some minor flurries but nothing substantial.

Be sure shorters are watching and might be
entering the game, now. Again, volume is
too low to be attractive to pro day traders.

I am interested to watch this one play out today
to learn what will really happen.

Purl Gurl

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jordanreed
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too scary for me..

i see a slow decline in price..

these ones that spike like this usually fall back with lots of noobie bagholders...

not for the faint of heart...

jmho


i'm probly wrong...lol

--------------------
jordan

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DIGDOUGH
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The only thing that will save the holders is if there is actually a merger and the price is received by the holders, simple no brainer. Would have been good for the run up though, if one new when to exit. Just to play it safe. [Wink]
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Purl Gurl
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I agree, Jordan.

Only way to really play a news run like this
is to catch breaking news during market hours.

The morning gap up before we can buy ruins
any true potential for profit.

Contrasting this is very high volume will
moderate prices allowing lower risk day
trading. High volume allows for a slower
more gradual upward run which we can buy
into with lower risks, but risks are there.

Yep, extreme spikes like this on low volume
are very risky. As you suggest, usually an
extreme downward spike will take place
after the upward run is finished. Based on
what I have watched over the years, the
downward spike will be a fifty percent
drop from the high of the day.

For now, there are some hints prices will
remain stable somewhere around current
levels, maybe a little drop over the day.

I do not think this one is good for day
trading now that the morning rush hour
is over.

Purl Gurl

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bingo2005
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purlgurl : )

I see you do not like this one?

Did you get any BKMP
Moving again - short term plays


How about ADNL ?
Looking to get more

Your picks?
List by short
Long Term

Thanks
BINGO

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ruskin_muskin
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lol * bingo.. no long..no short.. [Big Grin]

show me financials of BKMP, and ADNL... oh they dont have any. you are a P&D spin doctor bingo [Razz]

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Purl Gurl
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Bingo, good to read you again.

I have provided a lot of picks buried in
threads around here. Nothing exciting,
nothing worth rushing into. Markets suck.

"I see you do not like this one?"

I have some problems with this one, yes.

However, I only spent an hour or so reading
up on these companies so my opinion is not
well formed. Not really interested, to be
blunt about this.

Nonetheless, something is hinky about this deal.

Day trading this one, not a chance. The party
is over, long over. Market Makers made good
money, maybe a few traders made some money.

Profit potential for short term is not there.
Prices stuck, low volume, nothing happening.

A Tom DeLay deal.

Purl Gurl

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Birkoff
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Well, I hope no one lost money on this one.

I didnt play it, but I did manage to lose money somewhere else [Frown]

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ruskin_muskin
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not yet birk.. lol.. am waiting for daytraders to dump early monday morning, and bring the price down, maybe some weaks will let off their shares and then i will try to get in, ride it for the day and leave it at the end of the day. a decent 5% is all i am asking for [Smile] ..

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All my posts are based on my own opinions and not to be taken as buy/sell recommendations.

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