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Author Topic: GUSH - Pro / Con
Purl Gurl
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Here is a brief snip from after the bell
news, yesterday. This news is helping to
push prices upward today. You can find
the full article in usual places.

Continued news like this will help a lot.
Almost all news coming out of GUSH is
positive and appears to be relatively
truthful. I am sure they place a positive
spin on news but I cannot find anything
which does not make good sense nor appears
to be completely false.

Purl Gurl


Short snip:

GUERNSEY, Channel Islands, Feb 25, 2004 (BUSINESS WIRE) -- CanArgo Energy Corporation (GUSH)(OSE:CNR) is pleased to announce that gross total proved oil reserves at its Ninotsminda Field in Georgia at January 1, 2004 have increased by 63% to 6.76 million barrels.


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Purl Gurl
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Glassman, here in California there is a
very obvious manipulation of prices, year
after year. Nonetheless, no prosecution.

This year,

"Unexpected shutdown of two refineries."

Last year,

"Unexpected shutdown of five refineries."

Year before,

"Unexpected shutdown of several refineries."


Darn refineries, those mechanical devices
always know to shutdown just before Summer
arrives here in California. I think this
is a violation of Asimov's Robot Rules.

Purl Gurl


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glassman
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BLOOMBERG NEWS FLASH

US to allow OIL companies to RETURN to LIBYA
as soon as travel ban lifted ...........
I ain't paranoid--LOL


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Purl Gurl
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This is in keeping with Muammar Gaddafi
falling to his knees, groveling, slobbering
and begging,

"Oh ****e! Please Uncle Sam, don't kick
my butt every which way but loose."

Travel ban was lifted less than an hour back.

You see? Kicking butt over there is proving
to be be very beneficial, with a sad price
of lost lives. Nonetheless, we will never
know how lives are saved in the future.

Purl Gurl


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Purl Gurl
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* laughs *

Bob Frey needs to change words like our
androids do for our home server.

That was "Oh S h i t e" a pun on a
religious sect.

Our androids change the S word into,

"Dog Fart!" which is even worse.


Purl Gurl


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glassman
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yes--i was living at 749 W.Linden St(honorary gatekeeper of UCR--LOL) during one of those fires--very suspicios to me toooo
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Purl Gurl
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So you are the one who closed and locked
the gate to keep me out. Smart move.

Yes, last year's refinery fire was quite
suspicious, especially knowing insurance
coverage paid well. Timing couldn't be
better; right when prices always rise.

Triple end profits. Insurance payoff,
better refinery and increased profits.

Drat, need to go work on our rental and
I am enjoying sitting on my big butt
watching stocks. Have a feeling I am
in trouble for a late show at work.


Purl Gurl


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glassman
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Be well--------
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Purl Gurl
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Hey, I take my thorazine each day. I am well.

MUHAHAHAHAHAAAAA!


Purl Gurl


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madmacd
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News on 2003 results
http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/040229/295115_1.html

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Purl Gurl
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This news should push GUSH over one dollar
per share. Hopefully over one dollar prices
will be maintained with this news.

I am interested to discover if GUSH will
report a net profit on their next 10Q with
this discontinued operations write-off.

Overall, very good news which should move
investor perspective to a very positive one.
It is possible investors will view GUSH
as one of the "big boys" of oil resulting
in prices eventually moving up into the
2.00 to 3.00 per share range, long term.

GUSH is slow moving for now but their name
is beginning to become better known.


Purl Gurl


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Purl Gurl
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GUSH is now building up enough momentum
to push prices well above one dollar per
share to a point it is now more likely
prices will remain over a dollar share.

Should momentum continue to build, it
is possible GUSH will display a decent
price breakout although I do not expect
to see a classic skyrocket effect.

Those who bought at my suggested entry
price, you are up a strong fifty cents
per share for the near term.

We still continue to hold GUSH for long term.


Purl Gurl


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FNG
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I got into this one at .51 and plan to hold a while longer. My question is this. I know that they applied to be listed on the AMEX. Does anyone know how long the process will take before they switch over?
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Purl Gurl
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FNG, a snippet from GUSH news today. My guess
is an AMEX listing will take several months.
Being listed on the AMEX will help to keep
prices strong, perhaps even push up a bit.


Purl Gurl

(snipped for brevity)

"Dr David Robson, Chairman of CanArgo commented: "I am extremely pleased to have
Michael join us as an independent
non-executive Director and as Chairman of the
Audit Committee. Michael's experience and
expertise in accounting and finance will be of
great benefit to the company and particularly
with regard to the Audit Committee. Michael's
appointment means that we now satisfy the
requirements of the American Stock Exchange
(AMEX) for three independent Directors on the
Audit Committee, and satisfy the requirements
of the US Securities and Exchange Commission
(SEC) and the Sarbanes-Oxley Act with regard
to having an independent "Financial Expert" on
the Board. This appointment demonstrates how
seriously CanArgo takes its responsibilities
for good corporate governance, and should
assist in our application to AMEX."


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FNG
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Thanks for the info, and thanks for the original post (that is what caused me to check into the company further).
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FNG
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Why the big drop today? I haven't seen any news.
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Purl Gurl
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We are enjoying a market pullback. Most
stocks are down across the boards.

This is typical behavior for GUSH. A rebound
should appear in a few hours.


Purl Gurl


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Purl Gurl
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FNG, picked up more GUSH today at .87 per
which is about as low as prices will fall.

Be encouraged, don't dismay, GUSH will
recover just fine in the one to two weeks.

Purl Gurl


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FNG
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Purl Gurl,

GUSH continues to drop. Is it because of the 150 million extra shares they want to have issued? Do you still think it is a good idea to acquire more at this price?


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Purl Gurl
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My personal opinion is this sudden drop in
prices is unrelated to the March 23 proxy
vote meeting and is related to this recent
terrorist attack. Primary operations for
GUSH are located in Europe where the effect
of this terrorist attack will be strongest.

I would expect some reaction to these new
shares submitted for vote on March 23 which
is not far off. However, their float will
be increased to three-hundred-million shares
which remains relatively small. My hunch
is GUSH will use a majority of those new
shares for new covertable loans rather
than selling on the open market. They have
a greater need for financing than cash
inflow from common shares.

Market conditions are again bad today.

Current prices are a good entry point
being absolute bottom support. Today's
prices moves GUSH into an undervalued
status and we should see improvement
over the coming weeks.

Should GUSH rally to over .70 per share
today, this would be a positive signal.
I expect GUSH to do this.

Terrorist attack, bad market conditions,
I believe those two are the major factors
affecting prices across all boards.

These are very tough times in the markets
and recovery appears to remain a long ways
into the future.

Purl Gurl


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Purl Gurl
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FNG, I am using two stocks for indexing
investor sentiment.

IVAN for speculation sentiment.
TXCC for value sentiment.

Both are severely deflated in prices.
IVAN is down sixty cents off its norm,
and TXCC is down fifty cents off norm.

GUSH is down about thirty cents from
where it should be. Not bad, relatively.

Late last year and early this year, most
investors began moving from speculation
stocks into value stocks. This trend does
continue and is more noted recently because
of the terrorist attack.

Most, a majority of stocks, are taking
a severe beating. GUSH is no exception.

I am, of course, disappointed but remain
confident value stocks will recover in
the future. GUSH is a value stock.

All investors simply have to wait this
one out, with patience. Markets will
recover but not for a long time.


Purl Gurl


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Purl Gurl
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Another perspective for you, FNG.

Volume is very light today, for all markets.

There are panic sellers who have caught up
with news over the weekend. Light volume
and panic sells, always lead to lower prices.

However, today's light volume indicates
sellers are not dominating markets but
rather there is an absence of buyers.

Eventually, buyer confidence will return
and markets will rally. Low prices will
tempt many buyers back into the markets,
but this terrorist attack has many on
edge, a result of memories of market
crashes right after nine-eleven.

Your strongest strength now, is patience.
Run out of patience, and you will lose money.


Purl Gurl


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Purl Gurl
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I never know when to hush!

FNG, another indicator for you, right
here at home, in a sense.

You will note during market conditions
like we have, bad conditions, volume
on message boards will drop off as well.

A lot less pumping, a lot less bashing
and a lot less discussion in general.
Most are holding their breath, save
for me, of course; I've been through
this many times before and remain very
confident knowing markets will recover.

Last couple of weeks, pretty rough, even
got me down. Looked like major worldwide
economic recession for a bit, but markets
rallied just in the nick of time. In truth,
today's market conditions are not that bad.

Back to my current topic, discussion boards
can be a measure of investor confidence.
This board, like most boards, displays a
loss of investor confidence. I see current
conditions as excellent buy prices, but
only for value stocks. Others are fearful.

Another measure is of poster experience.
Those who are currently dropping in to
pump selected stocks, are either scam
artists or absolutely clueless. This
is not a time to be pumping speculation
stocks, especially those under fifty
cents a share.

It is true there is always a bull market
somewhere, but very few recently.

Make a note of who is pumping stocks
currently and red flag them as those
not to be trusted.

You may think of yourself as a typical
"F'n New Guy" but not anymore! Welcome
to the brutal world of investment.


Purl Gurl


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masters514
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Purl,
I have been reading your post for the last couple of months now. You definitely do you homework. As a "FNG" also, I appreciate all your input and help you have given those of us that are just starting out. Anyway, to get to the point, I am interested in purchasing a few shares of GUSH. I have reviewed their financials (with my very limited knowledge) and they seem to be a heading in the right direction. But my concern is that the stock price may go down a bit more before going back up. In your opinion should I wait a bit longer or just buy at current prices. I was going to get in this morning but I guess I got a little scared when it started falling.
Thanks for the help
masters

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Purl Gurl
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I do not anticipate GUSH to fall further
in prices. Current prices are the same
as sixty to ninety trading days back in
time. Prices of .64 to .66 should be
"rock bottom" prices. We should see very
strong support at those prices.

I feel comfortable buying at today's
prices for GUSH.

Really scary market conditions, yes?

This is a good shaking, a good test
of metal. Many inexperienced investors,
many "weak hand" investors, both are
being knocked out of the market, perhaps
for good. Only seasoned and confident
investors will remain affording a better
overall strength for market recovery.

Do not allow my opinions to sway your
decision. I could be wrong. Be careful.
Stay out of markets if you do not feel
comfortable. Better to retain your cash
than to lose it. Risks are high.


Purl Gurl


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masters514
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Thanks alot for your help.
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Purl Gurl
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Returning to IVAN and TXCC, you will note
IVAN continues to fall and TXCC gained
just a little bit. This is in keeping
with investors moving from speculative
stocks to value stocks, although about
two months too late.

GUSH is gaining a bit on the day which
is a positive signal for current markets.
This confirms, so far, good support for
current prices, even a little higher,
pointing to investor confidence in GUSH.


Purl Gurl



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Purl Gurl
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Late day technical news coming out of GUSH.
Nothing to change prices but will provide
you with a progress report which looks good.

Full article is available through your
usual sources for reading.

March 15, 2004 13:49:00 (ET)

"CanArgo Energy Corporation: Georgian Drilling Programme"


Purl Gurl


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Purl Gurl
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I wrote,

"Should GUSH rally to over .70 per share
today, this would be a positive signal.
I expect GUSH to do this."

Prices moved up to .70 to .72 and settled
fairly much at .70 per share. Down from
Friday but up on the day.

Do be encouraged. This is positive, an
indication investors are viewing GUSH
as a value investment rather than risk.


Purl Gurl


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tasharruf
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Could this be a reaction to the CEO selling a million shares on 3/8??

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Purl Gurl
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I missed that news. Not sure, a million shares
would have an effect but not to such an extent. This drop today is outside percentage
effect of a million share dump. Enough time
has elapsed this event would have faded.

A million share dilution should not cause the
type of drop in prices we saw today. I noted
prices opened way down, at bell. This suggests
orders were stacked up, all very low. Wouldn't
make sense for so many investors to sell so
low, all at once. This timing seems related
to continued news on the terrorist attack.

Today's news release hints GUSH is trying
to provide price support. More news in the
next week or two, will affirm GUSH trying
to bring prices back up, a positive point.

I am confident GUSH will recover, but have
no clue what new prices will be. Gained a
little today, should gain a little as we
move through the week.


Purl


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Purl Gurl
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Ok, I have worked up some charts covering
this sell of one-million shares by Robson
on Monday, March 8 at 1.09 per share, which
was right at peak prices.

That Monday morning there is a sharp dip
in prices but a recovery back up to his
sell price for the remainder of the day.
Trades for that Monday are almost all up
volume, very little down volume.

Tuesday, a sharp drop on open, a slight
rally, mixed up and down volume. Subsequent
mornings show a rally at open, then gradual
decline in prices over the day, much in
keeping with overall markets.

Today, Monday, you know the story.

Technicals indicate his one time sell of
one-million shares displays only a slight
glitch at open Monday, March 8 of last week.

This is his only reported inside selling
for a long time, so he is not actively
selling. Appears he took advantage of
high prices to bring in cash.

Robson has two-hundred-fifty-seven-thousand
shares left, a little over that, which will
probably be replenished with an officer bonus.

I don't see much of anything which suggests
investors reacted in a negative fashion to
his selling of shares, nor anything which
suggests he is unloading expecting bad news
to come. Appears his activity is within
acceptable norms.


Purl Gurl



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Purl Gurl
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A nice twelve cent per share increase in
share price in before the bell trading.
Two trades for a total of 66,000 shares
at .82 per share.

A positive signal but opening prices will
probably be closer to yesterday's closing.


Purl Gurl


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FNG
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Purl Gurl,

Good to see the rebound. I wish I had bought more when it was in the .60's. I have a couple of stocks that are close to being long term capital gains, and chose not to sell them until the year is up. Do you think that is smart or should I have dumped them and not worried about long and short term capital gains?


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Purl Gurl
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I don't do taxes! We have a tax crook who
is willing to sign his signature on larcency.

Glassman is the one to ask about taxes. He
knows a lot about stocks and capital gains.

Decent rebound, yes. I think we will be
stuck at .80 to .82 for at least five to
ten trading days. Should recover back
into the .90 to .95 range but will take
quite a bit of time. GUSH is slow moving.

This one is a certain long term hold.
Eventually I expect prices somewhere
between 2.00 to 3.00 per share but this
is at least a year away.

I'll send Glassman over here for taxes.


Purl Gurl


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