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Author Topic: ECCI. #1 Hurricane Percentage Play
Ace of Spades
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Yeah, I'm at riverview, 33569 45 min from clearwater. It's headed right for me.
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cactus33
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a lot of people from florida huh, good luck and be safe. looks like it will weaken over cuba but once it gets back over water its a wildcard on how much it can strengthen. a lot of questions out there right now, just a waiting game.. I hope it doesnt hit you, i dont need the profits that bad. Im already up and will most likely be able to get out with a profit if it fizzles out anyway. Have that car full of gas though....
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Hustla
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I'm in Miami, Kendall suburb of Miami to be exact. You guys in Clearwater and Riverview might get it a little worst than me, but lets hope none of us have to suffer any lost and damages. Whats the point of making money from this storm just to put it back into repairing damges.

--------------------
Rule 1: Always Protect Your Capital
Rule 2: Earn slow, Don't lose fast

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MAGICK
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Brevard county here, NE Fl.
Doesn't look like were escaping this one up here at current predicted paths.
Huff & Puff Ernesto, I'll kick ya in the cajones.

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cactus33
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updated path, be careful ace, your looking like a bullseye..

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0506W5+gif/025435W_sm.gif

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a surfer
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Naples here
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Ace of Spades
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quote:
Originally posted by cactus33:
updated path, be careful ace, your looking like a bullseye..

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0506W5+gif/025435W_sm.gif

I'm not sure if I should go somewhere or stay. I know they said earlier that it could be a Cat 3 when it hit's the US, has anything changed? This is all I could find for florida...

"It certainly looks like it's going to impact a significant portion of Florida before it's all over," said Max Mayfield, director of the National Hurricane Center.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20060828/ap_on_re_us/tropical_weather_florida_21

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cactus33
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If I had a relative or friend up north, and wasnt tied down to a job, i would bail. Of course it may never hit you, but I always take the be safe or be sorry motto. very hard decision though. I'd have some plywood for the windows maybe. Crazy, good luck ace, i feel bad for you. you never know, this could take a completely different path or fizzle. hang tough. Basically at this point no one knows how strong it will be after cuba..
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utvolsfan13
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I don't think I'd recommend anyone to evacuate right now.. Ernesto is barely a Tropical Storm south of Cuba right now. It's center is currently between Hispanola and Cuba.. The convection around the center has had a nice burst in the past couple hours.. Though Ernesto is very weakened, he appears to be strengthening a bit before he runs over Cuba. He should emerge from Cuba as either a Tropical Depression or a Tropical Storm. Many current models are showing Ernesto go over southern and western Florida. These models may shift west on the next run. The ridge over the SE doesn't appear to be weakening as significantly as the models have been assuming. Definitely in the wait and see stage right now.. I expect it will head a bit more west than the track shows right now. (As of 1100PM Advisory)

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-Kevin

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100stacks
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If you're right, Ernesto will have more time to strenghten in the GOM correct?
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pennyaddict71
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Good Sunday morning!

There are many problems associated with Ernesto's new track and maybe only
one or two good ones. Having taken a jog north-northwest yesterday due to
wind shear and eye reformation, the good news is Jamaica and the Cayman
Islands appear to have dodged a direct hit. Bad news: Dominican Republic
and Haiti receive much more rainfall than anticipated resulting in
landslides and extreme flooding, especially in deforested Haiti. End
result there: Many lives lost and more displaced.

Good news: Interaction with the mountainous areas of Cuba will slow down
development of Ernesto before emerging in the Gulf of Mexico. Bad news:
Again flooding will be an issue and heavy rains will fall all over the
length of Cuba.

Good news: The official forecast track has now shifted significantly to
the east with the Florida Panhandle, Alabama, and to a lesser extent,
Mississippi now the potential targets. Bad news: These areas are still
recovering themselves from several hurricanes over the last few years with
Ivan a standout.

Devil's advocate stance: Remember when Hurricane Katrina was forecast to
track into the same area as Ernesto once it made the Gulf, only for the
NHC and NWS to realize to everyone's horror that the actual track was well
to the west of the first track and you know the rest.....

Be prepared, smart, informed and safe!
Dave

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100stacks
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This is the new projected path of Ernesto. This new track has it over Cuba less which would sustain the winds. This new path would effect the entire state of Florida with either cat.2 or cat.3 winds. All of the Eastern seaboard will also see cat.1 or cat.2 winds all the way north to Virginia.


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/060152.shtml?5day?large

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100stacks
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I'm expecting BIG THINGS in the next few days. On Oct.19 2005 ECCI opened at .16 and closed at .31 with vol. of only 2.7M because of Hurricane Wilma that looked like it was heading to Cancun, Mexico. Hurricane Ernest looks like it is gonna be a Cat.2 hurricane (maybe Cat.3) that will effect all of Florida, and parts of the Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina coastlines. I'm expecting ECCI to approach .30 very soon with volume around 10M. Of course this isn't Katrina, but Ernesto is getting tons of publicity on every news station.
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cactus33
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isnt this headed towards miami
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cactus33
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BUYING !
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100stacks
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Don't know why it's down a little, maybe the day traders or maybe people waiting for it to clear Cuba.
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cactus33
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im still trying under .13

what a steal !

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MicroTrader
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I thought this was going to gap up. Why are we down almost 11% ???
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cactus33
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its because it got downgraded to a trop storm. Most likely it will hit the warm waters after cuba and re strengthen
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100stacks
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The funny thing is this stock has NO CHANCE of going under .11 soon, and people are selling.
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cactus33
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just people taking profits, no big deal...
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cactus33
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"We do expect it to reach the Gulf, maybe as a Category 1 hurricane, possibly a Category 2," said John Cangialosi, a meteorologist with U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami. "It's difficult to say where it will be, but in three days we're projecting it anywhere from the eastern Gulf near the Florida panhandle to the western Bahamas."
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MillerTIME
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Holding all shares currently. Looking like it may come off Cuba much earlier than expected.

--------------------
Buy the silence-Sell the noise
SFTV.004-.0075
AVNT.0018-.0033
FPPL.0034-.03
WEGI. My new Call

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cactus33
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same here, water temp. is 83 degrees between cuba and florida, thats like bathwater. I think its going to re gain steam and nail florida.
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juice
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got me some more at .132 today:)
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juice
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got a bid in for more at .12 ... crazy
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Tradintexas
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Beginning to recover
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cactus33
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yep, peak AFTER the hurricane.

Im starting to hate ameriturde, anyone use someone else they like a lot. Im looking for 7 dollar trades. no commiss.

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Tradintexas
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low trades 2.99 to 4.95
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utvolsfan13
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I use scottrade.. I like it.. 7 dollars a trade.. If the stock is under 1.00, you also pay .5% of the principal, which isn't that big of a deal.. so a $1000 investment would be 7+$5=$13.

The convection still looks healthy over Eastern Cuba.. Once Ernesto gets over the water, he should start to strengthen pretty quickly.. Currently being pulled north by a low, but may get a more westward component as the low retreats and a ridge builds in the SE.

--------------------
-Kevin

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SherriT
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quote:
Originally posted by utvolsfan13:
I use scottrade.. I like it.. 7 dollars a trade.. If the stock is under 1.00, you also pay .5% of the principal, which isn't that big of a deal.. so a $1000 investment would be 7+$5=$13.

The convection still looks healthy over Eastern Cuba.. Once Ernesto gets over the water, he should start to strengthen pretty quickly.. Currently being pulled north by a low, but may get a more westward component as the low retreats and a ridge builds in the SE.

Do you think it is going to make landfall that far east in FL, or do we still have much of a possibility of it getting into the central/northern Gulf?

--------------------
Study before you buy, Sell before you think about it....

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MillerTIME
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Emerging off the coast of Cuba 10+ hours earlier than expected. He formed a new COC North of the coast to escape the mountains and headed DUE north instead of the NW track many had predicted. This Guy Ernesto is unreal, he cotinues to amaze forcasters who are getting it handed to them imo.

here is the Gitmo satillete
http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/products/animate/radar.jsp?prod=radar&id=mugm&type=bas e&frames=12>ype=JPG

Another thing is some are saying it will be heading WEST now because of a "high ridge" ??(dont know if thats what its called) and enter the Gulf of Mexico.

I know this is exactly the opposite of the 11AM advisory that shifted it east, but LMAO, who the heck really knows whats going on with this storm.

--------------------
Buy the silence-Sell the noise
SFTV.004-.0075
AVNT.0018-.0033
FPPL.0034-.03
WEGI. My new Call

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Tradintexas
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This is what i call Anticepatory Anxiety!
Just Kidding

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utvolsfan13
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It almost seems dumb to trust any forecast anymore when it comes to Ernesto. Pretty much every track forecast that has come out has been wrong. The steering currents are pretty weak in the area, which is why no one can figure out where he's going to go. If the weakness over the SE retrogrades and a ridge builds, Ernesto could turn more to the west, as the NHC says. Once it emerges over water, things should hopefully start to clear up.

--------------------
-Kevin

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utvolsfan13
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This thing looks like its already exiting the northern coast of Cuba.. Ernesto has been notorious for reforming its center further and further north as it has progressed. It looks like it may already be emerging over the ocean north of Cuba. It was forecast to be over Cuba until late this evening. The convection in Ernesto is also still very persistent. There is a chance that this could ride up the SE coast after it heads towards FL. If it makes it off the Midatlantic coast, it may end up stalling. This could be a big rainmaker for much of the eastern United States for a prolonged period of time. We'll see what happens..

--------------------
-Kevin

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