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Glen
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New Dragon Asia Corp. Reports Sequential and Year-on-Year Revenue Growth for the Third Fiscal Quarter 2008
Fri. November 07, 2008; Posted: 07:00 AM
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SHENZHEN, China, Nov 7, 2008 (GlobeNewswire via COMTEX) -- NWD | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating -- New Dragon Asia Corp. (AMEX:NWD), one of China's leading producers of instant noodles, flour-related products and soybean-derived products, today announced its financial results for the third quarter and nine months ended September 25, 2008.

Li Xia Wang, Chief Executive Officer of New Dragon Asia Corp. said, "Our results for the third quarter reflect the stability and sustainability of our business, even in relatively difficult economic conditions. We recorded another quarter of sequential and year-on-year sales growth, and demand for our products remains strong. I am confident that the quality of our products and strong distribution network will enable us to continue to perform well in the face of an economic downturn. In light of recent product safety issues that have affected other food and beverage producers in China, I would like to reiterate that our safety measures are stringent, our products continue to be of the highest quality and our customers remain satisfied."

Peter Mak, Chief Financial Officer of New Dragon Asia Corp. stated, "We are pleased to have continued our trend of top line growth in the third quarter. Our balance sheet remains healthy and due to our growth and profitability, we are well funded. Our working capital balance has increased by $10.9 million year to date to $47.1 million. As anticipated, the price of raw materials continued to increase, however we maintain strong supplier relationships and were able to mitigate the impact of rising costs by securing advantageous prices. Although we expect raw materials costs to remain high, we should be able to pass a substantial portion of these costs on to customers, resulting in anticipated margins in the 17-18% range for the full year 2008."

Third Quarter 2008 financial highlights

Net revenue for the three months ended September 25, 2008 was $14.9 million, a 7% increase as compared to approximately $14.0 million for the same period last year. The increase in revenue was driven primarily by the increase in average selling price for the Company's flour products. Total sales of flour products increased from $7.8 million in the third quarter of 2007 to $8.8 million in the third quarter of 2008.

Gross profit was $2.5 million for the third quarter of 2008 compared to $2.8 million for the third quarter of 2007. The decrease in gross profit is attributable to the increase in the price of raw materials used in the Company's products, principally wheat. Gross margin as a percentage of sales was 17% for the quarter.

New Dragon Asia Corp. reported income from operations for the third quarter of 2008 of approximately $1.5 million as compared to $1.8 million for the third quarter of 2007. The decrease was primarily due to the decrease in gross profit of approximately $0.3 million.

Net income for the third quarter of 2008 was approximately $1.5 million as compared to net income of approximately $3.2 million for the same period in 2007. This decrease was primarily due to a smaller gain derived from the changes in the fair value of derivative instruments.

Earnings per common share were $0.02 basic and fully diluted for the third quarter of 2008, as compared to $0.05 basic and fully diluted for the same period in 2007.

First Nine Months 2008 financial highlights

Net revenue for the nine months ended September 25, 2008 was approximately $41.2 million, an 8% increase as compared to approximately $38.2 million for the corresponding period in 2007. This was driven primarily by the increase in the average selling price for the Company's flour products, as total revenue from flour sales amounted to $23.1 million versus $20.8 million in the prior year period.

Gross profit was down slightly to approximately $7.2 million for the nine months ended September 25, 2008 as compared to approximately $7.3 million for the corresponding period in 2007. Gross margin decreased to 17% for the nine months ended September 25, 2008 compared to 19% for the first nine months of 2007 as a result of the increase in raw material prices in 2008, principally wheat.

New Dragon Asia Corp. reported income from operations for the nine months ended September 25, 2008 of approximately $4.4 million, essentially level compared to the nine months ended September 25, 2007 due to the increase in wheat prices.

Net income for the nine months ended September 25, 2008 was approximately $5.2 million as compared to net income of $11.5 million for the same period in 2007. This decrease is attributable to the fluctuation in the gain derived from a change in the fair value of derivative instruments.

Earnings per common share were $0.07 basic and fully diluted for the nine months ended September 25, 2008, as compared to earnings of $0.18 basic and fully diluted for the corresponding period in 2007.

Select Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Information

New Dragon Asia Corp.'s cash and cash equivalents as of September 25, 2008 were $5.3 million compared to $3.6 million at December 25, 2007.

New Dragon Asia Corp.'s working capital increased to $47.1 million at September 25, 2008 from $36.2 million at December 25, 2007. This increase was primarily due to the growth and profitability of the business.

Net cash used for operating activities for the nine months ended September 25, 2008 was $2.3 million, as compared to $7.5 million used for operating activities in the nine months ended September 25, 2007.

Management Share Purchases

During the course of the third quarter of 2008, Chairman Heng Jing Lu purchased a total of 114,000 shares of New Dragon Asia Class A common stock on the open market.

New Dragon Asia Corp., a Florida corporation (AMEX:NWD), is headquartered in Shandong Province, China and is engaged in the milling, sale and distribution of flour and related products, including instant noodles and soybean-derived products, to retail and commercial customers. As the fourth largest instant noodle manufacturer in China, New Dragon Asia Corp. markets its well-established Long Feng brand through a network of more than 200 key distributors and 16 regional offices in 27 Chinese provinces with an aggregate production capacity of approximately 195,000 tons of flour and more than 1.1 billion packages of instant noodles per year. Instant noodles are also exported to a growing number of countries. For more information, visit the Company's website at www.newdragonasia.com.

This news release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are based on current expectations or beliefs, including, but not limited to, its success with acquisitions, anticipated synergies, and overseas expansion. For this purpose, statements that are not statements of historical fact may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. The Company cautions that these statements by their nature involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially depending on a variety of important factors, including, among others, the impact of competitive products and pricing; changes in consumer preferences and tastes or perceptions; effectiveness of advertising or market-spending programs; changes in laws and regulations; fluctuations in costs of production, foreign exchange and interest rates; the global financial crisis of 2008, and other factors as may be discussed in the Company's reports as periodically filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

NEW DRAGON ASIA CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF OPERATIONS (Amounts in thousands, except share data; unaudited) Three months ended Nine months ended September 25, September 25, ------------------ ------------------ 2008 2007 2008 2007 Net revenue $ 14,942 $ 13,955 $ 41,156 $ 38,150 Cost of goods sold (12,439) (11,148) (33,966) (30,865) -------- -------- -------- -------- Gross profit 2,503 2,807 7,190 7,285 Selling and distribution expenses (387) (302) (977) (825) General and administrative expenses (569) (731) (1,815) (2,025) -------- -------- -------- -------- Income from operations 1,547 1,774 4,398 4,435 Other income (expense): Interest income 4 3 6 18 Other income (expense) 32 15 247 143 Gain on fair value adjustments to embedded derivatives 362 1,903 1,790 7,541 VAT refund 32 -- 60 540 -------- -------- -------- -------- Income (loss) before income taxes and minority interests 1,977 3,695 6,501 12,677 Provision for income taxes (470) (491) (1,256) (1,211) -------- -------- -------- -------- Income (loss) before minority interests 1,507 3,204 5,245 11,466 Minority interests -- -- -- -- -------- -------- -------- -------- Net income (loss) $ 1,507 $ 3,204 $ 5,245 $ 11,466 ======== ======== ======== ======== Accretion of Redeemable Preferred Stock (282) (377) (942) (1,133) Preferred Stock Dividends (127) (178) (420) (534) -------- -------- -------- -------- Income (loss) available to common stockholders $ 1,098 $ 2,649 $ 3,883 $ 9,799 ======== ======== ======== ======== Earnings per common share Basic $ 0.02 $ 0.05 $ 0.07 $ 0.18 -------- -------- -------- -------- Diluted $ 0.02 $ 0.05 $ 0.07 $ 0.18 -------- -------- -------- -------- Weighted average number of common shares outstanding Basic 58,625 54,073 57,263 53,858 -------- -------- -------- -------- Diluted 58,625 54,950 57,263 54,735 -------- -------- -------- -------- NEW DRAGON ASIA CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET (Amounts in thousands, except share data) Sept. 25, Dec. 25, 2008 2007 -------- -------- (Unaudited) ASSETS Current assets: Cash and cash equivalents $ 5,298 $ 3,646 Accounts receivable, net 9,567 9,223 Deposits and prepayments, net 14,082 12,183 Inventories, net 25,730 22,050 Due from related companies 1,022 913 -------- -------- Total current assets 55,699 48,015 Property, machinery and equipment, net 27,807 25,986 Land use rights, net 7,737 7,294 Goodwill 125 125 -------- -------- Total assets $ 91,368 $ 81,420 ======== ======== LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY Current liabilities: Accounts payable $ 4,555 $ 2,982 Other payables and accruals 2,772 2,765 Taxes payable 689 3,530 Embedded derivatives, at fair value 566 2,493 Due to related companies -- 36 -------- -------- Total current liabilities 8,582 11,806 Due to New Dragon Asia Food Limited 2,648 1,405 Due to joint venture partners 870 272 -------- -------- Total liabilities 12,100 13,483 -------- -------- Minority interests 316 294 -------- -------- Series A and B Redeemable Convertible Preferred Stock, $0.0001 par value: Authorized shares - 5,000,000 Issued and outstanding - 7,253 shares and 9,434 shares at September 25, 2008 and December 25, 2007 4,904 5,321 Commitments Stockholders' equity: Class A Common Stock, $0.0001 par value: Authorized shares - 102,000,000 Issued and outstanding - 58,758,275 at September 25, 2008 and 55,195,385 at December 25, 2007 6 5 Class B Common Stock, $0.0001 par value: Authorized shares - 2,000,000 Issued and outstanding - none -- -- Additional paid-in capital 31,860 29,982 Retained earnings 28,451 24,568 Accumulated other comprehensive income 13,731 7,767 -------- -------- Total stockholders' equity 74,048 62,322 -------- -------- Total liabilities and stockholders' equity $ 91,368 $ 81,420 ======== ========

This news release was distributed by GlobeNewswire, www.globenewswire.com

SOURCE: New Dragon Asia Corporation


What would you do if I told you I have a company that is China's 4th largest producer of instant noodles, flour-related products and soybean-derived products and is selling significantly under book value. In fact, if you could get 10% of book value out of its non-cash assets and you decided to liquidate the company, you’d be breaking even if you ran the company out of business. Historically, they’ve been filling orders for Buffett’s Coca-Cola and KFC. Alright, have I got your attention? How about if I told you that right now, the 9-Day RSI is 0.137 and it’s selling at its 52-week low? Note, it is Sunday January 18th.

Good news “Inventories are stated at the lower of cost, determined on a weighted average basis, or net realizable value. Costs of work-in-progress and finished goods are composed of direct material, direct labor and an attributable portion of manufacturing overhead. Net realizable value is the estimated selling price, in the ordinary course of business, less estimated costs to complete and dispose.”

What this means is that if I take ownership of the company, take the cash and pay all its debt, and then sell the inventories at book value and sit on the rest of the assets, I’ll be making over 100% return because I’d be sitting on $0.53 per share of profits and have paid $0.21 a share. Not to mention, I’d have lots of factories to play paintball or king of the castle in.

The P/E Ratio is about 2 and the price to book is 0.18. The earnings growth hasn’t been good but there’s definitely upside potential at this point. As I mentioned, there’s a lot more upside in china than there is in the USA at this point. If you take their lowest quarterly earnings and project it as a full year, the P/E is 2.626.

I can tell you’re probably sweating to find out the name of this company. Your fingers are starting to perspire and you’re probably hungry for some noodles.



So, if you’re asking me, why now? Why are noodles so sexy you say? Well, looking at the prices of wheat lately, we are a lot lower than we were 6 months ago. Note that in the company’s last quarterly, they noted that their margins were down because wheat prices were up.

“Gross profit was $2.5 million for the third quarter of 2008 compared to $2.8 million for the third quarter of 2007. The decrease in gross profit is attributable to the increase in the price of raw materials used in the Company's products, principally wheat. Gross margin as a percentage of sales was 17% for the quarter.”

Good news is that if you use the historical gross margin of 0.21, you’re pulling a P/E ratio of about 1 at this point. So, what I see is a company that has a fairly strong product in a highly competitive market, where they just got beat down because of higher raw materials prices due to global commodity speculation. These margins should be expected to be back in balance, and yet, the price of the company is still on that wildly violent swing to $0. They have no long term debt and an outlook that over the next year demands net income growth unless there’s a one-time thing that occurs. Just by the numbers, I’m expecting 100% net income growth in 2009. That’s really bullish of me, but realistically, you’re still getting a bargain if there isn’t any net income growth.



Notice that wheat prices spiked at the end of 2002 and what that did to NWD’s gross margin (in blue just above the trading volumes). It looks like NWD buys futures 6 months in advance and has learned from this mistake because since 2002 their gross margin has stabilized. That said, we are 6 months past the last spike, which was about 8x as big as the one in 2002. Worst case scenario, we could see up to 2 quarters of negative earnings growth on NWD, but the overall picture to me looks like we are in the middle of the worst.

Check out the latest quarterly.

Check out historical news highlights.

Check out some good analysis done 2 years ago.

--------------------
Glen Bradford

Posts: | From: Purdue University | Registered: Jan 2009  |  IP: Logged | Report this post to a Moderator
   

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