posted
Alright yall, here it is. This is a 6 month call, and it is my monster call. This stock will become a monster again this year, and maybe even more than last year if there is a more active hurricane season and they are in the 2nd step of uplisting to the OTCBB.
Everyone who knows my picks, knows i pick conservatively. I normally go 25% 25% 25% calls, and just take that and run. Hit consecutive singles.
But sometimes there are avenues available to make more than that, and this is one imo. I am very bullish on NSMG here at this level considering a hold into at least May-June but more preferably August.
-------------------- Buy the silence-Sell the noise SFTV.004-.0075 AVNT.0018-.0033 FPPL.0034-.03 WEGI. My new Call Posts: 3100 | From: Louisiana | Registered: Apr 2005
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posted
This will be the thread for NSMG thru till august.
I will post all the DD For the stock and hurricane awarness, as well as technical analysis.
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We all know what happens in the summer when hurricanes are looming. These stocks get major momo and see 100% runs on monster volume. Their major revenues come from hurricanes.
So, check the charts out, and buy ahead of the storms. thats how the markets work, buy the silence sell the noise. We are currently at .19. In the summer we should be seeing at least .50 -.60 so why not buy and hold.
Check out the charts.
-------------------- Buy the silence-Sell the noise SFTV.004-.0075 AVNT.0018-.0033 FPPL.0034-.03 WEGI. My new Call Posts: 3100 | From: Louisiana | Registered: Apr 2005
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posted
Charts looking strong...Looking for a little more consolidation filling out the bottom here at .2 and then begin to uptick a little each day before it breaks that .27 Resistence.
BUY your hurricane stock now imo. Or be left behind. We will be in the .30s in no time. Id say 2 weeks.
-------------------- Buy the silence-Sell the noise SFTV.004-.0075 AVNT.0018-.0033 FPPL.0034-.03 WEGI. My new Call Posts: 3100 | From: Louisiana | Registered: Apr 2005
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posted
This is my top pick for the also MT. I initially got in at 0.27 last year before the big surge to 60, held on and have been averaging down at .07 and .08 and .15.
I think this is going to be a great season. They've just reported a profit. Last years loss was due to company expansion and I think they're poised to do very very well this summer.
We'll see, imho.
Posts: 362 | From: Buffalo | Registered: Feb 2006
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posted
This stock was 7 cents a month ago and got up to 27 cents on Feb 13....Thats quadruple the stock price...I'm not saying it won't go up more, but it could dip some more for a better entry...either way if theres a big storm season or it does actually move to a higher exchange...this will rock ! ! !
Posts: 2321 | Registered: Aug 2006
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posted
Some consolidation here, bouncing off strong support on the MA200 line. Strong CMF, slow stoch is turning, no longer over bought and the accum/dist line keeps climbing although we had a few selling days...
I think we'll start heading up again in a few days. Of course, imho.
Posts: 362 | From: Buffalo | Registered: Feb 2006
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posted
Yep! I think we're heading up from here. This stock got an early start this season. Maybe that's good (lower float), maybe it's bad (profit taking on the way up will hold it back).
I'm riding free shares over .30 pps.
-------------------- Get In, Get Out...but Make Up Your Mind! Posts: 803 | From: Houston | Registered: Feb 2005
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posted
I still haven't chosen an exit price. This stock is so fluid depending on the hurricane season/poor weather that I can see it peaking at $0.6 like last year or peaking at $1 or $2 if there's a really active hurricane season.
Time will tell. Regardless, this one has some serious potential. This may be the only time to get on board for the season!
Of course, all is imho!
Posts: 362 | From: Buffalo | Registered: Feb 2006
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posted
this is such a beautiful chart play, it's almost ridiculous. macd crossover into the negative today. look what happened during the last consolidation period when there was a positive crossover...
not only are we headed for another crossover, but there's a golden cross coming in the near future...
i'm backing the truck up now, collecting as many shares as possible.
i know there are several hurricane/weather plays out there, but i just love the predictability of this one!
posted
William Gray predicts five intense Atlantic hurricanes in 2007 • Forecaster expects 17 named storms • Last year, Gray's forecast, like others, overestimated storms • 2006 brought just five hurricanes, two of them major Adjust font size: FORT COLLINS, Colorado (AP) -- The 2007 Atlantic hurricane season should be "very active," with 17 named storms, a top storm forecaster said Tuesday.
Those named storms are expected to include five intense or major hurricanes, according to forecaster William Gray's team at Colorado State University. Gray said there is a 74 percent probability of a major hurricane hitting the U.S. coast.
The team's forecasts are based on global oceanic and atmospheric conditions.
Last year, Gray's forecast -- as well as government forecasts -- was higher than what the Atlantic hurricane season produced. Gray's team said the reason was a late El Niño that altered oceanic conditions.
There were nine named Atlantic storms and five hurricanes, two of them major, in 2006. That was considered a "near normal" season. None of those hurricanes hit the U.S. Atlantic coast.
The devastating 2005 season had 28 named storms, 15 of them hurricanes. Four of those hurricanes hit the U.S. coast, the worst among them Katrina, which devastated New Orleans and leveled parts of the Gulf Coast.
Gray has spent more than 40 years in tropical weather research. He heads the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State.
Posts: 362 | From: Buffalo | Registered: Feb 2006
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We're due this year for a big upswing in activity. Global warming, 100 year averages, 10 and 5 yr averages swinging back toward active. Last year was tame.
Look ouooooooooooot! ... 1st major will send this baby up the ladder.
-------------------- Get In, Get Out...but Make Up Your Mind! Posts: 803 | From: Houston | Registered: Feb 2005
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posted
I just bought in to this at 22. Realistically,,what is the projected upswing supposed to be? It's my first shot at a hurricane stock. Posts: 235 | Registered: Jan 2007
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posted
I just bought in 22 as well I would say we could easily see 40+ with our first hurricane this year.
Posts: 69 | Registered: Apr 2006
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posted
I think we peaked about 0.65 last year (with no hurricanes or significant midwest damage). Some of the reasons I like this company over other hurricane plays:
1) Their expansion and increasing revenue (after adding coverage in a few other states over the last year.)
National Storm Management Reports Third Quarter Results CHICAGO, IL -- (MARKET WIRE) -- 01/09/2007 -- National Storm Management, Inc. (PINKSHEETS: NSMG) reported today results for its third quarter ended September 30, 2006. Revenues for the third quarter increased 37 percent or $811,000 to $3.0 million, compared to $2.2 million in the second quarter ended June 30, 2006.
2) I like the share structure (extremely recent numbers).
Outstanding Shares: 91,029,996 as of 2007-03-20
Estimated Market Cap: 20.026M as of 2007-04-09 (based on Outstanding Shares as of 2007-03-20) Authorized Shares: 310,000,000 as of 2007-03-20 Float: 28,202,656 as of 2006-06-01 Number of Shareholders of Record: 2,700
3) Rumours of an uplifting to the OTC
4) Chart looks very good, we're set up for a golden cross and + MACD crossover.
Time will tell...
Posts: 362 | From: Buffalo | Registered: Feb 2006
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quote:Originally posted by Zosyn: I think we peaked about 0.65 last year (with no hurricanes or significant midwest damage). Some of the reasons I like this company over other hurricane plays:
1) Their expansion and increasing revenue (after adding coverage in a few other states over the last year.)
National Storm Management Reports Third Quarter Results
CHICAGO, IL -- (MARKET WIRE) -- 01/09/2007 -- National Storm Management, Inc. (PINKSHEETS: NSMG) reported today results for its third quarter ended September 30, 2006. Revenues for the third quarter increased 37 percent or $811,000 to $3.0 million, compared to $2.2 million in the second quarter ended June 30, 2006.
2) I like the share structure (extremely recent numbers).
Outstanding Shares: 91,029,996 as of 2007-03-20
Estimated Market Cap: 20.026M as of 2007-04-09 (based on Outstanding Shares as of 2007-03-20) Authorized Shares: 310,000,000 as of 2007-03-20 Float: 28,202,656 as of 2006-06-01 Number of Shareholders of Record: 2,700
3) Rumours of an uplifting to the OTC
4) Chart looks very good, we're set up for a golden cross and + MACD crossover.
posted
yeah i guess i should say this as i created this thread and dont want to mislead any people, but i have sold out of NSMG becuase of the SEC investigation and the major dilution occuring.
In the Hurricane sector there are better options now imo, and i see WEGI as the #1 hurricane stock of the year. I think we are seeing the affects of the dilution in NSMG because it is much thicker, and cant sustain its runs anymore.
With that said, it can still run because it is widely known about, but i just found it a little too risky for my taste.
Good luck to all.
-------------------- Buy the silence-Sell the noise SFTV.004-.0075 AVNT.0018-.0033 FPPL.0034-.03 WEGI. My new Call Posts: 3100 | From: Louisiana | Registered: Apr 2005
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quote:Originally posted by MillerTIME: yeah i guess i should say this as i created this thread and dont want to mislead any people, but i have sold out of NSMG becuase of the SEC investigation and the major dilution occuring.
In the Hurricane sector there are better options now imo, and i see WEGI as the #1 hurricane stock of the year. I think we are seeing the affects of the dilution in NSMG because it is much thicker, and cant sustain its runs anymore.
With that said, it can still run because it is widely known about, but i just found it a little too risky for my taste.
quote:Originally posted by MillerTIME: yeah i guess i should say this as i created this thread and dont want to mislead any people, but i have sold out of NSMG becuase of the SEC investigation and the major dilution occuring.
In the Hurricane sector there are better options now imo, and i see WEGI as the #1 hurricane stock of the year. I think we are seeing the affects of the dilution in NSMG because it is much thicker, and cant sustain its runs anymore.
With that said, it can still run because it is widely known about, but i just found it a little too risky for my taste.
Good luck to all.
good post..
yeah i dont want to say to SELL NSMG, but i created this bullish thread, and as you know, situations occur in the small cap market that can change your thoughts on a stock quite quickly. So just wanted to clear the air on why i hadnt posted there in a while.
It can still run all, and i know many people that say it still will, but i am just not as bullish on it anymore.
-------------------- Buy the silence-Sell the noise SFTV.004-.0075 AVNT.0018-.0033 FPPL.0034-.03 WEGI. My new Call Posts: 3100 | From: Louisiana | Registered: Apr 2005
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posted
I'm in! This thing will run in early May, just like it does every year. The Climate Prediction Center will issue its 2007 tropical forecast sometime in mid-May. NSMG ran from .10 to .40 on the CPC's forecast last year. La Nina conditions are expected to last through the 2007 seeason, which climatologically bodes well for tropical cyclone development due to decreased wind shear over the Atlantic. Unlike last year, this is going to be a very active season.
Past release dates of the CPC's seasonal tropical outlook
2006 - May 22 2005 - May 16 2004 - May 14 2003 - May 19
posted
I was in NSMG last year. Waited a bit too long though and didn't get in until AFTER the Climate Prediction Center came out with their seasonal outlook. Really wished I could have gotten in before the early season hype. Vowed I'd do it this year so here I am. Not sure if anyone posted Dr. Grey's April adjustment to this year's tropical forecast. He upped the ante... Here are the numbers...
Averages are in (parentheses) Their prediction below
Named Storms (9.6) 17 Named Storm Days (NSD) (49.1) 85 Hurricanes (H) (5.9) 9 Hurricane Days (HD) (24.5) 40 Intense Hurricanes (IH) (2.3) 5 Intense Hurricane Days (IHD) (5.0) 11 Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (96.2) 170 Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (NTC) (100%) 185
Pretty much forecasting nearly 2 years worth of tropical cyclones in 1 year... Here is the complete report...
posted
Looks like we're getting an early start to the season!
000 WTNT41 KNHC 091459 TCDAT1 SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007 1100 AM EDT WED MAY 09 2007
AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE HAS BEEN INVESTIGATING THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING. THE INITIAL LEG OF THE MISSION WAS FLOWN AT 300 MB FROM WEST TO EAST OVER THE CIRCULATION CENTER...AND SEVERAL DROPSONDES WERE RELEASED. THE TEMPERATURE PROFILES REVEAL A RATHER FLAT THERMAL CROSS-SECTION...NOT INDICATING A DISCERNIBLE WARM OR COLD CORE AT ANY VERTICAL LEVEL. THE WIND PROFILES...HOWEVER...SHOW WINDS INCREASING WITH HEIGHT IN THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CIRCULATION AND DECREASING WITH HEIGHT IN THE EASTERN HALF. GOES IMAGERY INDICATES THAT...COMPARED TO YESTERDAY...THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS CONSOLIDATED CLOSER TO THE CENTER...BUT PRIMARILY IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT HINT OF UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW WHICH WAS COMPLETELY ABSENT YESTERDAY...BUT THE SYSTEM REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN A LARGE DEEP-LAYER TROUGH. ALSO...THE RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS HAS CONTRACTED FROM MORE THAN 100 N MI YESTERDAY TO ABOUT 50-60 N MI THIS MORNING. BASED ON THE HYBRID STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM...ADVISORIES ARE BEING INITIATED ON SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA. THE 40 KT INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN EARLY MORNING QUIKSCAT PASS AND RECENT AIRCRAFT DATA FROM 850 MB.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS SLOW AND GENERALLY WESTWARD...ABOUT 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT. SINCE ANDREA IS ESSENTIALLY TRAPPED WITHIN A MIDDLE- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH THAT THE DYNAMICAL MODELS FORECAST TO NOT MOVE MUCH DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...ANDREA WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY...BUT IN THE GENERAL DIRECTION OF THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST GENERALLY FOLLOWS THE SCENARIO PAINTED BY ALL OF THE MODELS...TAKING THE SYSTEM SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD AND THEN SOUTHWARD DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS OR SO. NONE OF THE MODELS BRING ANDREA INLAND...AND NEITHER DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. ANDREA IS CURRENTLY OVER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF NO MORE THAN ABOUT 25 CELSIUS...AND THEY WILL NOT GET ANY WARMER ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK. THEREFORE A SLOW WEAKENING TREND IS ANTICIPATED AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS DISSIPATION NEAR THE COAST IN LESS THAN FIVE DAYS. HOWEVER...SINCE ANDREA MIGHT BRING WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE TO THE COAST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.
FORT LAUDERDALE — William Gray and Phil Klotzbach stuck to their guns today: 17 named storms, nine hurricanes -- five of them with winds greater than 110 mph, an above average year.
The chances of the big one hitting land also are higher than average.
Based this year's conditions and on landfall statistics from the past century, Klotzbach said the probability of a Category 3 or higher storm making landfall on America's East Coast is 74 percent, compared with 52 percent over the past century.
A trend of cooling Pacific Ocean water could lead to the climate cycle called La Nina, they said, which creates less wind to shear tropical cyclones apart before they grow to hurricanes.
"We think that's likely to be the case this year," Klotzbach said.
"It appears we are trending towards a weak to moderate La Nina event this summer," he said.
"We do think we have a little more skill than the groundhog does," Klotzbach said.
Gray said global warming probably does not affect the power or frequency of hurricanes.
"It's not the case at all," Gray said.
"The press is also partially responsible ... and then Gore came along with his movie and book and said things are getting worse, but that's not really true around the globe."
"We think this is natural stuff," Gray said.
Insurers say they are ready
FORT LAUDERDALE -- A hurricane reprieve this past year allowed Florida insurers time to build cash reserves, retrain adjusters and to catch their breath, a top insurance officials said today.
So they're ready.
"We are trying to prepare to pay four or five billion dollars per year," said Sam Miller, executive vice president of the Florida Insurance Council.
"The private insurance industry is still here, and we'll be here this hurricane season. "Everybody needed 2006 to catch our breath," Miller said.
Citizen's Property Insurance Corp., the number one insurer in Florida, is "in the best shape it's ever been," Miller said.
It has $9 billion in cash flow and 6,000 adjusters on standby, he said.
"We have to have Citizens, because folks have to have insurance when the private market can't provide it. They will not have a cash flow problem," Miller said.
posted
Tropical Storm Barbara Forms Off Mexico's Pacific Coast
Last update: 5/30/2007 11:42:34 AM
DOW JONES NEWSWIRES Barbara, the second tropical storm of the 2007 season in the eastern Pacific, formed off Mexico's western coast Wednesday, the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami, Fla., reported.
Barbara is forecast to reach hurricane strength in the next 48 to 72 hours, the center reported on its Web site. "There is a great deal of uncertainty" about the storm's course, and the "intensity forecast is difficult as well," the center said. (END) Dow Jones NewswiresMay 30, 2007
-------------------- "Great Day for Up!"....Dr. Seuss Posts: 3387 | Registered: Mar 2006
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posted
I'm in today also. Don't think we can go wrong with this one looking at the forcast for the season.
Posts: 7 | From: Arkansas | Registered: May 2007
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