***BEST BET San Diego* over Gonzaga by 8 You don’t spend 14 seasons in Gonzaga’s locker room and huddles without learning a little something about their strengths, weaknesses, strategies and how you might attack and counter them if you were coaching somewhere else. San Diego first-season head coach Bill Grier took his new team back into his old house last month, but they didn’t hit enough shots early in the first half to keep the dogs at bay. An 0-12 deficit there is killer. However, the Toreros did enough things right to hang in there and edge their way back into the game in the second half when they could have folded instead. They’ve already beaten St. Mary’s in this building, at their own down-tempo pace. With those confidence-builders under their belt, plus guard Johnson and forward Pomare as two of the best players in the conference on their home floor, a nationally televised court-storming is brewing. SAN DIEGO, 72-64.
IP: Logged |
posted
I'll post more service plays tomorrow afternoon. Most of these guys are snake oil salesmaen but I try and follow the more consistent ones,talk to you tomorrow Tex. I'm going to recruit a few good players also who provide good info. We are active at another site but the admin's there are a pain in the butt. Cheers
IP: Logged |
But I doubt there's a problem, unless you guys are hoping to make book. As long as you're talking sports and spreads as known, eg, at Vegas, I don't see a problem. But no "side action" through here, eh?
-------------------- Nashoba Holba Chepulechi Adventures in microcapitalism...
IP: Logged |
I'm laying the points with the Hoyas on Monday. The normally defensively sound Hoyas looked anything but that in their Saturday loss at Syracuse. They looked a step behind on the defensive end and paid for it with two players fouling out, leading to a huge disadvantage at the charity stripe. It's a Georgetown team that leads the nation in FG percentage allowed, and they hold the opposition to UNDER 20 made FGs per game. They'll be at their most intense following the poor performance. The Hoyas are a perfect 3-0 SU after a loss this season, winning by an average of 16 PPG! And, they'll face a Providence squad that's on a 1-7 SU slide. In their seven losses surrounding a win over Depaul, the Friars are giving up a hefty 77.6 PPG! Look for Georgetown to bounce back with a double-digit win on Monday afternoon (4pm ET start).
Big Monday Total of the Month I'm playing on Syracuse and Louisville to finish UNDER the number. These teams are both coming off back to back high-scoring games. That has helped keep tonight's over/under line generously high and I feel that we're now getting excellent value with the UNDER. Despite the relatively high final score of 77-70, looking at Syracuse's last game and we find that the Orange actually played well defensively, as they held the Hoyas to just 41.8 percent shooting. Note that the Orange have seen the UNDER go a profitable 19-9 the past few seasons when coming off a win vs. a Big East team in their previous game. Looking back further and we find the UNDER at 63-34 the last 97 times that the Orange played a game (with a total) after coming off a victory over a conference opponent. During that time, they've also seen the UNDER go 47-26 when listed as underdogs, including a perfect 5-0 when listed as road underdogs in the +9.5 to +12 range. As mentioned, Louisville also comes off back to back high-scoring games. However, both those games came on the road. In their most recent home game, the Cardinals help Georgetown to just 51 points in a game that stayed below the total by double-digits. In their previous game here, they limited Rutgers to just 50. Prior to that, they held St. John's to 57, Marquette to 51, West Virginia to 54 and Cincinnati to 58. For the season, they are allowing just 55.9 points per game on this floor while limiting opponents to a 36.8 shooting percentage. They've seen the UNDER go 12-7 the past few seasons when playing with one or less day's rest in between games and a profitable 15-4 after having scored 80 or more points in their previous game. They've also shown a longterm tendency to "slow things down" against high-scoring teams, as they've seen the UNDER go 37-19 the last 56 times (games with a total) they faced a team which scores 77 or more points per game. Look for another strong defensive performance by the Cardinals tonight and for the final combined score to fall below the number.
*Big Monday TOM Syracuse/Louisville UNDER
IP: Logged |
posted
FERRINGO 3-Unit Play. Take #523 Siena (-3.5) over Manhattan (7 p.m., Monday, Feb. 18) I can’t say I’m 100 percent sure why the number is diving on this one. Yes, Manhattan pounded Marist over the weekend. But they are still just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 and 4-16-1 ATS on the season. Sienna pummeled them in the first meeting and has won four in a row in this series. Manhattan is 8-23-1 ATS at home and just isn’t a very good team. Sienna is coming off a tough OT loss, but they are 6-2 ATS on the road and they have dominated the lower half of the conference this season, beating anyone outside of the Top 4 in the conference by an average of 13.6 points per game. Maybe they’ll come out a little sluggish, but I think they finish strong and pick up a decent road W.
IP: Logged |
posted
spritzer direct line.................utah st wcc gom....................san diego ko..................................uri tko gow..........................gtown
IP: Logged |
But I doubt there's a problem, unless you guys are hoping to make book. As long as you're talking sports and spreads as known, eg, at Vegas, I don't see a problem. But no "side action" through here, eh?
Most definitly not Tex,simply discussing opinions of the daily sporting events as they relate to the posted Las Vegas lines.
IP: Logged |
But I doubt there's a problem, unless you guys are hoping to make book. As long as you're talking sports and spreads as known, eg, at Vegas, I don't see a problem. But no "side action" through here, eh?
Most definitly not Tex,simply discussing opinions of the daily sporting events as they relate to the posted Las Vegas lines.
-------------------- Nashoba Holba Chepulechi Adventures in microcapitalism...
IP: Logged |
posted
So when you say best bet do you mean best bet to get good odds or best chance to win in this game vs other games that will be played during the week or month?
I do like the chance of a possible upset here, but i also know that basketball is a game of making adjustments so knowing what Gonzaga does in their locker room isn't going to help at this point. Cold night of shooting can be the killer for either side.
I have other reasons fot thinking San Diego State could upset Gonzaga but i still think Gonzaga wins this one.
IP: Logged |
posted
Iwi, It means that particular handicapper believes San Diego is a best betin HIS analysis to win the cover bet. In this case San Diego is currently + 7 pts. for the game. They could lose the game by 6 and still win the bet.
IP: Logged |
Texas should cover in this game. They've won 8 of their last 9 and will look to avenge an earier in season loss to A&M. Their home court advantage should be too much for the young Aggies team to overcome.
IP: Logged |
posted
Thanks Stock W, I went 3-1 this evening for a profitable night, back tomorrow. I am slowly cultivating the cappers I post with the purpose to find consistent winning plays. For instance my baseball expert last year showed +264 wins! The winning race is for the disciplined not the sprinters in this buisness.
IP: Logged |
posted
I should have waited to see more of your posts Yayaa. I get the idea more about what you are posting.
Watching the San Diego game now, not very good game so far but hope it gets better. Doubt they will get to score set but lets see if they hit the spread.
Gonzaga 25 San Diego 20 at half time sounds like a high scoring baseball game not basketball.
IP: Logged |
UBBFriend: Email this page to someone!
Printer-friendly view of this topic
![[Big Grin]](biggrin.gif)
![[Cool]](cool.gif)
![[Smile]](smile.gif)
