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QBID (VII)
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[QUOTE]Originally posted by howdou1it: [QB] Interesting info found....what do you guys think?? U4? Cash? Diane? FOLKS, LQQK AT THIS PPS PROJECTION ==>> From another message board: I just got back from dinner with some fellow QBID investors. The topic of QBID's future pps popped up...and from our discussion...this is what we came up with...keep in mind that three of the other investors are very conservative engineers...You should have seen the table clothe when we were done...chicken scratch everywhere...lol 1 Year PPS projection 20-30 Million Gays and Lesbians in the US (that are out of the closet...this is a very conservative stat) 3% ROI (marketing effort)= 900,000 subscribers by year 1 900,000 x $9.95 = $8,955,000 x 50% (industry standard...cable companies cut) = $4,477,500/mo or $53,730,000/year Advertisment/Founding Sponsor program...20 spots at $250,000 per advertiser or $5,000,000/year Industry average is $2,500.00 per commercial x 8-10 commercials per hour or $20,000 per hour x 8760 hours per year (24/7 programming) = $175,200,000/year Total Revenue $53,730,000 (subscription per year based on 900K subscribers by year 1) $5,000,000 (Founding Sponsor program based on 20 spots) $175,200,000 (Commercials based on Industry standards of $2500 per commercial/8-10 per hour...24/7 programming) Total Revenue by year 1 $233,930,000/year Expenses (assuming 40%) $93,572,000 Net Operating Income $140,358,000 Per-share earnings $140,358,000 / 4.5 Billion (assuming 9 Billion OS...after buyback of 50%) = .0311 earnings per share assuming a very conservative (S&P) PE ratio of 18 and 20... P/E of 18 = .56 pps P/E of 20 = .62 pps However...QBID is a very speculative stock...and could possibly have a P/E ratio of 30, 40 or 50... P/E of 30 = .93 pps (our pick by year 1) P/E of 40 = $1.24 pps P/E of 50 = $1.55 pps We agreed that a PE ratio of 30 was very conservative for such a speculative stock...if QBID's soft launch goes off without a hitch...and they PR a major advertiser within one week of the soft launch...our views of QBID being a short term hold will change...we would consider holding a position long term (1-3 years) .93 x 4.5 Billion = $4.185 Billion Market cap... At this stage of the game the market cap is the value that the world of stock market investors has placed on the company (at least for today) Much of this perceived value is due to the expectations of a company's future prospects. Market cap is not dictated by how "big" a company is. Here are some related links on advertising and calculating PE ratios... [URL=http://www.cheap-tv-spots.com/airtime.html]http://www.cheap-tv-spots.com/airtime.html[/URL] (scroll down to "How much should I spend on air time?) [/QB][/QUOTE]
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