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NSMG formerly NLST hurricane play NR 1 ( 0.43)
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[QUOTE]Originally posted by renrob05: [QB] UPDATED: 8:55 am EDT, August 26, 2006 ERNESTO FORECAST TO BECOME MAJOR HURRICANE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO The NHC is now forecasting Ernesto to become a major, or category three, hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. Before it gets there, however, it will likely pass very close to or over Jamaica, the Cayman Islands and the western end of Cuba. It won't be long now until a hurricane watch is issued for some of these locations. Ernesto continues to get better organized and it has fought off several negative factors over the last few days. One of the biggest obstacles in its way has been fairly strong upper level winds that act to blow off the deep thunderstorms that must develop over the core of the storm for it to strengthen. These shearing winds are forecast to relax to near nothing over the coming days- leaving a pattern that would support another nasty hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. I realize the implications of this and feel bad for people who are still trying to recover from Katrina, Rita, Dennis and Ivan. The fact is that we have reached a busy time in the hurricane season and we knew this was a remote possibility- and yet, here we are. Before getting too worried about Ernesto, let's see what happens over the next few days. Right now it is a tropical storm and has a ways to go before reaching that major hurricane status. I would simply encourage people who live along the Gulf Coast, from Florida to Texas, to keep an eye on what's happening. There are plenty of sources of information out there now and you know you can count on us to provide the latest info as well. Should Ernesto indeed threaten a landfall in the U.S., we are prepared to head out for our field observation and reporting using our weather instruments and remote camera system. I just returned from Mississippi where Jesse Bass and I set up a 10-meter wind tower at the Bay-Waveland Middle School. We are now back home and are getting equipment ready for a possible trip back to the Gulf. I will post updates here all weekend long. Hey, at least the rest of the tropics are quiet for now. Debby is weakening and the east Pacific is free and clear of any threats to land. I will have more here later this afternoon. [/QB][/QUOTE]
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