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Posted by mastermind555 on :
 
the truth is, 9 out of 10 are failures and just give you false hope
 
Posted by mizzou7 on :
 
That's the best statement posted on this site... and, ABSOLUTELY CORRECT (other than it's more like 9.99%)!!! Most are just "SCAMS" and feed on small time investors that have nothing but dreams.

2006 was it for me with Penny Stocks... I have two left and will sell as soon as feasible.

quote:
Originally posted by mastermind555:
the truth is, 9 out of 10 are failures and just give you false hope


 
Posted by KP on :
 
Yeah, if you are investing in the long term...penny stocks can and most likely will all be worthless at some point or another. Very few of them actually go anywhere. Too many IOU's..R?S...etc etc...kill them most of the time. If anyone here is considering investing in a penny stoick for the long term, do your decision making based on thorough investigation of the company. Now for daytraders like myself, penny stocks are plenty of fun and can, if approached with plenty of TA, be very profitable. So, for Long-term investors TA is good, but cold hard research is the best. For short termers (1-day to 2 weeks-MAXIMUM) have fun...I am.
 
Posted by STAR GAZER on :
 
First of all, if you do your due dilligence, you won't have 9 out of 10 loosers. Secondly, even if you do have 9 out of 10 loosers, it is that 1 out of 10 winning stock that gives you over a 10,000% profit that makes up for all the loosers. That is the name of the game in investing in penny stocks, because only in penny stocks can you have a reasonable chance of getting the 10,000% winner. A little over a year ago I went on and on about URMP which became CWPC and now that they are on a major exchange they have the symbol BQI. It's a Canadian oil stock that was going for .25/share and it stayed there for months. Some people besides me actually bought shares in the company. Since then it climbed to $8/share before backing off to $5/share, which is still a 20,000% rise, and as I have stated since it was .25/share, since all indications are that it has tens of billions of barrels of oil on its land, it's minimum price target price is $50-$100 a share, still a 10,000% to 20,000% rise from its present price and over a 200,000% to 400,000% rise from its .25/share earlier price. A 200,000% profit would make up for a lot of lot of loosers. And if you have been with allstocks for a while you will know that there have certainly been other +10,000% winning stocks brought to our attention by other people on this board. What you do is find a stock talked about by people that looks interesting to you and then do your DD on it. Or, you can do your own DD on stocks and if you find an interesting one, you can talk about it on this board so that other people can look into it. Ok, ok, I hear you saying, fine, but what about here and now, can you name any other stock that is going to go up +10,000% from its opening price this coming Wednesday? Easy, no problemo. I talked about IRNG a year ago when it was 4 cents a share. A lot of people before me bought it at .03/share. Friday it closed at .15/share, a 5,000% rise for them, BUT it has barely begun its move upward. My minimum target for IRNG is $3/share, and I say minimum because it is probably going to go higher than that. But even at .15/share, $3 will be a 20,000% price rise. But even besides the chance for make huge profits with penny stocks, the reason I like being in penny stocks is because it is fun. But I realize that it is no fun to lose money, and boy, can you lose money in speculative penny stocks. So my suggestion is that you only put some of your money in penny stocks, and if you lose it, then wait until the next year before putting more money in penny stocks, but you can continue playing them on paper. Eventually, hopefully, you will get better at buying penny stocks and eventually, or even shortly, you will get rich buying penny to dollar stocks.
 
Posted by Screamer on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by mastermind555:
the truth is, 9 out of 10 are failures and just give you false hope

Since 2001, my total nyse/nasdaq investments have shown an annual return of 8% (not bad,not great). My total otc/pinks average annual returns averaged 27% (pretty good).

If I had to guess, 70% of my otc/pinks were break-even or losses. My winners were HUGE.

Sorry that you haven't had any winners.
 
Posted by BooDog on :
 
Great post Star Gazer. research research research. I recommend increment buying after you do your DD. And never put in what you can't afford to loose. allstocks home page says it best "98% of all pinks are scams". I have seen a couple pretty dam good scams so far since i started in the pinks this past May -- and a lot of people make some good money from them. I know I only mentioned pinks but there are plenty of ob's and other exchanges that have their share. The newbie threads have plenty of good brain food to help make your days better in the stocks. Also check out all the info from the home page. http://www.allstocks.com/. I am still learning but i like the pinks and the ob's but having some "real" stocks in your portfolio is "priceless". Good luck to all for '07!!!

The Boo
 
Posted by BooDog on :
 
http://www.best-world-stock.com/attitude.php
An article putting things in perspective. This site also has a lot of tips and guidance.
 
Posted by Machiavelli on :
 
Seriously guys... if you want to get those returns without any scams you should explore FOREX... only 7 major currencies to keep track of instead of 9,000 stocks to weed through for that diamond in the rough... you can short or go long on currencies and you do not need a $25,000 margin account to short currencies.. no scams whatsoever in FOREX... you can open a account for as little as $100 and also control $100,000 worth of currency for not much.. you get anywhere between 100:1 to 400:1 leverage... etc.. etc.. check out the site below:

www.babypips.com
 
Posted by rkitch on :
 
Haven't checked in for awhile to see the posts but saw this from you Machiavelli and it seems interesting. Checked it out and it might be worth trying.
 
Posted by metal1 on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by STAR GAZER:
First of all, if you do your due dilligence, you won't have 9 out of 10 loosers. Secondly, even if you do have 9 out of 10 loosers, it is that 1 out of 10 winning stock that gives you over a 10,000% profit that makes up for all the loosers. That is the name of the game in investing in penny stocks, because only in penny stocks can you have a reasonable chance of getting the 10,000% winner. A little over a year ago I went on and on about URMP which became CWPC and now that they are on a major exchange they have the symbol BQI. It's a Canadian oil stock that was going for .25/share and it stayed there for months. Some people besides me actually bought shares in the company. Since then it climbed to $8/share before backing off to $5/share, which is still a 20,000% rise, and as I have stated since it was .25/share, since all indications are that it has tens of billions of barrels of oil on its land, it's minimum price target price is $50-$100 a share, still a 10,000% to 20,000% rise from its present price and over a 200,000% to 400,000% rise from its .25/share earlier price. A 200,000% profit would make up for a lot of lot of loosers. And if you have been with allstocks for a while you will know that there have certainly been other +10,000% winning stocks brought to our attention by other people on this board. What you do is find a stock talked about by people that looks interesting to you and then do your DD on it. Or, you can do your own DD on stocks and if you find an interesting one, you can talk about it on this board so that other people can look into it. Ok, ok, I hear you saying, fine, but what about here and now, can you name any other stock that is going to go up +10,000% from its opening price this coming Wednesday? Easy, no problemo. I talked about IRNG a year ago when it was 4 cents a share. A lot of people before me bought it at .03/share. Friday it closed at .15/share, a 5,000% rise for them, BUT it has barely begun its move upward. My minimum target for IRNG is $3/share, and I say minimum because it is probably going to go higher than that. But even at .15/share, $3 will be a 20,000% price rise. But even besides the chance for make huge profits with penny stocks, the reason I like being in penny stocks is because it is fun. But I realize that it is no fun to lose money, and boy, can you lose money in speculative penny stocks. So my suggestion is that you only put some of your money in penny stocks, and if you lose it, then wait until the next year before putting more money in penny stocks, but you can continue playing them on paper. Eventually, hopefully, you will get better at buying penny stocks and eventually, or even shortly, you will get rich buying penny to dollar stocks.

nice examples but all your percentage gains are off.
 
Posted by Machiavelli on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by rkitch:
Haven't checked in for awhile to see the posts but saw this from you Machiavelli and it seems interesting. Checked it out and it might be worth trying.

Definetly is.. i been reading up on it and exploring it.. i forgot to mention that you can also open a "paper" or as they call it a "demo" account with the brokerages in real time and adds/subtracts your profit/losses of your "paper" money so you can see how you do... it is free to open a demo account with the brokerages.. also they do not charge commissions but only transaction fee's based on the spreads between bid/ask.. the smaller the spread the smaller the transaction fee.. FOREX has so many more advantages then to the stock markets and especially pennies.. like i had mentioned before you can go short and not need a $25,000 margin account to do so... you can go Long and if the trade goes against you , you can liquidate immediately (much faster then in the stock market) and switch gears (go short) or vice versa...
 
Posted by rkitch on :
 
Thanks my friend.
 
Posted by kermit42 on :
 
Mach: Thanks for the tip. I just opened a forex.com account to try it out.

It's a good thing they let you practice trade for a while. It's Greek. Dyslexic Greek. Nearsighted dyslexic Greek. I made some paper purchases and if it didn't tell me how much I am down, I'd never figure it out.

It'll probably take me a month just to get the basics.

Edit: the 30-min charts will give me plenty of practice cnadling.
 
Posted by Machiavelli on :
 
go to the www.babypips.com site and click on School.. .that should give you the basics.. but start from the beginning and don't skip anything... even if you think you know it already...
 
Posted by Machiavelli on :
 
www.babypips.com >>>> School >>>> Preschool ... that will give you the basics on how the FOREX Market works...
 
Posted by Ace of Spades on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Machiavelli:
www.babypips.com >>>> School >>>> Preschool ... that will give you the basics on how the FOREX Market works...

I have a Hypotheitcal question going by this chart

http://photos1.****ger.com/x/****ger/4243/2522/1600/409899/doll.jpg

The Us dollar recently went from 1.26 to 1.33 in only 2 months

That's a 5.5 % increase. So could you if you had 100:1 buying power...could you have turned $10,000 into $65,000 in only 2 months ? ? ?
 
Posted by permanentjaun on :
 
For those considering forex I would like to point some things out.

This is in response to Machiavelli's point about only needing to track 7 major pairs. I'm here to tell you that you don't even need to track 7 pairs. When you trade GBP/USD and USD/JPY you're essentially trading GBP/JPY. Many of the pairs are very closely correlated. EUR/USD tends to have more than 85% correlation to GBP/USD.

So you don't even need to trade 7 pairs. You could do very find trading just one. Yes, just one.

Ace of Space, yes you could have turned 10,000 into 65,000 in 2 months. The problem is if you only have $10,000 in your account. Everything is on margin so you are not able to trade the full 10,000. You don't need to though. Because of the leverage price moves enough to make several hundreds or thousands in a day.

That's another thing that is nice about forex. You only need to trade 1 currency, and that currency is always going up or down. Volume does not leave. You don't get caught "holding the bag" in forex. There is always money flowing in and out. It's a completely different game though. You need to know how to trade both ways. Matt
 
Posted by permanentjaun on :
 
Oh forgot to mention the point of what I was trying to make. The reason you don't, and shouldn't trade all 7 majors is because you're essentially hedging. Since most of the major pairs are correlated that if you take positions in both you are either hedging your trade or doubling your risk. It would be the same as trading only one pair and either doubling your trade size or not trading at all.

Although, there are strategies concerning carry trades. This involves hedging two correlated pairs so you don't gain or lose any equity from the price fluctuations, but you gain money from interest you earn on the positive interest currency.

There are many new and innovative strategies that are possible in forex that not even Nasdaq can provide. I really suggest that everyone gets out of penny stocks. Nasdaq is still fine, but pennies are a joke. You're only wasting your time. Forex is large enough that I can trade $10 just as easily as I can trade $1,000,000. It is the largest market in the world by many times over. Matt
 
Posted by Machiavelli on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by permanentjaun:
Oh forgot to mention the point of what I was trying to make. The reason you don't, and shouldn't trade all 7 majors is because you're essentially hedging. Since most of the major pairs are correlated that if you take positions in both you are either hedging your trade or doubling your risk. It would be the same as trading only one pair and either doubling your trade size or not trading at all.

Although, there are strategies concerning carry trades. This involves hedging two correlated pairs so you don't gain or lose any equity from the price fluctuations, but you gain money from interest you earn on the positive interest currency.

There are many new and innovative strategies that are possible in forex that not even Nasdaq can provide. I really suggest that everyone gets out of penny stocks. Nasdaq is still fine, but pennies are a joke. You're only wasting your time. Forex is large enough that I can trade $10 just as easily as I can trade $1,000,000. It is the largest market in the world by many times over. Matt

I said there was 7 Major currencies not pairs.. don't make me shave your head off so you look like Mr. Clean lol 7 Major currencies traded as pairs compared to 9,000 stocks on like 5 different exchanges/markets... Most peeps don't know what you mean by pairs... FOREX has it's own language that they need to learn which they can on the links i recommended...

7 Major Currencies:

1. USD = US Dollar

2. EUR = Euro

3. JPY = Japanese Yen

4. GBP = British Pound

5. CHF = Swiss Franc

6. CAD = Canadian Dollar

7. AUD = Australian Dollar
 
Posted by Ace of Spades on :
 
Machiavelli,

What do you think about this software for the FOREX...

It looks pretty bad Ass

http://www.topgunsoftware.com/forextrading.html

Or this for stocks

http://www.topgunsoftware.com/stocktrading.html
 
Posted by Machiavelli on :
 
Looks very kickass... maybe even more so then Metastock software .. topgun might have too much though..
 
Posted by permanentjaun on :
 
Ace of Spades,

I'd be careful. The site doesn't look very professional. The software looks alright although don't bother trading any indicator for forex that works on volume. Your broker can not come anywhere close to accurately measuring volume in forex. At most they would be able to tell you the volume they're handling, but there are hundreds of brokers all over the world all handling millions and maybe even billions of dollars. So volume indicators will be lacking all the information to give you a clear signal.

I also wouldn't bother with them because they require you make so many trades to have the software for free. I can't even find a demo account through this company. ALL of the top/legitimate forex brokers offer demo accounts so you can trade forex live to practice as well as test their platforms.

You should really look for some of the top brokers and try them. I like GFT Forex, because of their charting. Machiavelli doesn't. It's a personal taste. Demo any forex broker though. You'll soon be asking why don't stock brokers offer this charting power, and if they do why they make you pay for it. It's really amazing what I can do with a chart now that I used to have to pay at least $30 a month for in stocks. Anyways, be careful with where you put your money. Matt
 
Posted by Ace of Spades on :
 
Yeah, I don't know much about Forex.

But that scanner is awesome for stocks...And it can be integrated right into esignal or DTN data feeds.
 
Posted by Machiavelli on :
 
I can recommend two books to get you started Ace:

Getting Started in Currency Trading (Winning in Today's Hottest Marketplace) by Michael D. Archer & Jim L. Bickford

Beat the Odds In Forex Trading: How to identify and profit from high percentage market patterns by Igor Toshchakov

If not then read the recommended links i gave in earlier post...
 
Posted by Ace of Spades on :
 
Thanks Mac...
 
Posted by kermit42 on :
 
Have any of you tried forex.com?

I signed up last week and have done pretty well just using their 15-min candle charts (play money, of course).

I have not yet tried to use their research features.
 
Posted by Machiavelli on :
 
The one I use is www.cmsforex.com ...
 
Posted by ROOFER on :
 
IS THERE ANY TROUBLE SELLING THESE SMALL STOCKS --ROOFER
 
Posted by Ace of Spades on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by ROOFER:
IS THERE ANY TROUBLE SELLING THESE SMALL STOCKS --ROOFER

Only if the volume is low...You should only buy stocks that have a good number of trades.

That's why I sort the stocks by the # of trades at microcaptrade.

http://www.microcaptrade.com/ind/platform_features-features.html
 
Posted by paulbest on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by mastermind555:
the truth is, 9 out of 10 are failures and just give you false hope

I agree, there are only 1-3 in 20 stocks mentioned on the below 10 cent forum that are worth considering.
But there are some dandy's.
What you need to do is have a margin acct and learn the game of flipping. Can be dangerous IF you do not know what you are doing AND IF you do not know the history of the price of the stock, the co, shares, AND IF you do not know how to read all the different charts, moving averages, chaikin money flow, , whats the rumors surrounding the co, news expectations, etc. ONLY 1-3 in 20 stocks mentioned in the below 10 cent are worth considering. So every week you may find 1 or 2 good picks. Now you build from that. Keep an eye on YOUR BEST PICKS. Don't watch too many.
Look at AVTI. I know why this stock rocketed like it did in Nov.(medical conference), its a snail stock, but may "pop" one day. It stays around 2.5 cents, you really can't flip it for much, until it pops.. Its a hold stock and one day will pop. YOU WILL NOT LOSE ANY MONEY and will have to wait patiently for it to "pop. Now you have to be at the computer when it "pops" as it will sink with profit taking, rather quickly. .

Look at MENV, ck out the topic, when posted was 2.5 cents, gained in value since earlt Dec, now close to .07. THis is a very very rare penny stock as its a GROWTH penny stock. Very rare.
There are 4 main groupings of penny stocks. MENV is in the select group that holds its value.

So trading in pennies is part skill/part luck. Its like any 9 to 5 job, and like any trade that requires skill , you must "learn the ropes", and also you must get 'schooling" that is an education. Learn charts/figures.
There are certain laws on some pennies, the 4 groupings/each group operates with a slightly different set of laws.
Also intuition helps. Some traders do not have much intuition and stay with a stock like they are part of a club, or a cult.
 
Posted by Upside on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by paulbest:
quote:
Originally posted by mastermind555:
the truth is, 9 out of 10 are failures and just give you false hope

I agree, there are only 1-3 in 20 stocks mentioned on the below 10 cent forum that are worth considering.
But there are some dandy's.
What you need to do is have a margin acct and learn the game of flipping. Can be dangerous IF you do not know what you are doing AND IF you do not know the history of the price of the stock, the co, shares, AND IF you do not know how to read all the different charts, moving averages, chaikin money flow, , whats the rumors surrounding the co, news expectations, etc. ONLY 1-3 in 20 stocks mentioned in the below 10 cent are worth considering. So every week you may find 1 or 2 good picks. Now you build from that. Keep an eye on YOUR BEST PICKS. Don't watch too many.
Look at AVTI. I know why this stock rocketed like it did in Nov.(medical conference), its a snail stock, but may "pop" one day. It stays around 2.5 cents, you really can't flip it for much, until it pops.. Its a hold stock and one day will pop. YOU WILL NOT LOSE ANY MONEY and will have to wait patiently for it to "pop. Now you have to be at the computer when it "pops" as it will sink with profit taking, rather quickly. .

Look at MENV, ck out the topic, when posted was 2.5 cents, gained in value since earlt Dec, now close to .07. THis is a very very rare penny stock as its a GROWTH penny stock. Very rare.
There are 4 main groupings of penny stocks. MENV is in the select group that holds its value.

So trading in pennies is part skill/part luck. Its like any 9 to 5 job, and like any trade that requires skill , you must "learn the ropes", and also you must get 'schooling" that is an education. Learn charts/figures.
There are certain laws on some pennies, the 4 groupings/each group operates with a slightly different set of laws.
Also intuition helps. Some traders do not have much intuition and stay with a stock like they are part of a club, or a cult.

--------------------
Do not invest on any of my suggestions

Your signature is about the only thing I can agree with. To suggest that any penny stock is a long term hold is ridiculous. To state firmly that "you will not lose any money" if you hold AVTI borders on lunacy. Tell that to the people who owned it when it had a 1 for 50 reverse less than a year ago. You should learn what you're talking about before you start handing out advice.
 
Posted by Robdizo on :
 
forex is more brutal than pennies if you do not know what you're doing. It makes daytrading pennies seem like a walk in the park..get familiar with the stop loss if you go down that forex road..
 
Posted by ROOFER on :
 
THANKS FOR THE INFO.-ACE OF SPADES--&MICROCAPTRADE.COM--APPRECIATE IT --ROOFER
 
Posted by permanentjaun on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Robdizo:
forex is more brutal than pennies if you do not know what you're doing. It makes daytrading pennies seem like a walk in the park..get familiar with the stop loss if you go down that forex road..

Yea if you don't know what you're doing. You can trade a lot safer on forex though. Micro account brokers have pip values of .01 so it would be hard to lose more than $5.00 on a bad trade, and for that to happen you'd have to be extremely careless. Don't over leverage yourself.
 
Posted by Robdizo on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by permanentjaun:
quote:
Originally posted by Robdizo:
forex is more brutal than pennies if you do not know what you're doing. It makes daytrading pennies seem like a walk in the park..get familiar with the stop loss if you go down that forex road..

Yea if you don't know what you're doing. You can trade a lot safer on forex though. Micro account brokers have pip values of .01 so it would be hard to lose more than $5.00 on a bad trade, and for that to happen you'd have to be extremely careless. Don't over leverage yourself.
true true, however limiting loss limits profits, but its most def. fun to trade. i loved the 24/hr trading and making expert advisors.. but yeah demo first is always a good idea
 
Posted by IWISHIHAD on :
 
Quote:
_________________________________________________

Originally posted by Permanentjaun:

Yea if you don't know what you're doing. You can trade a lot safer on forex though. Micro account brokers have pip values of .01 so it would be hard to lose more than $5.00 on a bad trade, and for that to happen you'd have to be extremely careless. Don't over leverage yourself.
_________________________________________________

I am not sure what you are talking about? What broker are you using? From what i see trading forex can be really expensive no matter weather i have a mini or regular account, maybe i am missing something. Anyone making money for real? I am thinking of playing, doing a mini now, but i am suprised how little the phone reps know with the company i am using for my play account.
 
Posted by permanentjaun on :
 
There are a couple brokers that over micro accounts which have pip values of either .01 or .10. Either way those should be small enough for many people to trade actual money, lose a lot of pips and still not hurt their living situation.

Look into www.neuimex.com www.oanda.com and www.fxsol.com. I know little about these brokers, but a quick search on a forex forum for micro brokers came up with those. I know quite a few people use oanda though. Matt
 
Posted by IWISHIHAD on :
 
Thanks Permanentjaun, did not realize there was also smaller trades than just two. I am still just learning, still kind of surprised how much they can take out for their trades even though they try and make it sound like it is free, thanks again.
 
Posted by permanentjaun on :
 
Not sure I know what you mean by "smaller trades than just two." Forex is cheaper than stocks. You're paying commission and getting charged in the spreads as well on stocks. In forex it's only the spread. You control how much that is, 3 cents or 3000 dollars. It depends on your trade size.
 
Posted by IWISHIHAD on :
 
I guess its getting late for me, i have been playing with that forex the last few days and trying to figure out formulas and the terms. I thought that their were only two 10,000 and 100,000 lots even though the 10000 will be okay, if i decide to trade. I guess the big differance in stocks is that you can buy any amount for basically the same commission, where with forex it appears you our locked in to lot sizes for the price of the spread between the buy and sell. With the company i am trading with, i noticed today that the spread was up to 5 to 9 pips on the trades, i was not watching carefully. With those pip price ranges from around 1.00(est) per pip and a spread of 5-9 pips per lot seems like you have to be careful to get your break even point. Sometimes it seems like play money(which it is right now) with that 200 to 1 leverage, when really you are just playing with 50 per lot. It is play money now for me and i will see how it goes as i learn. Are you making any money? Thanks for your help, i am still trying to figure this out, might look at the futures also... Good luck to you.
 
Posted by permanentjaun on :
 
No there are smaller. 10,000 are minilots and 100,000 are standard lots.

I am not entirely sure, but I believe some brokers offer commission trading instead. They charge a set amount for every 100,000 or so. I think they offer it for religious reasons pertaining to Islam. I know they offer interest free accounts for this reason.

Don't be fooled, you may only pay the commissions to your broker, but you're also paying the MM's. That's the whole point of the spread. What happens if you buy at the ask and sell at the bid if price doesn't move? Your account will decrease. You lose the spread just like you do in forex. Spreads are there to make someone money, and it's not us.

Spread will fluctuate during periods of high volatility, just as stock spreads will widen or tighten. Same concept.

I'm not making any money yet. It's hard getting a grasp on things. There are a lot of variables to understand that allow for an infinite more amount of possible strategies that aren't possible in stocks. Matt
 
Posted by IWISHIHAD on :
 
It is fun to see if i can find a good way to trade them. It seems like it would be easy to make up those pips they get for commission, but so far it seems easy to lose and hard to get in the green. The pips we pay to trade are a pretty good percentage to make up "if" its goes in the direction were playing and lets say goes 30 pips our way and we are paying 3-10 pips to trade a lot, that 10 to 30+ percent is a bit to make up. I guess thats the advantage of playing bigger lots. I have not tried to play any trades longer than a day, would be a little leary if it is my own money. Let me know if you find some good ways to trade. I would like to hear if anyone else is doing any good trading and if they have some good tips.
 
Posted by beechwood on :
 
Forex has no MM's, scams, or hype either.
You don't have to worry that your stock will tank
if the wind changes direction or a CEO jumps ship.
What a breath of fresh air!
 
Posted by IWISHIHAD on :
 
Beechwood,
You will get no argument from me on that fact, but i am just trying to see if i can make any money on the forex market, still to early for me to know, it is nice to trade for nothing to see if i can figure a method to beat the odds.
 
Posted by permanentjaun on :
 
IWISHIHAD,

Try slowing your charts down. Trade only the majors which have the smallest spreads of 1-6 pips. Try looking at 4 hour charts or longer. When you play anything smaller you're really trying to predict the noise of the market which is very difficult to do. Don't try to predict reversals. Let price do it for you. So step back and look at the larger trend of the market. If your system has trades that have stop losses of only 10-20 pips you're going to have a tough time mastering to trade that way. Slow things down.

One strategy that people are having success with is placing a straddle of buy/sell triggers at the open of the week and not moving the straddle. Eventually price moves several hundred pips from the open of the week and the trade is closed at the end of the week. It's successful because there is no speculating, there are set stop losses, and you're almost guaranteed price will not stay in a tight range over the course of a week.

Really though, the biggest road to success in forex is money management. Don't risk it all on any one trade. Search for the Turtles on google. They were a trading group that produced a system that didn't have great buy/sell signals, but had strict money management rules which eventually made them millionaires. That's all it takes. Matt
 
Posted by IWISHIHAD on :
 
Permanentjaun,

I will have to try that method, i seem to do pretty good at picking the short term chart just hard to make much taking those little ups in pips when i get a couple of losses at 20 pips. Last night i got 8 out of 10 right and did not make much money and i know that will not happen a lot in short term runs. I will try your method seems to be the way to help set off those pips. Where are you setting you stop loses at (approx. range)? Thanks again, it is an interesting market, like you said so many ways to play.
 
Posted by permanentjaun on :
 
SL should depend on your strategy. Don't bother trying to play any system that has 10 TP and 50 SL. The risk:reward has to be in favor of the reward. Even if you're 80% correct with 10 TP 50 SL you will either end up losing or producing profits not worth trading for.

SL depends on your strategy though. If you're playing chart patterns then your SL is variable. Set it above/below support/resistance/trendlines. That way you give your play room to breath and if it reaches your SL you know it is trading outside of the pattern and you're in a dangerous trading area.

The system I mentioned has a strict SL of 30 pips. They set the straddle based on sundays close. They use a 50 pip trigger above and below that price for their long/shorts. When price triggers a trade a 30 pip SL is placed. The trade that isn't triggered is then moved to the close price of sunday. All trades are then closed before the close on friday.

What happens is you may get stopped out 1-3 times since 30 pips is a pretty tight SL. As you'll notice on a weekly chart however, price will not stay very close to the open. Since the 30 SL isn't trailing price will eventually move further and further away as you allow for the weekly movement to occur. I institute a system of moving my SL to breakeven so if a move crashes after being 100 pips in profit I don't lose on the trade. You'll notice on several pairs weekly candle generally have a solid trend. That is why the system works.

This is just one system. There are literally thousands of methods out there. It is addictive. As soon as someone posts a method on the forums people flock to it and immediately change the rules to their trading style. For example on the above strategy people place trailing SL', TP levels, static triggers, multiple lot entries with varying exit points, variable trigger staging times. This system doesn't even involve any indicators. Imagine how many ways you can alter a moving average system! You can change the MA's period as well as basing them of the O,H,L, or C, and you can have smoothed MA's, SMA, HMA, EMA's, etc. It really gets mind boggling.

That's why I'm not making any money yet. With so many ways to alter a system I haven't found my method yet. Next week I'll probably buckle down and use the system I partially outlined above. I'll use it on a few uncorrelated pairs to reduce my risk and draw down.

That's another thing. be careful with correlated pairs. Know what you're trading. You could be doubling your risk or hedging if you trade certain pairs.

I could go on an on about forex. There is a lot of new material that you need to get acquainted with. In the end it's worth it. The profits can't be matched on any other financial market.


Anyways, stop loss placement. It's up to you! [Wink] Matt
 
Posted by IWISHIHAD on :
 
It really is a different game, good tips, i really feel like the fng right now, but i am getting a little better slowly, and it is not costing me anything but time, to learn.
 
Posted by before_the_crowd on :
 
More than 60% of my gains last year where from Pink and OTC.

I cant forget the rush it gives me when u get in a winner. Its all worth for me.

RSHN
NVMG
PYPR

were my last years pennies and they all made me several thousand dollars.
 
Posted by IWISHIHAD on :
 
You can trade both, this has been a funny year in the pennies, i also was in rshn and sold most and then rebought. It just seems in the last year it has gotten much harder to predict the pennies, not as many companies with good rises in pps, it seems like i have to sit much longer in penny stocks this year more than in previous years, not good to sit to long in the pennies without getting profit out. I think there is less traders in the pennies now than there was in previous years, so you are not getting as many companies with upward trends. Just my opinion. I like learning other ways to trade and it is free, if you do not like it nothing loss but a little time, but if you can make money at it and not have to out guess ceo's, why not.
 
Posted by permanentjaun on :
 
I agree. I also believe there are fewer traders in pennies now. I think it's because pennies are a fad. The new fad is forex. Wall street has done several articles on forex in the past 2-3 months.

I think those that aren't in pennies are in forex. This isn't because forex is better, which it is, but because forex is an even greater 'get rich quick' trading method. Why trade with only $5000 in pennies when you can leverage your account and use over $100,000 worth of USD? That is the downfall though. Those that fail in pennies will fail in forex for the same reason. They'll over leverage their accounts and their account will disappear quicker than they've experienced before.

With 400:1 leverage you could have $1000 and easily trade with $100,000. Of course you're left with only $500 or in margin before you get a margin call. So price moves 50 pips against you and suddenly you get a margin call. Currencies easily have trading ranges of 100-200 pips a day. 50 pips isn't very much. So one trade and you've wiped out over 50% of your account.

Be patient in forex. Compound your profits. Unfortunately right now it's the fad and those that don't understand this will be slaughtered on the market.
 
Posted by Ace of Spades on :
 
permanentjaun....Since you're a Forex Expert, Take the free trial to this Forex Day trading room and tell my what you think. Their performance is insane. They're making 40-50 thousand dollars a month. They give real time alerts.

http://www.millennium-traders.com/services/forex.aspx

http://www.millennium-traders.com/performance/forex.aspx

Here is a sample of all the calls they make in each room...they also do stocks and other stuff...The forex is in the middle.

http://www.millennium-traders.com/samples/market_report.aspx
 
Posted by permanentjaun on :
 
I'm not an expert by any means; at least in terms of account growth.

I would say don't bother with that site. For one, they don't show performance in terms of pips. What is a pip to these people? What if they play so many lots that making $10,000 a week only requires 10 pips? Any reputable source should really give results in terms of pips.

I also don't like the idea of it. You're paying them for what plays they're making. They have no incentive to give you good plays. All they care about is getting your money month after month in subscription form.

Many brokers offer resources where they will actually trade your account for you. Then they are only paid by on commission. If they don't make you money they don't get paid. I would feel safer doing something like that then paying these guys to tell me what is a good play.

If you want to trade yourself I would say pay for a course on how to trade a certain strategy. One very reputable and successful site I know of is www.james16group.com. I didn't sign up for it because there are plenty of free systems out there. Although many people say this is a very good system that is easy to use and very successful.

I think the reason I don't care for your site is it's more about making calls rather than teaching you how to trade. Not my can of worms. Matt
 
Posted by Ace of Spades on :
 
Thanks I appreciate it.

I have a question. With stocks it's easy to tell how good people and sites to because 50% percent is 50%...simple.

But If a site says 100 pips per month...how much percent is that...?

Or how do pips translat into percent?
 
Posted by permanentjaun on :
 
There are no percentages in forex you're correct. You should never judge a site/system by how many pips it earns a month. That is a key part, but more importantly is understanding the draw down. A system could make you 2000 pips in 2-3 months, which is spectacular, then hit a dry spell where the market has shifted into a different trading pattern and the drawdown is 2000-3000 pips. People want smooth linear equity lines. It's like saying, "two steps forward, 1 step back." That would be better than a system that's "two steps forward, 3 steps back."

That is why if you go to a forex forum you will see pages and pages of people testing systems. They'll backtest and forward test a system for months before putting money into trading it with live money. I would say if a system can average 100 pips a week it is considered above average.

It all comes down to money management though like I said. The famous turtles trades had a system which had subpar entry signals and the system experienced tremendous drawdown. Their idea was to use very, very strict money management so it would be next to impossible for them to not be able to trade. So when the market went in their direction they'd be able to still be there to capitalize on that. Most people can't follow strict rules like that for emotional reasons especially when a system experiences huge drawdowns.

If a site says 100 pips per month that isn't much to brag about though. It's nothing to shake a stick at either. There are plenty of threads stating all you need is 5 pips a day to compound and you'll be a millionaire in a short time. This is true, but 5 pips can be hard to come by because of losing days; i.e. drawdown.

It's hard to explain what a pip would be in percentage terms though.
 
Posted by NYSE Trader on :
 
I just got set-up with a practice account... I am long AUD/USD at .7735. Why dont we move this conversation over to the FOREX board?
 
Posted by Machiavelli on :
 
Because General investing is a more popular forum...
 
Posted by BooDog on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by ROOFER:
THANKS FOR THE INFO.-ACE OF SPADES--&MICROCAPTRADE.COM--APPRECIATE IT --ROOFER

DITTO!! AND permanentjaun & Machiavelli
Very useful info! Thanks M8!


Greeeeeeeeat!
 


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