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Author Topic: oil at $60 and housing
BuyAtBottom
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interesting article from yesterday about oil and housing. here is link.
http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/nation/20050621-9999-1n21economy.html

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BuyAtBottom
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with oil hoovering around $60, just spells more bad news for the car industry
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BuyAtBottom
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also quarter point rate hike coming next week. i bet there will be one in end of august as well
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ththf
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Crude down should be good news.
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BuyAtBottom
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looks like oil back up again
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Purl Gurl
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Crude over $60 today, and an expected market crash.
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osubucks30
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I am now 50% cash. This is a very risky time IMO. Could you imagine what would happen if it goes to $65. The DOW will quickly go back below 10,000!
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BuyAtBottom
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i have quite a bit of position in gold for last few weeks. i think the economy is in trouble. also i have been short the car suppliers(VC,Xide, DPH) and have made pretty good money
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BuyAtBottom
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There may be a real estate bubble, Buffett tells CNBC (BRKA, BRKB) By Alistair Barr
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Warren Buffett, the billionaire chairman of Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA) (BRKB) told CNBC on Thursday that he thinks there's probably a real estate bubble in the U.S. Lending practices, low interest rates and herd mentality are "coming together in the real estate market in a way that would lead me to believe that -- certainly at the high end -- people who buy houses today may have some periods when they regret it," Buffett said. The investing legend also said the U.S. current account deficit is a big problem and will lead to a weaker U.S. dollar, possibly in five years.

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BuyAtBottom
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banks are setting up for a fall in the short future with all the easy money. i guess they haven't learned from the lesson in the 80's
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Purl Gurl
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NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - United Airlines, citing
rising fuel costs, has joined a growing list of
airlines that have hiked fares on domestic and
international flights.

...said Tim Wagner, a spokesman for American
Airlines. He noted that the carrier will spend at
least $1 billion more on fuel in 2005 than in 2004.

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zoltan
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Where do you guys think oil will end up next year?

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Dead Kennedys-"Give me convenience or give me death"

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BuyAtBottom
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if china gets unocal over cheveron. that will be huge. then expect oil to go higher. then most of the oil will be heading to china. they have tons of cash on hand and are hungry
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Purl Gurl
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"June 24 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. sales of new homes rose
to the second-highest level on record in May at the
same time corporate purchases of durable goods
stagnated, evidence economic growth has become more
dependent on housing.

Home sales rose 2.1 percent to a 1.298 million annual
rate, second only to the 1.306 million pace in
October, the Commerce Department said today...."

http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000006&sid=aEEUHX..ng.A&refer=home

"Bubble in housing not inflating locally
State nears record in home sales with 6% rise over
past year, but experts see area as safe from feared
bust in real estate...

Home buyers snapped up condominiums at a blistering
pace in May, pushing the state's overall home
sales toward a possible record and continuing the
debate over whether the nation's housing market is
bubbling toward a pop that would send prices
spiraling down...."

Mary Umberger
Tribune staff reporter
June 24, 2005

http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/chi-0506240097jun24,1,1701341.story?coll=chi-business-hed

This real estate bubble burst talk is a myth.

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BuyAtBottom
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well, we will see by end of this year or early next year if there really is a bubble or not. nobody knows if there is a bubble or not until it already
happenes. foreclosures are on a big uptick for the last few months for sure. i don't think it is a myth. time will only tell. everybody said i was crazy when i said it was going to slow down in the 80's.

also this is part of the problem. here is link
http://www.marketwatch.com/tvradio/player.asp?guid={A9645440-3869-44A8-B477-C98D7C9E0F73}&siteid=mktw

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BuyAtBottom
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why is gold in a bull market. unless heavy inflation or economy if faltering
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zoltan
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Watch the silly US dollar fall to its knees
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BuyAtBottom
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it will with the us deficit getting bigger. they will have to print more money shortly. the iraq war was a huge costly mistake. the fed have no choice but to raise rates. you can bet on it.
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BuyAtBottom
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quarter point raise coming on thursday next week
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ththf
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Oil won't help the market. Oil will bring tragedy to our economy.

You already can feel it around us .

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<OIl long>
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Bush pump oil yesterday.


Bush is a liar. Oil will go up again and drived by his friends.

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Thorn
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lol, yeah, I'm sure oil will make a lot of money when the economy is crashing...

No, the idea is to keep oil prices high but not too high. This isn't anything Bush has control over anyway. lol.

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Krysten911
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Are you sure abou that???
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Thorn
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Yep, there won't be near as much oil sales if the economy crashes... [Big Grin]

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May your trading build your character as well as your portfolio.

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