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Author Topic: TOMMOROW CPI/PPI (inflation index) number in morning.
ththf
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Apr 19 08:30 PPI Mar
0.6% 0.6% 0.4%

Apr 19 08:30 Core PPI Mar
0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Apr 19 08:30 Housing Starts Mar
2060K 2090K 2195K

Apr 19 08:30 Building Permits Mar
2075K 2094K 2107K

Apr 20 08:30 CPI Mar
0.5% 0.5% 0.4%

Apr 20 08:30 Core CPI Mar
0.2% 0.2% 0.3%

Apr 20 14:00 Fed's Beige Book






Apr 21 08:30 Initial Claims 04/16
325K 329K 330K

Apr 21 10:00 Leading Indicators Mar
-0.4% -0.3% 0.1%

Apr 21 12:00 Philadelphia Fed Apr
12.0 12.0 11.4

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ththf
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Looks market waiting for good number. But more important is ER and outlook.
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keithsan
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outlook good mlon outlook good
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Bob Frey
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CPI + .6
Core + .4 estimated .2

Selling off at the moment.

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keithsan
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yep, not the gap i was hoping for. wanted 35.6
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BuyAtBottom
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it looks like the next leg down started earlier than i thought
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keithsan
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My guess is we will just retest fridays lows, fairly common bottom. (hopefully not tank more)
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glassman
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it don't look good...

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keithsan
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Crude and its products added to gains Wednesday on the New York Mercantile Exchange after the Energy Department and the American Petroleum Institute reported an unexpected drop in U.S. crude and gasoline supplies.

my original plan on friday was ride 2/3 updays, short then buy again and retesting lows. but never got high enough for me to make good enough coin.

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BuyAtBottom
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if we break 10,000 today. that will be huge
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keithsan
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bouncing off fridays lows for now.

1400 on the NDX too.

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keithsan
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nice close, big stuff AH lets see what happens.
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glassman
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why did crude supply fall?

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BuyAtBottom
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i know that i have been saying this for a while. but it is so crazy here in florida. almost half the plans that we engineer for builders are spec homes.i believe the builders are going to report record revenues this quarter. But, i really believe that when it slows, that there is going to be a huge inventory of houses. remember, market always nine months ahead of economy(historical fact). i believe prices are going up to quick in to short of a period, which i believe is really bad in the long term.
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keithsan
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quote:
Originally posted by glassman:
why did crude supply fall?

drove my hummer cross country.
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keithsan
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housing starts are down, yes bubble should burst.

MOT holding up ah as is ebay, Qcom getting whipped.

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cruz
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don't forget the speed boat you are hauling.

quote:
Originally posted by keithsan:
quote:
Originally posted by glassman:
why did crude supply fall?

drove my hummer cross country.

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ththf
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Morning guys. Premarket up a lot.

Let's see what will be big with today's news.

A lot earning out. Their profit are all big down from years ago. but some beat and some cast rosy outlook.

I don't think rosy. This is stagflation.

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keithsan
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I think we retested fridays lows and up from here, could see a dip under those supports 10k 1400 first....
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BuyAtBottom
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i hope that when it goes up that it stays green for a few days. want to add more to my short position on many stocks
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keithsan
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i'm playing the indexes long, will short again after a nice run.
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ththf
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Today I bet more trapped in the morning. New low in afternoon.

Tommorow will be ugly.

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keithsan
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quote:
Originally posted by keithsan:
My guess is we will just retest fridays lows, fairly common bottom. (hopefully not tank more)

expected a bounce on the retest, just not this big
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BuyAtBottom
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cut and paste "Freddie Mac's chief economist, said average mortgage rates in April have now fallen below their March level, which could boost home sales in the key spring season."

i guess they are trying to do whatever the can to help sustain the housing boom by starting to lowering rates again.hehehehe

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BuyAtBottom
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yesterday's bounce was just a big bull bounce on low volume in a bear market. there will probably be a few more bounces here and there before test 10,000 again, but eventually we are going to break 10,000. might take 2 or 3 more tries
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ththf
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yesterday's bounce is because MM pull up every index/ETF stocks.

you know if every big Dow 30 up a little, stock market index up a lot.

Maybe a bull trap, no foundamental surpport and technical surpport

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glassman
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i guess the bull trap is confirmed now....

whiplash again...

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keithsan
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last week was up, will this week be. I expect a strong up day early in the week, looks like friday was consolidation after big run thurs.
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keithsan
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A couple of you are throwing around the BULL TRAP comments....

for the last 2 weeks bullish sentiment has been VERY, VERY low. 16-18%.(if market stays bearish, not to many bulls are caught, if it goes bullish, look at the stuck bears, you think the market will let 82% of the people be right?)

When bullish sentiment is this low, your small time buyers are in cash, most people buying in the market now are big money.

Looking for another green week and a big green day early in the week.

Just my thoughts on traps, please don't send my some market strategists theories, most of them are a day late IMO.

[Smile]

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keithsan
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Great start to the week, hope you bears haven't put you money where your mouth is..... [Smile]
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BuyAtBottom
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looks good hope it stays green for a few days. i want to add more to short position. went up on very very light volume. still looking good for the next leg down
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keithsan
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quote:
Originally posted by BuyAtBottom:
looks good hope it stays green for a few days. i want to add more to short position. went up on very very light volume. still looking good for the next leg down

me too, just riding this leg up, figure the turn will be mid to end of may, Q's should hit or come close to 40 [Smile]

EDITED: sorry, no way it hits 40 in a week, forgot the month and day.

[ April 25, 2005, 18:08: Message edited by: keithsan ]

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keithsan
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Just bumping cuz i edited above post, didn't want someone think the q's were gonna gain 5 bucks in 5 days, not that anyone cares what i think but, just in case....
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